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SAV

Savannah State 7 at Middle Tennessee 61

MTSU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadSAV aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreSAV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:43 · Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Isahiah Walker for 3 yds to the MTnSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Pregame prior+8.3Home team on offense+36.4Score differential+31.1Blowout margin+19.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.8Garbage-time factor+9.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:24: Shane Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed ) — SAV win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:51: Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 5 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:12: A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:15: Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:33: Jeremiah Bryson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SAV made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:24SAV 4th & 2 at SAV 31, down 6
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51SAV 4th & 8 at SAV 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:15SAV 4th & 7 at SAV 18, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:00SAV 4th & 12 at MTSU 38, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:28SAV 4th & 24 at MTSU 45, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:01SAV 4th & 9 at SAV 23, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:01SAV 4th & 20 at SAV 10, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:24SAV 4th & 8 at MTSU 18, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:12MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 21, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:12SAV 4th & 6 at SAV 42, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:43SAV 4th & 4 at MTSU 49, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SAV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:51MTSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:12MTSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:15MTSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:33MTSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:12SAV Touchdown, down 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:43MTSU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3699% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.1%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-5
99.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
99.1%
Reggie Whatley run for 21 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.1%
Austin Grammer run for 6 yds to the SavSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
99.1%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the SavSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+5
99.1%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the SavSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
99.1%
Austin Grammer run for 7 yds to the SavSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+9
99.1%
Reggie Whatley run for 9 yds to the SavSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.1%
Jeremiah Bryson run for no gain to the SavSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.1%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 9 yds to the SavSt 13Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
98.8%
Shane Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.8%
Richard Williams run for 4 yds to the SavSt 27Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Richard Williams run for no gain to the SavSt 27Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+4
98.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Dereon London for 4 yds to the SavSt 31Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Jacob Thomas punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
98.7%
Jordan Parker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+50
98.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Jordan Parker for 50 yds to the SavSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
98.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 11 yds to the SavSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
98.7%
Reggie Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 5Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 5 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
98.7%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Richard Williams for 2 yds to the SavSt 21Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
98.7%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
98.7%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Richard Williams for no gain to the SavSt 21Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
98.7%
Jacob Thomas punt for 48 yds, downed at the MTnSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:5899% → 99%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.7%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+5
98.7%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jovanta Mobley) to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+47
98.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 47 yds to the SavSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
98.8%
Reggie Whatley run for 7 yds to the SavSt 8Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
98.8%
Reggie Whatley run for 2 yds to the SavSt 6Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+1
98.7%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the SavSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 2 yds to the SavSt 3Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 6INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:121% → 1%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Chris Johnson for 7 yds to the SavSt 27Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
98.9%
Anthony Criswell run for 2 yds to the SavSt 29Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+6
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 6 yds to the SavSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Richard Williams for 6 yds to the SavSt 44 lat. to Richard Williams for 3 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Dereon London for 5 yds to the SavSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
98.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, delay of game (Ker-Sean Wilson) to the SavSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
98.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for no gain to the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
98.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 14 yds to the SavSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 3 yds to the SavSt 43Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+17
98.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 17 yds to the SavSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+14
98.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 14 yds to the SavSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
99.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the SavSt 9Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
99.0%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the SavSt 3Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+3
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 3 yds to the SavSt 18Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Jacob Thomas punt for 34 yds , Jared Singletary returns for no gain to the MTnSt 49 Jared Singletary fumbled, recovered by SavSt Alfred AnsleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.5%
Anthony Criswell run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+11
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.4%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Richard WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Dereon LondonSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-2
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Richard Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 12
OPP 38
+11
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.5%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 4 yds Demetrius Frazier fumbled, forced by Jovanta Mobley, recovered by SavSt Jovanta MobleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.5%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Arshon Spaulding, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 15
OPP 36
-1
99.5%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Richard Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 16
OPP 37
-8
99.6%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35 SAVANNAH ST Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & 24
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 24
