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WIS

Wisconsin 24 at LSU 28

LSU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · NRG Stadium
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Win probability · LSU
modelLSU aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playLSU scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:30 · Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense−12.1Pregame prior+4.7Score differential−5.6Garbage-time factor−3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:36: Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds for a TD — WIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:24: Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +15.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 2:11: Colby Delahoussaye 47 yd FG GOOD — LSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 26%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:08: Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 35 yds for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 12:08 (Two pt pass, Anthony Jennings pass to Trey Quinn GOOD) — LSU win probability +21.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:41: Kenny Hilliard run for 28 yds for a TD (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +31.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11WIS made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 12:10LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:07WIS 4th & 6 at LSU 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:03LSU 4th & 11 at WIS 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:24WIS 4th & 5 at LSU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    43.3%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:18LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:35WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:01LSU 4th & 8 at LSU 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:21WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:15LSU 4th & 19 at LSU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:16WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:21LSU 4th & 15 at WIS 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:30WIS 4th & 1 at LSU 3, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.3%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−2.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    52.9%−10.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:00LSU 4th & 4 at LSU 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:41LSU 4th & 13 at WIS 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−6.8
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:11WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:11LSU 4th & 7 at WIS 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.7%−1.3
    average punt
  19. Q3 0:20WIS 4th & 2 at WIS 33, up 11
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:23LSU 4th & 11 at WIS 49, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:26WIS 4th & 12 at WIS 8, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WIS made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:05WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:47LSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:24WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:08LSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:41LSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3061% → 60%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
60.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+3
60.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+5
60.4%
Anthony Jennings run for 5 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
60.5%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LSU 26Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
60.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
60.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Terrence MageeSimilar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
60.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:2540% → 42%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
60.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 32
-2
60.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 30 Tanner McEvoy fumbled, recovered by Wisc Tanner McEvoySimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+6
60.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
60.2%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+20
60.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
57.6%
Reggie Love run for 45 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:3658% → 57%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
58.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Kenny Hilliard for 10 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
58.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+2
58.2%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
57.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
57.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:3844% → 44%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
56.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+22
56.2%
Tanner McEvoy run for 22 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
55.8%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
55.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
55.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+51
55.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
58.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 80 yds for a TD (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5041% → 40%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
59.3%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 6
OWN 12
0
59.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Devin GauldenSimilar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
59.5%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 6
OWN 12
+9
59.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 35 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 21 LSU Penalty, Illegal Block (Lamar Louis) to the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:5760% → 58%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
60.0%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 49Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+2
58.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
58.7%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
57.9%
Jamie Keehn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:2142% → 44%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-6
58.4%
Gordon, Melvin rush for 8 yards to the WISCONSIN21, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Arneson, Sam) 6 yards to the WISCONSIN7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 16
OWN 7
+6
58.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 6 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+7
58.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 7 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+9
58.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
57.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 13 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
56.4%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 42Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
56.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Alex Erickson for 14 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
55.9%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
55.1%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Melvin GordonSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
55.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q2 13:24
4TH & 5
OPP 39
+22
56.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 22 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5257% → 55%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
56.8%
Terrence Magee run for 4 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
56.6%
Terrence Magee run for no gain to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
55.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
55.4%
Jamie Keehn punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2043% → 42%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
56.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Kyle Costigan for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 15
OWN 11
+1
56.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 12Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+8
57.2%
Tanner McEvoy run for 8 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
57.7%
Drew Meyer punt for 50 yds, downed at the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:1757% → 56%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
56.5%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
56.1%
LSU Penalty, False Start (Vadal Alexander) to the LSU 24Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+7
55.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travis Dickson for 7 yds Travis Dickson fumbled, forced by Joe Schobert, recovered by Wisc Michael CaputoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:5947% → 57%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
53.0%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+6
53.0%
Corey Clement run for 6 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+7
53.3%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
50.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 5 yds to the LSU 14Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
43.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:1445% → 44%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
45.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Trey Quinn for 11 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to DeSean SmithSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
45.4%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 42Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
44.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travin DuralSimilar
Q2 6:01
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
43.8%
Jamie Keehn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0956% → 55%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
44.4%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
