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BCU

Bethune-Cookman 14 at Florida International 12

FIU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadBCU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreBCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:35 · Chris Ayers punt for 35 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense+0.1Pregame prior+2.3Score differential−1.7Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:26: Quentin Williams pass complete to Frank Brown for 55 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK), (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BCU win probability +25.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: BCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 5:16: Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex McGough failed ) — FIU win probability +28.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 01:27 — BCU win probability +12.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the BthCk 29 — FIU win probability +14.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:05: Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 00:05 — BCU win probability +18.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 11 of 15BCU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:32BCU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.5%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 13:32BCU 4th & 6 at FIU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    45.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:26FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36BCU 4th & 10 at BCU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:38FIU 4th & 3 at BCU 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.8%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00BCU 4th & 6 at FIU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:07FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:02FIU 4th & 5 at BCU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−6.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:02BCU 4th & 5 at BCU 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:52FIU 4th & 2 at BCU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−5.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:27FIU 4th & 7 at BCU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−6.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:48BCU 4th & 14 at BCU 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−2.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:35FIU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00BCU 4th & 14 at BCU 16, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:04FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 44, down 1
    Close callPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 11:13BCU 4th & 14 at BCU 10, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−2.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 9:08FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−4.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  19. Q3 7:05BCU 4th & 4 at BCU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  20. Q3 3:35FIU 4th & 4 at BCU 35, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−2.4
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−4.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:26FIU 4th & 1 at BCU 39, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−5.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−6.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:08BCU 4th & 15 at BCU 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−4.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  23. Q4 5:16FIU 4th & 5 at BCU 5, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    18.2%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−11.7
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:16BCU 4th & 9 at BCU 26, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−5.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  25. Q4 1:27FIU 4th & 13 at FIU 36, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.0%−1.8
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:05FIU 4th & 7 at BCU 29, down 2
    Numbers favored field goal by 27.6 ptsWent for it · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%−27.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    52.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−40.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 11:26BCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:26BCU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
57.5%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Erik Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
57.5%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
57.5%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-5
57.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+48
57.5%
Chris Ayers punt for 33 yds, downed at the FLAINTL 49 BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the BthCk 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
57.6%
Anthony Jordan run for 3 yds to the BthCk 37Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
57.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OFF (N/A) to the BthCk 42Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+15
57.5%
Cary White run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
57.4%
Cary White run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 35
0
57.4%
Quentin Williams run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+1
57.4%
Quentin Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
57.5%
Cary White run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
57.4%
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
57.4%
Anthony Jordan run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
57.4%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 6
OPP 28
-2
57.5%
Quentin Williams sacked by Lars Koht for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
57.8%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
57.9%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-3
57.9%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Erik Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
57.4%
Chris Ayers punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BthCk 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2043% → 42%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
57.0%
Quentin Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 44Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 44
-3
56.8%
Drexler Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the BthCk 41Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
57.5%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+34
58.2%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 48 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 34 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:4259% → 59%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
59.0%
E.J. Hilliard run for 6 yds to the BthCk 49Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
59.3%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the BthCk 49Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+9
59.1%
E.J. Hilliard run for 9 yds to the BthCk 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
59.3%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds to the BthCk 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
59.6%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the BthCk 24Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
59.6%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+6
59.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the BthCk 18Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
59.2%
Austin Taylor 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:3842% → 43%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
57.6%
Quentin Williams run for 4 yds to the BthCk 24Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
57.5%
Quentin Williams run for 9 yds to the BthCk 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
57.3%
Anthony Jordan run for 14 yds to the BthCk 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
56.4%
Anthony Jordan run for 2 yds to the BthCk 49Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+5
56.3%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Jhomo Gordon for 5 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-3
56.1%
Quentin Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
57.3%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
58.8%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
58.8%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
58.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
57.7%
Chris Ayers punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BthCk 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:2044% → 51%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
56.2%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to Jhomo GordonSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
56.6%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the BthCk 36Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
57.5%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+46
57.9%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Michael D. Jones for 46 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
55.1%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Darian Baker for 17 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.6%
Michael D. Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2453% → 56%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
53.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 9 yds to the BthCk 34Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+22
54.2%
Alex Gardner run for 22 yds to the BthCk 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
54.2%
Glenn Coleman run for no gain to the BthCk 12Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
54.2%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to SMITH, Jonnu (SIMMONS,Ty're), PENALTY BCU OFF 5 yards to the BCU7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
54.2%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the BthCk 7Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 7
0
53.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
55.8%
Austin Taylor 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
54.4%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+5
54.5%
Quentin Williams run for 5 yds to the BthCk 15Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
54.8%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to Darian BakerSimilar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+10
55.6%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 45 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for 10 yds to the FlaIn 25 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:2555% → 57%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
55.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+28
54.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 28 yds to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
57.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 6 yds to the BthCk 26Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+3
57.0%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the BthCk 23Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-1
55.8%
Lamarq Caldwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 24Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+3
54.8%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the BthCk 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
57.0%
McGOUGH, Alex sacked for loss of 3 yards to the BCU24 (TEAM), PENALTY BCU personal foul (WILLIAMS,Erik) 10 yards to the BCU11, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
57.0%
E.J. Hilliard run for 2 yds to the BthCk 9Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