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Jacob Thomas punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:26100% → 100%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Reggie Whatley run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 30 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive holding (Devin Clarke) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.6%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+8
99.6%
Austin Grammer run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+9
99.5%
Jordan Parker run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.6%
Reggie Whatley run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+5
99.6%
Austin Grammer run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.6%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.6%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-5
99.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 15 yds to the SavSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SavSt 44Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 5 yds to the SavSt 39Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.6%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the SavSt 38Similar
Q2 3:45
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+31
99.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 31 yds to the SavSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Richard Williams run for 5 yds to the SavSt 25Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Richard Williams run for 6 yds to the SavSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Richard WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 6 yds to the SavSt 37 Ker-Sean Wilson fumbled, forced by Leighton Gasque, recovered by MTnSt Jared SingletarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 14FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.7%
Joshua Berry run for 3 yds to the SavSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+13
99.7%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Dereon London for 13 yds to the SavSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Kris DrummondSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+20
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson sacked by Shaquille Huff for a loss of 21 yards Ker-Sean Wilson fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Trey Wafford , return for 0 yards , return for 20 yds, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 15PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:490% → 0%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 4 yds to the SavSt 26Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 26
-9
99.8%
WILSON,Ker-Sean rush for 11 yards to the SSU37 (BROWN, Chris), PENALTY SSU holding (DRUMMOND,Kris) 9 yards to the SSU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+8
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Kris Drummond for 8 yds to the SavSt 25Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Ker-Sean Wilson sacked by Leighton Gasque for a loss of 2 yards to the SavSt 23Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+61
99.9%
Jacob Thomas punt for 38 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 61 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 3 yds to the SavSt 23Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SavSt 20Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.9%
SAVANNAH ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaylen McGriff) to the SavSt 10Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 20
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Kris Drummond, broken up by Chris BrownSimilar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Jacob Thomas punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the SavSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.9%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the SavSt 38Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+34
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 34 yds to the SavSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
PARKER, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the SSU3 (DIXON,Justin), PENALTY SSU IS 2 yards to the SSU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the SavSt 1Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:400% → 0%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 5 yds to the SavSt 25Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Kris Drummond for 13 yds to the SavSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 6 yds to the SavSt 44Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+19
99.9%
Joshua Berry run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Richard Williams run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+8
99.9%
Richard Williams run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Anthony Criswell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Arshon SpauldingSimilar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-1
99.9%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
John Barron 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shon Akins return to the 50 yard line Shon Akins return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shannon Smith for 8 yds to the SavSt 42Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the SavSt 47Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-3
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by MTnSt , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 10
50
+15
99.9%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to SMITH, Shannon, PENALTY SSU pass interference (MIDDLETON,J.) 15 yards to the SSU35, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
99.9%
Brent Stockstill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SavSt 36Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-2
99.9%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Alfred Ansley return for 13 yds to the SavSt 23 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chris Perkins) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 21TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:220% → 0%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
50
+5
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Anthony CriswellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to Dereon LondonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+11
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+4
100.0%
Anthony Criswell run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+15
99.9%
Anthony Criswell run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Anthony Criswell run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Barron KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Hunter Rogers) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-1
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Kamani Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Zachary Lopez punt for 51 yds, downed at the SavSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
100.0%
WILSON,Ker-Sean rush for 4 yards to the SSU32, PENALTY MT holding (BASTIEN, S.) 10 yards to the SSU38, 1ST DOWN SSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Nicholas Bentley run for 4 yds to the SavSt 42Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Jacob Thomas punt for 53 yds, downed at the MTnSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+19
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+8
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+33
100.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 33 yds to the SavSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+17
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 17 yds to the SavSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
100.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the SavSt 3Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SAVDrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
100.0%
WILSON,Ker-Sean rush for 10 yards to the SSU38 (SANDERS, DJ), PENALTY SSU holding (HARPER,Vincent) 10 yards to the SSU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+10
100.0%
WILSON,Ker-Sean pass incomplete (AURISMOND, I.), PENALTY MT holding (ROBERSON, James) 10 yards to the SSU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Detorrius McDonald for 17 yds to the SavSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Joshua Berry run for no gain to the SavSt 45Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Chris Johnson for 4 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Joshua Berry for 2 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 4:43
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Ker-Sean Wilson pass complete to Isahiah Walker for 3 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Tony Rowland run for 5 yds to the SavSt 49Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-6
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:15
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 11:24
Shane Tucker run for 13 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed )
-0.2
TD · Q1 3:12
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com