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Howard 25 at Rutgers 38

RUTG
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · John Fleck punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 44Pregame prior+43.8Home team on offense+0.5Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:17: Paul James run for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) HOWARD Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — RUTG win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:19: William Parker run for 11 yds for a TD, (John Fleck MISSED) — HOW win probability +1.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:44: Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:33: Greg McGhee 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — HOW win probability +1.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:22: Terrence Tusan 70 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — HOW win probability +1.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 7HOW made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 3 at RUTG 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:29RUTG 4th & 24 at HOW 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:29HOW 4th & 2 at HOW 43, up 4
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:17HOW 4th & 20 at HOW 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:53HOW 4th & 11 at midfield, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:31RUTG 4th & 2 at HOW 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:13RUTG 4th & 14 at RUTG 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:06HOW 4th & 21 at HOW 12, down 18
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:43RUTG 4th & 2 at HOW 19, up 19
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:14RUTG 4th & 4 at HOW 48, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:21RUTG 4th & 14 at HOW 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:45HOW 4th & 14 at HOW 5, down 13
    Close callPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5HOW made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:38HOW Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:40RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:36RUTG Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:17RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:52RUTG Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:44RUTG Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:33HOW Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:22HOW Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 7 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+36
98.8%
Joseph Roth punt for 45 yds , Travis Brown returns for 36 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 2TD
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:561% → 2%
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
98.6%
Aquanius Freeman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+6
98.6%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
98.6%
Aquanius Freeman run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
98.6%
Aquanius Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+18
98.6%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 18 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.6%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Matthew Colvin, broken up by Gareef GlashenSimilar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
98.6%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+20
98.2%
Aquanius Freeman run for 20 yds for a TD, (John Fleck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:0998% → 97%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
98.2%
Paul James run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.2%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
98.2%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
98.2%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
50
+11
98.3%
Gary Nova pass complete to Desmon Peoples for 11 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
98.3%
Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 14 yds to the Howrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 9 yds to the Howrd 16Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 5 yds to the Howrd 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.3%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-14
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Howrd 10 RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul (Kaleb Johnson) to the Howrd 25Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 24
OPP 25
0
98.2%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Tamlin AntoineSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 24
OPP 25
+42
97.3%
Kyle Federico 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.3%
Greg McGhee run for 4 yds to the Howrd 39Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
97.2%
Aquanius Freeman run for 4 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
97.2%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to William ParkerSimilar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
97.3%
John Fleck punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:3297% → 97%
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
97.0%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+5
97.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 5 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
97.0%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+69
96.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Paul James for 69 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:343% → 3%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.9%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Myles Williams for 8 yds Myles Williams fumbled, forced by Kevin Snyder, recovered by Howrd N/ASimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-10
96.9%
FREEMAN,Aquaniu rush for 10 yards to the HOWFB1439 (Stephenson, Del), PENALTY HOWFB14 holding (RUTLEDGE,Malcol) 10 yards to the HOWFB1419, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
96.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+11
96.9%
Greg McGhee run for 11 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.0%
John Fleck punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:2897% → 97%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
96.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 14 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
96.7%
Desmon Peoples run for 14 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Howrd 45Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
96.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for 4 yds to the Howrd 41Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
96.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
97.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 38 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:063% → 3%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis BrownSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.1%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 1 yd Aquanius Freeman fumbled, forced by Quentin Gause, recovered by Rutgr Nadir BarnwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:0397% → 98%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+22
97.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 22 yds to the Howrd 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
97.1%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.3%
Paul James run for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) HOWARD Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to William ParkerSimilar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-15
98.0%
McGHEE,Greg rush for 7 yards to the HOWFB1442 (Longa, Steve), PENALTY HOWFB14 personal foul (REYES,Janer) 15 yards to the HOWFB1420, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 25
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 25
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
Greg McGhee run for 5 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 20
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
John Fleck punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 37 , Janarion Grant returns for 7 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
98.3%
Nova, Gary pass incomplete to Tsimis, John, PENALTY HOWFB14 pass interference (DAVID,Julien) 15 yards to the HOWFB1448, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 13 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
98.3%
Paul James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 41 Paul James fumbled, forced by Ibrahima Kebe, recovered by Howrd Trae HaugabookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:242% → 3%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
97.8%
William Parker run for 1 yd to the Howrd 42Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+26
97.8%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 26 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
97.7%
Greg McGhee pass complete to William Parker for 11 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
97.6%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
97.7%
William Parker run for no gain to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+11
