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MRSH

Marshall 42 at Miami (OH) 27

M-OH
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:34 · Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−21.8Home team on offense−27.5Score differential−11.7Garbage-time factor−6.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:10: Devon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:53: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +5.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:10: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 3 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +7.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:37: Devon Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +6.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:25: Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 40 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK) — M-OH win probability +9.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 10 of 12MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27MRSH 4th & 19 at M-OH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 13, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:58M-OH 4th & 5 at MRSH 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    10.2%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 2 at MRSH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    9.6%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11M-OH 4th & 16 at M-OH 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:58MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:43M-OH 4th & 1 at MRSH 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:03M-OH 4th & 5 at MRSH 5, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:03MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:12M-OH 4th & 12 at M-OH 5, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:04M-OH 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    -3.1%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:53MRSH 4th & 21 at MRSH 14, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:06M-OH 4th & 7 at MRSH 7, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:01MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:34MRSH 4th & 3 at M-OH 35, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−1.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 1 at M-OH 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−1.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−6.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:46M-OH 4th & 27 at M-OH 5, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−4.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:37MRSH 4th & 2 at M-OH 27, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−1.3
    62% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−7.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:01M-OH 4th & 7 at M-OH 33, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 7:20MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:53MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:11MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:10MRSH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:53M-OH Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10M-OH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:37MRSH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:25M-OH Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:01MRSH Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
6.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
6.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Orlando David for 8 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-5
6.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Orlando David) to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-5
6.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+9
6.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+7
6.2%
Christian Koch punt for 45 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
7.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
7.0%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+11
6.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 11 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
6.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+9
6.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Devon Johnson for 9 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
6.9%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-5
6.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+8
6.9%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 4
OPP 34
-15
6.9%
JOHNSON, Devon rush over left tackle for 4 yards to the MU30 (DONLAN, Joe), PENALTY MARSHALL personal foul (JASPERSE, Chris) 15 yards to the MU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 19
OPP 49
0
7.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 19
OPP 49
0
7.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 45 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
8.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 9Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 9
0
8.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+4
8.0%
Spencer Treadwell run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+6
8.0%
Christian Koch punt for 47 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 6 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:4692% → 92%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+39
8.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 39 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
8.3%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 11 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:228% → 9%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
8.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 14 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
8.0%
Damon Washington run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+13
8.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for 13 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
8.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
8.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+3
8.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+2
8.9%
Andrew Hendrix run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, forced by Ra'Shawde Myers, recovered by MiaOh N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:5792% → 93%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
8.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 17 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
8.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 11 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
8.3%
Rakeem Cato run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 24
0
8.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+9
8.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 9 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
8.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Demetrius Evans for 12 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
7.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:538% → 9%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
7.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, delay of game (Andrew Hendrix) to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+11
7.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 11 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+15
7.8%
Spencer Treadwell run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
8.0%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to FRAZIER, David, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (ROBERTS, Darryl) 17 yards to the MARSHALL35, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
8.1%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by D.J. Hunter for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 17
OPP 42
0
7.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 17
OPP 42
+15
7.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 15 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
8.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
4 plays · 73 yds · 0:4392% → 94%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
7.9%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+15
7.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+55
7.7%
Devon Johnson run for 55 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
5.8%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
5.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
5.8%
Christian Koch punt for 60 yds, downed at the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
5.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
5.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+8
5.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 8 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 24
-3
6.0%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Kent Kern for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
6.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Fred Mcrae Iv at the MiaOh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 3:406% → 8%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
5.8%
Spencer Treadwell run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
5.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred Mcrae Iv for 8 yds Fred Mcrae Iv fumbled, forced by A.J. Leggett, recovered by MiaOh N/ASimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+12
6.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 12 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
6.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 9 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
6.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:43
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
6.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Fred Mcrae IvSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+23
6.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
6.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+11
6.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 11 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete, broken up by Taj LetmanSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Spencer TreadwellSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
8.0%
Kaleb Patterson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
6.3%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Bryson Albright and J'Terius Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 14
OWN 28
-9
6.4%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Kent Kern for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 23
OWN 19
+10
6.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Demetrius Evans for 10 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 13
