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WIS

Wisconsin 37 at Rutgers 0

RUTG
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:43 · Bart Houston punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rutgr 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.4Pregame prior−25.6Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:52: Melvin Gordon run for 13 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +2.9 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:36: Corey Clement run for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +6.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:35: Melvin Gordon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST down — WIS win probability +4.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:06: Rafael Gaglianone 27 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +3.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:11: Melvin Gordon run for 51 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 10 of 12WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:51WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:43WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:45RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:40WIS 4th & 10 at WIS 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:19RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:54RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 45, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:19WIS 4th & 10 at RUTG 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:20RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:14WIS 4th & 13 at RUTG 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    75.1%−4.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:50RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:37WIS 4th & 1 at RUTG 14, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.6%−0.6
    84% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:22RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:59RUTG 4th & 16 at RUTG 26, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:28WIS 4th & 3 at RUTG 28, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:44RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 31, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:25RUTG 4th & 2 at WIS 38, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:27RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 33, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:47WIS 4th & 4 at WIS 41, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:18RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 26, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:39WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 43, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:52WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:36WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:11WIS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:56WIS Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5878% → 77%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
22.4%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
22.8%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+7
23.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 7 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
23.4%
Bart Houston punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4424% → 25%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
23.5%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
23.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+4
24.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
24.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
24.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
24.8%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
24.7%
Tim Gleeson punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:1875% → 74%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
24.8%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Sam Arneson) to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+1
24.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Wisc 16Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+5
25.2%
Gordon, Melvin rush for 4 yards to the WISCONSIN20, PENALTY RUTGERS offside 5 yards to the WISCONSIN21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
25.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
25.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
25.8%
Bart Houston punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5126% → 26%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
26.2%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
26.2%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
26.1%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
25.9%
Tim Gleeson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:5674% → 72%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
26.1%
George Rushing run for 1 yd to the Wisc 14Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-5
26.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 9Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+4
27.0%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 13Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
27.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 10
OWN 13
+3
27.7%
Bart Houston punt for 40 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1728% → 28%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
50
0
28.2%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
50
+1
28.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Wisc 49Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-7
28.2%
Gary Nova sacked by Derek Landisch for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 16
OWN 44
+24
27.8%
TEAM punt blocked by A.J. Jordan, ball out of bounds at the Rutgr 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:1073% → 76%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
26.7%
Tanner McEvoy run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
27.0%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Sam Arneson for 6 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+13
24.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 13 yds for a TD (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4725% → 26%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.2%
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
25.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
25.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
25.7%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
25.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 8 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
26.4%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andre Patton for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
26.0%
Tim Gleeson punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2975% → 74%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
25.0%
Tanner McEvoy run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
24.6%
Tanner McEvoy run for 7 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
24.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
24.4%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
24.5%
Tanner McEvoy pass incomplete to Sam ArnesonSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
24.7%
Tanner McEvoy run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
25.6%
Drew Meyer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5126% → 26%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
26.1%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
26.5%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
26.0%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
25.8%
Tim Gleeson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3775% → 82%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
25.1%
Joel Stave run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+43
18.5%
Corey Clement run for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:1620% → 21%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
19.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 20 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
20.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+18
20.5%
Gary Nova pass intercepted by Marcus Trotter return for 18 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13FG
10 plays · 19 yds · 4:4482% → 85%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
18.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Melvin GordonSimilar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
18.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
18.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
18.1%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-1
17.9%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+18
18.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 18 yds to the Rutgr 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
17.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
17.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 3:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-8
17.5%
Joel Stave sacked by Darius Hamilton and Kemoko Turay for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+32
15.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:1817% → 17%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.6%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
16.5%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
17.2%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
16.9%
Tim Gleeson punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 2:3483% → 93%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
16.8%
Melvin Gordon run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
15.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+12
11.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
11.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
11.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+8
11.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 8 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+5
12.1%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
11.5%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
7.5%
Rafael Gaglianone 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3213% → 13%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
12.4%
Nova, Gary pass incomplete, PENALTY RUTGERS holding (Lumpkin, Keith) 10 yards to the RUTGERS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+13
12.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 13 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
12.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
12.7%
Joseph Roth punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18TD
1 play · 51 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q3 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
5.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 51 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:565% → 4%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
4.6%
Gary Nova sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+6
4.5%
Desmon Peoples run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-8
4.4%
Gary Nova sacked by Marcus Trotter for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+46
4.2%
Joseph Roth punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the RUTGERS 38 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:2396% → 97%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
3.9%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+24
3.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to George Rushing for 24 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+11
3.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
3.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-9
3.1%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 32 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Troy Fumagalli) 10 yards to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+6
3.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for 6 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+8
2.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to George Rushing for 8 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
2.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
2.2%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
2.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
2.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
2.0%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Keith Lumpkin) 5 yards to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
2.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
1.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
1.8%
Joseph Roth punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
1.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the Wisc 26 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 11Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 21
OWN 11
+6
1.5%
Melvin Gordon run for 6 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+8
1.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 8 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 7
OWN 25
-5
0.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass intercepted by Anthony Cioffi at the Wisc 41, return for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:202% → 1%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.8%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
1.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Michael BurtonSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+8
1.5%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
0.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Michael BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:2199% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
0.7%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-3
0.6%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+10
0.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Krenwick Sanders for 10 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
0.5%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
0.4%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
0.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Melvin GordonSimilar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
0.4%
Corey Clement run for 36 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Joseph Roth punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.4%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
0.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
0.3%
Clement, Corey rush for 5 yards to the WISCONSIN40, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Lewallen, Dallas) 10 yards to the WISCONSIN25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+11
0.3%
Corey Clement run for 11 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
0.2%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to George RushingSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Bart Houston punt for 40 yds, downed at the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
0.1%
Joseph Roth punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:26100% → 100%
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
0.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
0.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
0.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-2
0.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+3
0.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 3:49
4TH & 4
OWN 48
-5
0.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Drew Meyer punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29END OF GAME
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:280% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
0.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+4
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+15
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
0.1%
Robert Martin run for 11 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:11
Melvin Gordon run for 51 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-7.3
TD · Q2 9:36
Corey Clement run for 43 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
-6.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:35
Melvin Gordon run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST down
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com