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BGSU

Bowling Green 17 at Wisconsin 68

WIS
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG—WIS 100.0%Rafael Gaglianone 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 68 · Q4 3:30
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:30 · Rafael Gaglianone 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+31.5Blowout margin+17.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.9Garbage-time factor+13.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:28: Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:27: Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 34 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:18: Melvin Gordon run for 50 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone MISSED) — WIS win probability +5.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:18: Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:18: Melvin Gordon run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 14:01BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28BGSU 4th & 2 at BGSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:01BGSU 4th & 5 at WIS 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:35BGSU 4th & 21 at BGSU 17, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:24BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:44BGSU 4th & 9 at BGSU 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:29BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51BGSU 4th & 28 at BGSU 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:58BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 32, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:54WIS 4th & 4 at BGSU 10, up 52
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:19WIS 4th & 3 at BGSU 42, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:49BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 9, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:30WIS 4th & 6 at BGSU 25, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:18BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 24, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:49WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:33BGSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:28WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:18WIS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:18WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:14WIS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:28WIS Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:40WIS Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:37BGSU Touchdown, down 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5611% → 11%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+38
89.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 37 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 38 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
2 plays · 24 yds · 0:0689% → 89%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
89.2%
Tanner McEvoy run for 24 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1111% → 11%
Q1 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.2%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
89.1%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
89.1%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+39
89.0%
Joe Davidson punt for 39 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4489% → 89%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
89.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 5
OWN 32
+3
89.0%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 3 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
89.0%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 35 Melvin Gordon fumbled, forced by Jude Adjei-Barimah, recovered by BwGrn Nate LockeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
88.2%
Fred Coppet run for 35 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3988% → 89%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
88.3%
Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
88.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Corey Clement for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
88.2%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 1
50
+3
87.9%
Tanner McEvoy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
87.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+24
87.7%
Tanner McEvoy run for 24 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
87.8%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
87.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 7 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 7:42
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+8
87.4%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
87.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 6 yds to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:4512% → 12%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
88.1%
Andre Givens run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+15
88.1%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Shelton, Sojourn) 15 yards to the BOWLGREEN35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.9%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
87.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
87.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
88.1%
Joe Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:5988% → 87%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
88.0%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
87.9%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-2
87.6%
Tanner McEvoy sacked by Bryan Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 19 Tanner McEvoy fumbled, forced by Bryan Thomas, recovered by Wisc Rob Havenstein , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
87.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 43 yds, downed at the BwGrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 1:4913% → 15%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
87.3%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
87.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+9
87.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+36
86.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 36 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
86.2%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
86.1%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
86.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Chris PohlmanSimilar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
85.3%
Tyler Tate 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 47 yds · 0:2986% → 86%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
85.7%
Kenzel Doe run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+40
85.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 40 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
86.4%
Tanner McEvoy run for no gain to the BwGrn 28 Tanner McEvoy fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Taylor RoysterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:4615% → 14%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
85.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-1
85.5%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-10
85.7%
James Knapke sacked by Derek Landisch for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 17 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (James Knapke) to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 14:35
4TH & 21
OWN 17
+40
85.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 57 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 40 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
88.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 34 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13INT
12 plays · 52 yds · 1:5213% → 12%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.5%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+33
87.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 33 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
86.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+7
86.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
86.5%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
86.8%
James Knapke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 8Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+43
88.3%
James Knapke pass intercepted Lubern Figaro return for 43 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:5889% → 95%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
89.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Sideline Interference (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+13
89.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-1
89.3%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 3
50
+50
94.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 50 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:128% → 8%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 15 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.8%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
91.9%
Knapke, James pass incomplete to Lewis, Roger, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Gaulden, Devin) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
91.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
91.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+3
92.0%
James Knapke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43 James Knapke fumbled, forced by Derek Landisch, recovered by Wisc Alec JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:1595% → 97%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
95.3%
George Rushing run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+12
95.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
94.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
95.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+6
94.7%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
95.0%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+9
95.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
95.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
95.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
94.8%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:315% → 4%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-8
95.4%
James Knapke sacked by Derek Landisch for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 18
OWN 13
-7
95.5%
Greene, Travis rush for 9 yards to the BOWLGREEN22, PENALTY BOWLGREEN personal foul 7 yards to the BOWLGREEN7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 24
OWN 7
+5
95.6%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 12Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 19
OWN 12
+11
95.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 11 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & 8
OWN 23
+5
95.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 49 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 5 yds to the Wisc 28 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18INT
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:4397% → 97%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
96.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
97.0%
Tanner McEvoy pass intercepted Nick Johnson return for 22 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:384% → 4%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
95.8%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
95.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
95.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:2697% → 99%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
97.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for 8 yds to the Wisc 40 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Alex Erickson) to the Wisc 30Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 12
OWN 30
+9
97.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 9 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+20
97.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 20 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
97.4%
Tanner McEvoy run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
97.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 5 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+21
99.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2999% → 99%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
99.3%
Melvin Gordon run for 69 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:451% → 1%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
99.2%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+1
99.2%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
99.3%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 18Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+12
99.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 12 yds to the BwGrn 30 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
99.4%
Joe Davidson punt for 55 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 5 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+62
99.5%
Tanner McEvoy run for 62 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.5%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 3
OPP 13
+13
99.6%
Corey Clement run for 13 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · -3 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-10
99.6%
Coppet, Fred rush for 33 yards to the WISCONSIN43, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding 10 yards to the BOWLGREEN14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 20
OWN 14
+10
99.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 10 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
99.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 15 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.6%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 5 yards to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 15
OWN 34
-2
99.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 17
OWN 32
-11
99.7%
James Knapke sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 11 yards to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 28
OWN 21
+17
99.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 57 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 17 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.7%
Kenzel Doe run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
99.7%
Corey Clement run for 19 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+22
99.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 22 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Cody Callaway pass complete to Herve Coby for 5 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
99.8%
Andre Givens run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Cody Callaway pass incomplete to Herve CobySimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 42 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 1 yd to the Wisc 27 Kenzel Doe fumbled, recovered by Wisc Kenzel DoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
George Rushing run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+23
99.9%
Corey Clement run for 23 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+10
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Eric SteffesSimilar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
99.9%
Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Cody Callaway run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Andre Givens run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
Cody Callaway pass complete to John Klingerman for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
99.9%
Andre Givens run for 60 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+2
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Brandon English run for no gain to the BwGrn 4Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+5
100.0%
Brandon English run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Cody Callaway pass incomplete to Teo ReddingSimilar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Joe Davidson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the BwGrn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 32FG
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:27100% → 100%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+14
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
100.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to George RushingSimilar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+43
100.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Brandon English run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Cody Callaway pass incomplete to John KlingermanSimilar
Q4 2:46
3RD & 7
OWN 27
-3
100.0%
Cody Callaway sacked by Josh Harrison for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Joe Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 34END OF GAME
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 8 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+21
100.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 21 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:18
Melvin Gordon run for 50 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone MISSED)
+5.4
TD · Q2 14:27
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 34 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 5:18
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com