OWN 29
0
6.6%
Tyler Williams punt for 64 yds, downed at the MiaOh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
7.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred Mcrae Iv for 9 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 1
OWN 16
-8
7.2%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Steve Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 8
-3
7.2%
Spencer Treadwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 12
OWN 5
+23
7.2%
Christian Koch punt for 48 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 23 yds to the MiaOh 28 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:5895% → 98%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
5.5%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+37
5.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 37 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.0%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:062% → 1%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan ScottSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
2.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+47
2.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 47 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 9 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
2.4%
Spencer Treadwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 2Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
2.5%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Alex Welch) to the Marsh 7Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
1.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for 6 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
1.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David Frazier, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
2.1%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+8
2.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 8 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
2.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deandre Reaves for 15 yds Deandre Reaves fumbled, recovered by MiaOh J'Terius Jones MARSHALL Penalty, illegal touching ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:062% → 8%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
1.6%
Andrew Hendrix run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 2
50
+5
1.7%
Spencer Treadwell run for 5 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
1.7%
Spencer Treadwell run for 13 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
1.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+28
1.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 28 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
2.1%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to WELCH, Alex (LETMAN, Taj), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (LETMAN, Taj) 2 yards to the MARSHALL2, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 2 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.7%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
5.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler, broken up by Quinten RollinsSimilar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
5.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-14
5.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tommy Shuler) to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+54
5.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 47 yds , Fred Mcrae Iv returns for 54 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:528% → 9%
Q3 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Andrew HendrixSimilar
Q3 10:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
7.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
9.3%
Kaleb Patterson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
7.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
7.1%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-1
7.2%
Rakeem Cato sacked by J'Terius Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
7.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Fred Mcrae Iv at the MiaOh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21INT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:4610% → 9%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
9.5%
Spencer Treadwell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 5
50
+9
9.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for 9 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
9.7%
Dawan Scott run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+5
9.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 5 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 8:35
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+7
9.8%
Andrew Hendrix run for 7 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
10.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-6
10.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 34 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, recovered by MiaOh N/ASimilar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+7
8.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted A.J. Leggett return for 22 yds to the MiaOh 12 MIAMI OH Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
6.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 7 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
5.9%
Rakeem Cato run for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
6.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
7.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:188% → 17%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
8.0%
Spencer Treadwell run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
8.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 9 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
8.7%
Spencer Treadwell run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 6
50
+41
8.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 41 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
9.3%
Spenc Mcginnis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
9.3%
Andrew Hendrix run for 3 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 3 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0288% → 87%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
11.9%
Devon Johnson run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
11.6%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
11.8%
JOHNSON, Devon rush up middle for 5 yards to the MU36 (WAMULUMBA, M.;MASTIN, Jay), PENALTY MU substitution infraction 10 yards to the MU31, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
11.1%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
11.0%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
11.5%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
12.7%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -17 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
13.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Marcus Matthews) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 15
OWN 17
-5
13.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Fred Mcrae Iv for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
13.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 20
OWN 12
-7
12.7%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 27
OWN 5
0
12.1%
Christian Koch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the MiaOh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:3889% → 97%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
10.7%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
10.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 9 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
10.2%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
10.2%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+3
10.5%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q4 8:37
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+27
3.5%
Devon Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:125% → 15%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan Scott, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
4.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
5.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 4 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
5.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 1
50
+10
5.5%
Dawan Scott run for 10 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
14.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 40 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 4:2492% → 98%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
8.3%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+29
8.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 29 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
6.9%
Remi Watson run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
6.9%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+10
7.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 10 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
6.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Quinten RollinsSimilar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+12
6.9%
Devon Johnson run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
6.8%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
6.9%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 0
OPP 4
+2
3.5%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete, PENALTY MU holding (WOOD, Lo) 2 yards to the MU2, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.7%
Rakeem Cato run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 0
50
+15
1.6%
MIAMI OH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29DOWNS
10 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
2.4%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass complete to WILLIAMS, R. for 14 yards to the MU39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU holding (MATTHEWS, M.) 10 yards to the MU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+15
2.4%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, R., PENALTY MARSHALL roughing passer (HUNTER, D.J.) 15 yards to the MU30, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 8 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-5
2.6%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q4 2:01
4TH & 7
OWN 33
-7
2.4%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:25
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 40 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q3 0:10
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 3 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q4 8:37
Devon Johnson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-6.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com