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WIS

Wisconsin 34 at Purdue 16

PUR
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWIS aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:32 · Thomas Meadows punt for 53 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior−12.2Home team on offense−13.3Score differential−5.7Garbage-time factor−5.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:13: Melvin Gordon 27 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +5.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:32: Alex Erickson 9 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +7.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 13:53: Paul Griggs 52 Yd Field Goal — PUR win probability +3.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:35: Akeem Hunt 79 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick) — PUR win probability +7.6 pts (now 20%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:05: Tanner McEvoy 13 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +8.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 12WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 8:18PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:45WIS 4th & 9 at PUR 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56PUR 4th & 7 at WIS 36, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:16WIS 4th & 5 at PUR 6, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:01PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 40, down 18
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:53PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:05WIS 4th & 1 at PUR 16, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−1.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−7.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:38WIS 4th & 16 at PUR 49, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:47PUR 4th & 23 at PUR 16, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−4.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:32PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−2.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:17PUR 4th & 25 at PUR 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:05WIS 4th & 13 at PUR 13, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:02PUR 4th & 2 at WIS 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:49WIS 4th & 15 at PUR 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:10PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 2:35WIS Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:13WIS Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:32WIS Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:35PUR Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:05WIS Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1FG
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:3116% → 20%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.8%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
16.0%
Raheem Mostert run for 9 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+9
16.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 9 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
16.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+16
17.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
17.2%
Keyante Green run for 3 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+7
17.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 7 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
17.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
18.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
18.5%
Austin Appleby run for 6 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
18.9%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+5
19.0%
Raheem Mostert run for 5 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
19.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
19.6%
Paul Griggs 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:2580% → 80%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+28
19.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 28 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
19.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
19.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
20.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete, broken up by Jalani PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 9
OPP 37
0
20.5%
Drew Meyer punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Landon Feichter at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5920% → 21%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
20.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-5
20.6%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 6 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Prdue Jordan RoosSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 13
OWN 6
0
20.6%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 13
OWN 6
0
20.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0379% → 81%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
21.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
21.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 4 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 3:51
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+8
21.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Sam Arneson for 8 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
21.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 11 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.6%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
19.1%
Melvin Gordon 14 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:2121% → 23%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
21.3%
Raheem Mostert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-10
21.0%
Appleby, Austin rush for 12 yards to the WISCONSIN48, PENALTY PURDUE holding (King, Jason) 10 yards to the PURDUE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 21
OWN 30
+31
20.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 31 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
22.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Raheem MostertSimilar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
22.3%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+4
21.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Wisc 36Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
23.1%
Paul Griggs 53 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2379% → 78%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+47
21.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 47 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
20.8%
Tanner McEvoy run for 3 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+5
21.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 5 yds to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-3
21.8%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
21.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2923% → 23%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
22.9%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+4
22.8%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
23.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey, broken up by Darius HillarySimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
22.6%
Thomas Meadows punt for 53 yds, downed at the Wisc 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 5:1677% → 83%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
23.1%
Corey Clement run for 8 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+4
22.8%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
23.3%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 23Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-2
23.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 21Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+16
24.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 16 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
22.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 23 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
21.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Sam Arneson, broken up by Landon FeichterSimilar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
22.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 7 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-5
21.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+11
22.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 11 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
16.7%
Melvin Gordon 27 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 39 yds · 1:5817% → 17%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
17.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+8
16.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 8 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+34
16.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 19 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Peniel Jean) to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
18.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem Hunt, broken up by Joe SchobertSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
18.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Johnny ThompsonSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
18.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
17.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:2482% → 92%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
17.7%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 8 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
17.7%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
17.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Sam Arneson for 6 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
16.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 7 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
16.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
16.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 11 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
15.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 15 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
15.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 7 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
8.0%
Alex Erickson 9 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:1912% → 11%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
11.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
11.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron Posey, broken up by Darius HillarySimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 2
OWN 40
0
11.2%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
11.0%
Thomas Meadows punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:4191% → 91%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
9.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
9.3%
Melvin Gordon run for 7 yds to the Wisc 35 Melvin Gordon fumbled, forced by Landon Feichter, recovered by Prdue Landon FeichterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1412% → 15%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
12.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
12.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin Sinz, broken up by Vince BiegelSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
11.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
15.1%
Paul Griggs 52 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3388% → 89%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
12.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+34
11.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 34 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
10.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
10.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+7
10.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Kenzel Doe for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
11.3%
Melvin Gordon run for no gain to the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15TD
3 plays · 84 yds · 1:2313% → 20%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
12.9%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+4
12.8%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+79
20.4%
Akeem Hunt 79 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4982% → 79%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.1%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Kenzel DoeSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
18.1%
Joel Stave run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
19.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
20.6%
Drew Meyer punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Landon Feichter at the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 3:4522% → 18%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
21.5%
Raheem Mostert run for 5 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+4
21.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
21.2%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
22.0%
Austin Appleby sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+1
21.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 13
OWN 26
-10
20.5%
Austin Appleby sacked by Derek Landisch for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 23
OWN 16
+20
18.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 40 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 20 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18INT
3 plays · 8 yds · 1:1782% → 83%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
17.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to George Rushing for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
16.4%
Melvin Gordon run for 1 yd to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
17.2%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Landon Feichter return for no gain to the Prdue 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4819% → 18%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
19.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
19.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-1
18.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+9
18.1%
Thomas Meadows punt for 53 yds , Kenzel Doe returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:1883% → 93%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
17.4%
Tanner McEvoy run for 18 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
16.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
15.6%
Melvin Gordon run for 13 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
6.8%
Tanner McEvoy 13 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:3511% → 10%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
10.9%
Austin Appleby sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 0:14
2ND & 15
OWN 27
0
10.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for no gain to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 15
OWN 27
-10
10.2%
Austin Appleby sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 25
OWN 17
0
9.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kenzel Doe at the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22FG
15 plays · 45 yds · 7:0494% → 98%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
5.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-1
5.3%
Melvin Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 2
50
+8
5.4%
Tanner McEvoy run for 8 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
5.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
5.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 9 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+14
4.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 14 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
4.2%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+6
4.0%
Melvin Gordon run for 6 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
4.1%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-15
3.9%
McEvoy, Tanner pass incomplete to Arneson, Sam, PENALTY WISCONSIN tripping (Gordon, Melvin) 15 yards to the PURDUE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
+6
3.9%
Tanner McEvoy pass complete to Melvin Gordon for 6 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+2
3.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Corey Clement for 2 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+3
3.7%
Melvin Gordon run for 3 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
2.4%
Rafael Gaglianone 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:584% → 2%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
3.6%
Trae Hart run for 8 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+5
3.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 5 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
3.1%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
3.0%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:46
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+9
2.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 9 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q4 5:02
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
2.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
1.5%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
1.4%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+13
1.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
1.2%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
1.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-3
1.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 10
OPP 39
-5
0.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 1:49
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
0.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 35 yds, downed at the Prdue 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+21
0.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 21 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
0.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Myles NorwoodSimilar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
0.6%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-1
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:05
Tanner McEvoy 13 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)
-8.8
TD · Q3 9:35
Akeem Hunt 79 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick)
+7.6
TD · Q2 0:32
Alex Erickson 9 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)
-7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com