97.8%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Robert Mercer for 11 yds to the Rutgr 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
97.6%
Greg McGhee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
97.6%
Greg McGhee run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
97.7%
Greg McGhee sacked by Johnathan Aiken for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 0
OPP 11
+28
97.3%
John Fleck 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nadir Barnwell return for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:1798% → 99%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.0%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+36
98.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 36 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Paul James for 31 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) HOWARD Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
98.6%
William Parker run for 12 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
98.6%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Robert Mercer for 18 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.5%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Stewart Hartman, broken up by Djwany MeraSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.5%
Greg McGhee run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-5
98.5%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (Malcolm Rutledge) to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+3
98.6%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
98.6%
Greg McGhee run for 25 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Travis Brown for no gain to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-9
98.5%
Greg McGhee sacked by David Milewski for a loss of 9 yards to the Howrd 43 Greg McGhee fumbled, recovered by Howrd N/A , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 18
OWN 43
+7
98.6%
Greg McGhee run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 11
50
0
98.6%
John Fleck punt blocked by Nadir Barnwell blocked by Nadir BarnwellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
98.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Howrd 36Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
98.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+7
98.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 7 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-1
98.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17TD
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:531% → 3%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Marvin HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
98.9%
William Parker run for no gain to the Howrd 30Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+17
98.9%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Robert Mercer for 17 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
98.8%
Greg McGhee run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
98.8%
William Parker run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+7
98.9%
Greg McGhee run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Stewart HartmanSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Stewart HartmanSimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-5
98.9%
McGHEE,Greg pass complete to MERCER,Robert for 20 yards to the RU20, PENALTY HOWFB14 illegal formation (REID,Devyn) 5 yards to the RU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+18
98.9%
Greg McGhee run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, personal foul (Steve Longa) to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.7%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+11
98.7%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Casey Branton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
97.2%
William Parker run for 11 yds for a TD, (John Fleck MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-5
98.3%
Gary Nova run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 22 Gary Nova fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Taj AlexanderSimilar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 15
OWN 22
+11
98.3%
Nova, Gary pass incomplete to Grant, Janarion, PENALTY HOWFB14 pass interference (DAVID,Julien) 11 yards to the RU33, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-11
98.3%
Gary Nova sacked by Jalen Day for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+6
98.3%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
98.2%
Joseph Roth punt for 48 yds, downed at the Howrd 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to William ParkerSimilar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
97.8%
William Parker run for no gain to the Howrd 23Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-7
97.8%
Greg McGhee sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 7 yards to the Howrd 16Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 17
OWN 16
-4
97.8%
HOWARD Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Howrd 12Similar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 21
OWN 12
+11
97.8%
John Fleck run for 11 yds to the Howrd 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:4298% → 100%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:111% → 2%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.5%
Terrence Tusan run for 17 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
99.5%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 20 yds to the RUTGERS 38 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.5%
Terrence Tusan run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
99.5%
Greg McGhee run for 10 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.4%
Greg McGhee run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+7
99.4%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 7 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.4%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
-5
99.4%
Greg McGhee sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.0%
Greg McGhee 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4199% → 99%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.0%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+2
99.0%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
99.0%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
99.0%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Howrd 19Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
99.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Julien DavidSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
98.9%
Kyle Federico 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 23INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Myles WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.1%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
98.1%
Greg McGhee pass complete to William Parker for 13 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
97.9%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
97.9%
Greg McGhee pass intercepted Gareef Glashen return for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
98.9%
Josh Hicks run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.0%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-2
99.0%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+5
98.9%
HOWARD Penalty, offside defense (N/A) to the Howrd 48Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
98.9%
Joseph Roth punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Travis Brown at the Howrd 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 25TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:552% → 3%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.2%
Terrence Tusan run for 7 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+70
96.8%
Terrence Tusan 70 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
97.9%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 40Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-10
97.9%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 22
50
+6
97.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Howrd 44Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+2
97.7%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Howrd 42Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
97.4%
Tim Gleeson punt for 33 yds, downed at the Howrd 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
97.8%
Terrence Tusan run for 3 yds to the Howrd 12Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-10
97.8%
McGHEE,Greg pass incomplete, PENALTY HOWFB14 ineligible downfield on pass declined, PENALTY HOWFB14 intentional grounding (McGHEE,Greg) 10 yards to the HOWFB142, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 17
OWN 2
+3
97.9%
Terrence Tusan run for 3 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 14
OWN 5
0
97.9%
John Fleck punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Howrd 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 1:31
2ND & 13
OWN 48
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:19
William Parker run for 11 yds for a TD, (John Fleck MISSED)
-1.5
TD · Q3 0:44
Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q4 12:33
Greg McGhee 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com