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WIU

Western Illinois 3 at Wisconsin 37

WIS
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:13 · Nathan Knuffman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+31.3Garbage-time factor+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Blowout margin+17.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:16: Tanner McEvoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:01: Nathan Knuffman 29 Yd Field Goal — WIU win probability +0.7 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:52: Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 24 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down — WIS win probability +0.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:18: Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:19: Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:54WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 26, up 2
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 42, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 38, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:31WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 39, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:09WIS 4th & 1 at WIU 7, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:27WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 13, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:45WIS 4th & 1 at WIU 42, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−1.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:18WIS 4th & 2 at WIU 3, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−0.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:16WIU 4th & 7 at WIU 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:53WIU 4th & 3 at WIU 15, down 20
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:50WIS 4th & 11 at WIU 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:28WIU 4th & 22 at WIU 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:13WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 29, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 2:16WIS Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:18WIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:19WIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:47WIS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:42WIS Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0599% → 99%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.0%
Andrew Endicott kickoff for 64 yds for a SAFETY , Kyle Hammonds return for a loss of 1 yardSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.0%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 16Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+4
98.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+6
98.9%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:151% → 1%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
98.8%
J.C. Baker run for 5 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 43
-1
98.8%
J.C. Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 42Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Lance Lenoir, broken up by Joe SchobertSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
98.7%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:1899% → 98%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.7%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
98.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+8
98.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
98.5%
Kenzel Doe run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+17
98.5%
Tanner McEvoy run for 17 yds to the WIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
98.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Rob Havenstein) to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 15
OWN 47
0
98.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass intercepted Dallas Nichols return for no gain to the WIll 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4INT
15 plays · 61 yds · 6:342% → 3%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
98.4%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 8 yds to the WIll 34Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
98.3%
J.C. Baker run for 3 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
98.3%
J.C. Baker run for 5 yds to the WIll 42Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
98.2%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Taylor Hill for 3 yds to the WIll 45Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
98.2%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the WIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.1%
J.C. Baker run for no gain to the WIll 47Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+14
98.0%
Norvell, Trenton pass incomplete to Borsellino, Joey, PENALTY WISCONSIN roughing passer (Biegel, Vince) 14 yards to the WISCONSIN39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTERNILL. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
98.0%
Trenton Norvell sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+18
97.9%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 18 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
97.7%
J.C. Baker run for 7 yds to the Wisc 19Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
97.7%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
97.6%
J.C. Baker run for 3 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
97.5%
J.C. Baker run for 1 yd to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+27
97.3%
Trenton Norvell pass intercepted Michael Caputo return for 27 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2498% → 97%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
97.5%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 0:09
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
97.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Jordan FredrickSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+27
97.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 54 yds , Hi-C Scott returns for 27 yds to the WIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:243% → 3%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.2%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Lance Lenoir, broken up by Devin GauldenSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
97.2%
Kyle Hammonds run for 2 yds to the WIll 37Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Taylor Hill for 2 yds to the WIll 39Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
97.0%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 58 yds, downed at the Wisc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7DOWNS
19 plays · 90 yds · 8:1597% → 96%
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
97.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-1
96.9%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 5Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+13
96.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 13 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
96.7%
Gordon, Melvin rush for 4 yards to the WISCONSIN22, PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal block 9 yards to the WISCONSIN9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+5
96.6%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
96.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+22
96.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 22 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
96.4%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 33Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+14
96.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 14 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
96.4%
Corey Clement run for 12 yds to the WIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
96.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 6 yds to the WIll 35Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+9
96.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 9 yds to the WIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+10
96.5%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to George Rushing for 10 yds to the WIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
96.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the WIll 13Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
96.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 14Similar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
95.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Corey Clement for 7 yds to the WIll 7Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
95.6%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the WIll 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:375% → 5%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
95.3%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the WIll 9Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+4