44.2%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
44.5%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 6
OWN 18
+6
45.1%
Drew Meyer punt for 50 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 6 yds to the LSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:4544% → 40%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
43.9%
Trey Quinn run for 2 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
43.6%
Brandon Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 39Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-10
40.8%
Brandon Harris sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 10 yards to the LSU 29Similar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 19
OWN 29
-3
39.5%
Jamie Keehn punt for 54 yds for a 1ST down , Kenzel Doe returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3959% → 59%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
40.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 7 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
39.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to George RushingSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
40.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for no gain to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 3
OWN 36
+2
40.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 35 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:4437% → 36%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
36.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Kenny Hilliard for 12 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
37.7%
Jennings, Anthony pass incomplete to Dural, Travin, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Gaulden, Devin) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
39.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
38.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
37.6%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Travis DicksonSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 10
OPP 42
-5
36.4%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
35.6%
Jamie Keehn punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wisc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
39.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 6Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
39.5%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Cameron Gamble) to the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0160% → 78%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+63
39.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 63 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
37.3%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the LSU 9Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
36.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Derek WattSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
36.6%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the LSU 3Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+1
37.3%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the LSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.0%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1926% → 25%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
25.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 4 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
26.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the LSU 44Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 3
OWN 44
-1
25.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 43Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+5
23.8%
Kendell Beckwith run for 5 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+44
24.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 44 yds to the Wisc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
25.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
24.8%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the Wisc 5Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
23.6%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Marcus Trotter for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 8Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 0
OPP 8
-5
24.1%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Colby Delahoussaye) to the Wisc 13Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
24.9%
Colby Delahoussaye 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1578% → 80%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
21.6%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Sherard CadoganSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
20.5%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+6
20.7%
Tanner McEvoy run for 6 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
20.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3924% → 26%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
23.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+7
24.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 7 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
23.4%
Terrence Magee run for 1 yd to the Wisc 47Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
22.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+12
22.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 12 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
23.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
22.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
21.4%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+47
25.8%
Colby Delahoussaye 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2574% → 77%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
25.8%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Reggie Love for 2 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+6
25.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 6 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
23.4%
Drew Meyer punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:5225% → 44%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
25.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
25.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the LSU 49Similar
Q4 14:34
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
25.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
24.8%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Jake Keefer for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 14
OWN 48
+27
21.8%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Travin Dural for 27 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
26.1%
Anthony Jennings run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 35 Anthony Jennings fumbled, recovered by LSU Leonard FournetteSimilar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 20
OPP 35
0
23.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Trey QuinnSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 20
OPP 35
+35
44.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 35 yds for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 12:08 (Two pt pass, Anthony Jennings pass to Trey Quinn GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2463% → 61%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
37.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-5
35.4%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Sam Arneson) to the Wisc 33Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
39.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass intercepted Jalen Mills return for no gain to the LSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:5445% → 77%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
44.6%
Kenny Hilliard run for 17 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
45.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+28
76.5%
Kenny Hilliard run for 28 yds for a TD (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 27INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:5534% → 35%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
66.2%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
66.9%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
65.2%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Austin Traylor for 9 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
60.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
63.0%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
64.7%
Tanner McEvoy pass intercepted Ronald Martin return for 8 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3779% → 86%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
78.7%
Terrence Magee run for 2 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
80.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+17
82.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 17 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
87.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+5
87.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-3
87.4%
Leonard Fournette run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 6
OPP 44
-5
86.6%
LSU Penalty, Delay of Game (Jamie Keehn) to the Wisc 49Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
86.3%
Jamie Keehn punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4424% → 20%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
75.6%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 8Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 8
0
76.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 12
OWN 8
0
78.3%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 12
OWN 8
0
79.7%
Drew Meyer punt for 57 yds, downed at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 30END OF GAME
8 plays · 7 yds · 1:1993% → 96%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Kenny Hilliard run for 6 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
94.1%
Kenny Hilliard run for 1 yd to the LSU 42Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
93.8%
Kenny Hilliard run for 4 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-2
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:41
Kenny Hilliard run for 28 yds for a TD (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
+31
TD · Q4 12:08
Anthony Jennings pass complete to John Diarse for 35 yds for a TD Timeout LSU, clock 12:08 (Two pt pass, Anthony Jennings pass to Trey Quinn GOOD)
+21.3
TD · Q3 12:24
Corey Clement run for 2 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com