Try the model
BGSU

Bowling Green 31 at Western Kentucky 59

WKU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2014 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joe Davidson punt for 49 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Pregame prior−15.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:36: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 34 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +18.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:54: Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +12.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:41: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +20.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Garrett Schwettman 29 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +11.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:16: Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 41 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:05WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:32BGSU 4th & 3 at WKU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:29BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55WKU 4th & 12 at BGSU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:50BGSU 4th & 13 at WKU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WKU 4th & 12 at BGSU 12, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−10.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:54WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 28, up 21
    Close callPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:12WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:29WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:36WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:54BGSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:41WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:24WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:54BGSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:16BGSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:23WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:29WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 10:52BGSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:55WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
34.7%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+3
34.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
0
34.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Heath Jackson, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
34.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:2035% → 39%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
35.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+10
35.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
35.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 17 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
35.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
35.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+8
35.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
35.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 11 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
35.5%
Kylen Towner run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
35.5%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.9%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Chris PohlmanSimilar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
38.2%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
38.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
38.4%
Joe Davidson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
39.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 17 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
39.9%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 11
50
-5
39.6%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Bryan Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 45 Brandon Doughty fumbled, recovered by WKent Brandon Doughty , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
39.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:05
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
38.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 68 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
40.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 22Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
40.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
40.2%
Fred Coppet run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
39.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
39.5%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+24
39.5%
Fred Coppet run for 24 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
39.1%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
39.1%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 1
OPP 11
-2
39.5%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+1
39.9%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the WKent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:1243% → 51%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-1
42.6%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 11
OWN 11
0
42.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+12
42.2%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
42.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
42.8%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
43.0%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+8
42.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 8 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
51.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 55 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
48.7%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
48.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
49.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Herve CobySimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+9
49.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 46 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 9 yds to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:4652% → 53%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
52.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 16 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
52.1%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, face mask (21 yards) (Gus Schwieterman) to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
52.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
52.1%
[SHOT], DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to GORSKI, Tim for 9 yards to the BGSU13, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WKU holding 10 yards to the BGSU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
51.8%
Kylen Towner run for no gain to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+8
51.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 8 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+41
52.9%
Garrett Schwettman 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9MISSED FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 3:4748% → 45%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
51.6%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
51.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Heath Jackson for 10 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
51.3%
[SHOT], JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to MOORE, Ronnie (WARD, Marcus), PENALTY WKU pass interference (WARD, Marcus) 11 yards to the BGSU48, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
50.8%
Travis Greene run for 9 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+2
50.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 2 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
50.6%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
49.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-5
50.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+16
51.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 16 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
49.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Logan Dietz) to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+12
50.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 12 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+8
49.6%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
49.6%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
49.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Chris PohlmanSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 0
OPP 10
+27
55.1%
Tyler Tate 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:3258% → 78%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
58.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
58.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Bryan Thomas) to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 5
OWN 38
0
59.3%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
59.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+16
58.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
59.5%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
59.5%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
58.8%
Brandon Doughty run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
77.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 34 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:4227% → 43%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
73.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
73.3%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by DeMarcus GloverSimilar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+16
72.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+24
70.8%
Fred Coppet run for 24 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
69.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Heath Jackson for 19 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
69.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Heath Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.6%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1360% → 82%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
60.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 24 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
61.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (Bryan Thomas) to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 5
OPP 46
+4
61.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+30
61.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 17 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (Gabe Martin) to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
61.8%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
61.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 4 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
81.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:5123% → 28%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
77.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 18 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+23
76.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 23 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
74.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 6 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
74.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-9
75.0%
Matt Johnson sacked by Bryan Shorter for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+52
71.6%
Tyler Tate 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 2:5071% → 88%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
70.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
70.6%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
73.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+31
74.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 31 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
74.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
74.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
74.4%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
74.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
88.2%
Garrett Schwettman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:3688% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
87.5%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
87.5%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+11
87.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 11 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
88.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 8 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+14
88.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
88.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+10
88.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
88.1%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+6
88.1%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:302% → 10%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+27
97.6%
Travis Greene run for 27 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
97.5%
[SHOT], GREENE, Travis rush for 5 yards to the WKU40 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY WKU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the WKU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+4
97.2%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+3
97.2%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
97.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 15 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
97.2%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+13
97.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 13 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.1%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
92.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 4 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
92.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
92.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+5
92.3%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+28
92.5%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 51 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 28 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:398% → 21%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
91.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Heath Jackson for 15 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
91.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Ronnie Moore) to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+41
79.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 41 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:5383% → 94%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
83.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 29 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
84.4%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
84.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 6 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
84.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+5
84.6%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
84.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 3 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
84.6%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+20
94.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 20 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
94.7%
Matt Johnson run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 11 Matt Johnson fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Matt JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+19
94.8%
Matt Johnson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Ward) to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
94.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 23Similar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
94.4%
Matt Johnson sacked by Tanner Reeves for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
94.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:0896% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.3%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
96.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (N/A) to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+3
96.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 3 yds Leon Allen fumbled, forced by Gabe Martin, recovered by WKent Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 2:37
3RD & 12
OWN 21
+20
96.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 20 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+24
96.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 24 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
96.6%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
97.9%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+16
97.8%
Leon Allen run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
97.9%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
97.9%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:370% → 2%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 15 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Chris PohlmanSimilar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+14
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 14 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
99.7%
Matt Johnson sacked by Tanner Reeves for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+8
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Heath Jackson for 8 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+12
99.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.0%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:5799% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
98.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.6%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
98.7%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 36 Leon Allen fumbled, recovered by WKent Leon Allen , return for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 23
OWN 36
+7
98.6%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+17
98.6%
Leon Allen run for 17 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+8
98.7%
Anthony Wales run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
98.7%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+18
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 18 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
98.7%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:41
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+20.2
TD · Q2 8:36
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 34 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q2 6:54
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-12.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com