95.1%
J.C. Baker run for 4 yds to the WIll 13Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
94.9%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Hi-C ScottSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
95.1%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 37 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for no gain to the Wisc 46 Kenzel Doe fumbled, recovered by Wisc Kenzel DoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 1:0195% → 97%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
95.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 37 yds to the WIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
95.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 10 yds to the WIll 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
96.8%
Tanner McEvoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 10END OF HALF
14 plays · 67 yds · 2:024% → 6%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
96.5%
J.C. Baker run for 6 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+7
96.2%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 7 yds to the WIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to J.C. BakerSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+9
96.2%
J.C. Baker run for 9 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+8
95.7%
Trenton Norvell run for 8 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
95.6%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to J'Vaughn Williams for 19 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
95.2%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Lance Lenoir for 8 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+8
95.1%
J.C. Baker run for 8 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
95.0%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
95.0%
Trenton Norvell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+29
94.3%
Nathan Knuffman 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3495% → 97%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
94.8%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 24 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
95.2%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 48Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+8
94.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 8 yds to the WIll 44Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+2
94.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the WIll 42Similar
Q3 12:45
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+21
94.2%
Melvin Gordon run for 21 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
94.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the WIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
94.5%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 14Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+5
94.2%
Tanner McEvoy run for 5 yds to the WIll 9Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+6
93.8%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the WIll 3Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
96.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:504% → 4%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.4%
J.C. Baker run for no gain to the WIll 22Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
96.3%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to J'Vaughn Williams for 8 yds to the WIll 30Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 2
OWN 30
-5
96.0%
J.C. Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the WIll 25Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+32
96.3%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the WISCONSIN 38 WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:5197% → 99%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
96.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 25 yds to the WIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+24
96.8%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 16 yds to the WIll 16 for a 1ST down WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Dallas Nichols) to the WIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
98.9%
J.C. Baker run for no gain to the WIll 8Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+6
98.9%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Lance Lenoir for 6 yds to the WIll 14Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+1
98.9%
Trenton Norvell run for 1 yd to the WIll 15Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 3
OWN 15
+6
98.9%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 44 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 6 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:5699% → 99%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
99.0%
Tanner McEvoy sacked by Eddy Holtschlag for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 16
OWN 41
+22
99.0%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Corey Clement for 22 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.0%
Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the WIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
99.0%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+9
99.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 9 yds to the WIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.2%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 15Similar
Q3 0:06
2ND & 11
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for no gain to the WIll 15Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
99.2%
Rafael Gaglianone 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 2:151% → 1%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.1%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 7 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.1%
Kyle Hammonds run for 2 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Devon Moore run for 2 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Joey BorsellinoSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-12
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the WIll 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WIll Trenton NorvellSimilar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 22
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Joey BorsellinoSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 22
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wisc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:3499% → 100%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.3%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 11 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 15 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
99.4%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 30Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the WIll 30Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+11
99.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 1 yd to the WIll 29 WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jeremy Curry) to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+9
99.7%
Tanner McEvoy run for 9 yds to the WIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to J.C. Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+16
100.0%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 16 yds to the WIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
J.C. Baker run for 3 yds to the WIll 38Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-4
99.9%
Trenton Norvell sacked by Jesse Hayes for a loss of 4 yards to the WIll 34 Trenton Norvell fumbled, forced by Jesse Hayes, recovered by Wisc James Adeyanju , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
99.9%
Corey Clement run for 21 yds to the WIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
100.0%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the WIll 10Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+4
100.0%
Bart Houston run for 4 yds to the WIll 6Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Corey Clement for 6 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the WIll 25Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Tyler Bode) to the WIll 20Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
J.C. Baker run for 2 yds to the WIll 22Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+7
100.0%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Hi-C Scott for 7 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
D.J. Spurling run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
100.0%
D.J. Spurling run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:18
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 3 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q3 6:19
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 8 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 2:16
Tanner McEvoy run for 7 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com