57.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 6 yds to the BthCk 3Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
55.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem Griner, broken up by Marquis DraytonSimilar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 2
OPP 3
-5
52.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (Alex McGough) to the BthCk 8Similar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
56.5%
Austin Taylor 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:3947% → 46%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 5 yds to the BthCk 30Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-4
52.1%
Quentin Williams sacked by Treyvon Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the BthCk 26Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
53.9%
Quentin Williams sacked by Jordan Guest for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 21Similar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+15
54.5%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 39 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 15 yds to the BthCk 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0058% → 53%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
57.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
57.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Jonnu Smith) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 15
50
0
55.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 15
50
0
53.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 15
50
0
52.9%
Chris Ayers punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
53.4%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to Darian BakerSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+7
53.8%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Jhomo Gordon for 7 yds to the BthCk 18Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+4
54.2%
Quentin Williams run for 4 yds to the BthCk 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
53.0%
Quentin Williams sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 5 yards to the BthCk 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0048% → 45%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.3%
Anthony Jordan run for 4 yds to the BthCk 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
52.0%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to Jhomo Gordon, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-6
53.4%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the BthCk 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
-2
53.9%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Drexler Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 16Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+15
54.9%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 61 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 15 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1056% → 53%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
55.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Lamarq Caldwell for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
57.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-3
56.0%
Lamarq Caldwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 12:04
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
52.9%
Chris Ayers punt for 42 yds, downed at the BthCk 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
51.8%
Anthony Jordan run for 2 yds to the BthCk 16Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+2
51.9%
Quentin Williams run for 2 yds to the BthCk 18Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 6
OWN 18
-8
53.0%
Quentin Williams sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 8 yards to the BthCk 10Similar
Q3 11:13
4TH & 14
OWN 10
+4
54.3%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 40 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for 4 yds to the BthCk 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0058% → 51%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
57.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
57.4%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 1 yd to the BthCk 45Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 9
OPP 45
-10
56.0%
McGOUGH, Alex rush for 23 yards to the BCU22 (HUFF,Trevin), PENALTY FIU holding (NIELSEN, Aaron) 10 yards to the FIU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 19
OWN 45
0
52.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
50.9%
Chris Ayers punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:3349% → 48%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.0%
Quentin Williams run for no gain to the BthCk 20Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
51.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 4 yds to the BthCk 24Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+12
52.8%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Jhomo Gordon for 12 yds to the BthCk 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
49.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 4 yds to the BthCk 40Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
48.4%
Quentin Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 43Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-1
48.8%
Anthony Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 42Similar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+13
51.9%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 38 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 13 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
52.7%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-5
56.3%
Alex McGough sacked by Erik Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+15
50.9%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (LeBrandon Richardson) to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
56.7%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 9
50
+9
56.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 9 yds to the BthCk 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
57.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
59.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex Gardner, broken up by Erik WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
57.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dominique RhymesSimilar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
54.4%
Chris Ayers punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:3450% → 80%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
49.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 8 yds to the BthCk 28Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
47.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd to the BthCk 29Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
49.5%
Quentin Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
46.9%
Quentin Williams run for 3 yds to the BthCk 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
46.5%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Justin Henderson for 9 yds to the BthCk 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
44.8%
Anthony Jordan run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
50
-5
43.7%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the BthCk 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
45.0%
Quentin Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+55
19.7%
Quentin Williams pass complete to Frank Brown for 55 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK), (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0024% → 26%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
23.5%
Alex McGough sacked by LeBrandon Richardson for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+17
22.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 17 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
25.8%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the BthCk 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
27.8%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the BthCk 47Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
27.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 3 yds to the BthCk 44Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
27.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 6
OPP 44
+5
24.4%
AYERS, Chris punt 44 yards to the BCU0, touchback, PENALTY BCU roughing the kicker (HARRIS,Korey) 5 yards to the BCU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
25.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1583% → 86%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
16.6%
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd to the BthCk 40Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+1
16.9%
Anthony Jordan run for 1 yd to the BthCk 41Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-7
17.3%
Quentin Williams sacked by Denzell Perine and Michael Wakefield for a loss of 7 yards to the BthCk 34Similar
Q4 7:08
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+71
13.8%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 44 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 71 yds to the BthCk 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3125% → 51%
Q4 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
25.2%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the BthCk 4Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
25.2%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the BthCk 5Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
22.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
Q4 5:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
51.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex McGough failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCUDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0062% → 58%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.3%
Anthony Jordan run for 3 yds to the BthCk 28Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
37.6%
Anthony Jordan run for 3 yds to the BthCk 31Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
38.0%
Anthony Jordan run for no gain to the BthCk 31Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
40.8%
BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, delay of game (Jonathan Cagle) to the BthCk 26Similar
Q4 5:16
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
42.1%
Jonathan Cagle punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26DOWNS
12 plays · 16 yds · 2:3746% → 18%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
45.6%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
45.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
44.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 8
OWN 41
-5
32.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (N/A) to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+32
30.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 17 yds to the FLAINTL 47 for a 1ST down BETHUNE COOKMAN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the BthCk 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
45.3%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the BthCk 29Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
45.3%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 2 yds to the BthCk 27Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 5
OPP 27
-2
26.6%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 2 yards to the BthCk 29Similar
Q4 0:05
4TH & 7
OPP 29
-16
18.2%
Chris Ayers run for a loss of 16 yards to the BthCk 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:16
Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex McGough failed )
+28.3
TD · Q4 12:26
Quentin Williams pass complete to Frank Brown for 55 yds for a TD, (Haden Hoggarth KICK), (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-25.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:05
Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 00:05
-18.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com