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SIU

Southern Illinois 13 at Purdue 35

PUR
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Thomas Meadows punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior+10.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:06: Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 44 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +7.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 0:07: Paul Griggs 30 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +2.8 pts (now 75%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:05: Thomas Kinney 30 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +11.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:19: Mark Iannotti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thomas Kinney KICK) — SIU win probability +5.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:36: Thomas Kinney 30 yd FG GOOD — SIU win probability +2.9 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6SIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:04SIU 4th & 9 at PUR 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:07PUR 4th & 12 at SIU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−5.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00SIU 4th & 22 at SIU 11, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−4.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:59SIU 4th & 1 at PUR 47, down 25
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.0%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:19PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 11, up 25
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05SIU 4th & 12 at PUR 13, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00SIU 4th & 1 at PUR 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:19PUR 4th & 14 at midfield, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:36SIU 4th & 10 at PUR 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−5.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:36PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 25, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:40SIU 4th & 7 at SIU 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:31PUR 4th & 2 at SIU 2, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:28SIU 4th & 10 at SIU 43, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:48PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:06PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:59PUR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:19SIU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:36PUR Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
60.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
60.7%
PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
60.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 13 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
60.7%
Raheem Mostert run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
60.7%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
60.7%
Thomas Meadows punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
60.7%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+8
60.7%
Malcolm Agnew run for 8 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+4
60.7%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Malcolm Agnew for 4 yds to the SoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
60.6%
Malcolm Agnew run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 23 Malcolm Agnew fumbled, recovered by Prdue Ja'Whan BentleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3261% → 64%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
61.4%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the SoIll 20Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
61.4%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the SoIll 18Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+5
61.2%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 5 yds to the SoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
61.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
61.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the SoIll 10Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+10
63.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 10 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 4INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0037% → 38%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.9%
Malcolm Agnew run for no gain to the SoIll 36Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
63.0%
Malcolm Agnew run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 35Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+12
63.4%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 12 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
62.6%
Mark Iannotti sacked by Sean Robinson for a loss of 7 yards to the SoIll 40Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+15
63.1%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Malcolm Agnew for 15 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+5
62.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 5 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
62.5%
Mark Iannotti pass intercepted Landon Feichter return for 23 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
69.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 44 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0233% → 31%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
66.9%
Tay Willis run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
66.9%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
67.4%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Tay WillisSimilar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+47
69.0%
Thomas Kinney 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 2:5770% → 75%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
69.8%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
69.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+19
69.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Cameron Posey for 19 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
70.5%
Danny Etling pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 10 yds to the SoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
70.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+31
70.6%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 31 yds to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
70.6%
PURDUE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 16Similar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
70.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+3
72.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Brandon Cottom for 3 yds to the SoIll 13Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 12
OPP 13
0
72.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
75.4%
Paul Griggs 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0725% → 25%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
74.6%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-3
74.7%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Malcolm Agnew for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 20
-9
74.9%
Mark Iannotti sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 9 yards to the SoIll 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 11
+45
75.0%
Nick Neidig punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the SoIll 41 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the SoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:3678% → 79%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
78.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the SoIll 23Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+1
78.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 1 yd to the SoIll 22Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
78.1%
Danny Etling run for 6 yds to the SoIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
78.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 6 yds to the SoIll 10Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+6
78.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the SoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
78.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the SoIll 1Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.0%
Danny Etling run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two pt rush, Brandon Cottom GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0022% → 26%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
77.6%
Tay Willis run for 19 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
74.7%
Malcolm Agnew run for 1 yd to the SoIll 45Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
74.7%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+8
75.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 8 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
74.0%
Nick Neidig punt for 44 yds, downed at the Prdue 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
86.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 6 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+2
85.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 2
OWN 11
0
85.3%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 2
OWN 11
0
84.6%
Thomas Meadows punt for 57 yds, downed at the SoIll 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 12FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:3821% → 9%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.4%
Malcolm Agnew run for 4 yds to the SoIll 36Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
79.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 2 yds to the SoIll 38Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+12
79.4%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Josh Sullivan for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
50
0
76.9%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to MyCole Pruitt, broken up by Taylor RichardsSimilar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
50
+1
77.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Malcolm Agnew for 1 yd to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+10
77.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to LaSteven McKinney for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.8%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Josh Sullivan, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
78.1%
Tay Willis run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+24
78.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 24 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
75.9%
Malcolm Agnew run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 12
OPP 13
-6
77.0%
Mark Iannotti sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 18
OPP 19
+6
80.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 12
OPP 13
+30
91.0%
Thomas Kinney 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:5793% → 96%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.1%
Raheem Mostert run for 5 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+40
93.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 40 yds to the SoIll 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
94.1%
Danny Etling run for 3 yds to the SoIll 10Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-2
94.1%
Danny Etling sacked by Blake Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 12Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+29
95.5%
Paul Griggs 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 55 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+46
92.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 46 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
91.5%
Mika'il McCall run for 3 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
91.5%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to LaSteven McKinney, broken up by Ra'Zahn HowardSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+6
92.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 6 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
92.0%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Malcolm AgnewSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:0095% → 96%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
95.4%
Danny Etling run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
95.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 3 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Lamonte Edwards) to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
95.5%
Raheem Mostert run for 11 yds to the SoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
95.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the SoIll 47 Raheem Mostert fumbled, forced by Tyler Williamson, recovered by SoIll Blake MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:335% → 11%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
95.5%
Mark Iannotti run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
95.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
95.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
95.5%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (LaSteven McKinney) to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+12
94.9%
Mark Iannotti run for 12 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+11
95.0%
Malcolm Agnew run for 11 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
95.0%
Malcolm Agnew run for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
95.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 8 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+2
95.4%
Mika'il McCall run for 2 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
95.0%
Malcolm Agnew run for 11 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
94.6%
PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Ra'Zahn Howard) to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Mark Iannotti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thomas Kinney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
93.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+17
93.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 17 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
93.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the SoIll 43Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-6
93.2%
Danny Etling sacked by Kitray Solomon for a loss of 6 yards to the SoIll 49Similar
Q3 6:19
3RD & 13
OPP 49
-6
92.7%
Danny Etling sacked by Adam Brandt for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 19
OWN 45
+5
92.1%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 14
50
0
92.1%
Thomas Meadows punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:557% → 9%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.7%
Mark Iannotti run for 2 yds to the SoIll 22Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
92.8%
Malcolm Agnew run for 1 yd to the SoIll 23Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
92.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 9 yds to the SoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
92.4%
Cameron Walter run for 4 yds to the SoIll 36Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
92.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to LaSteven McKinney for 4 yds to the SoIll 40Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
92.4%
Mark Iannotti run for 15 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
93.9%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Malcolm Agnew for 14 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
93.3%
Jimmy Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+15
93.1%
Iannotti, Mark pass incomplete to Willis, Tay, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 15 yards to the PUR14, 1ST DOWN SIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
93.1%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
93.1%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Tay WillisSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
93.9%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to MyCole Pruitt, broken up by Sean RobinsonSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+30
91.0%
Thomas Kinney 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Danny Etling run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Thomas Meadows punt for 35 yds, downed at the SoIll 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
91.5%
Mark Iannotti run for 2 yds to the SoIll 42Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
91.5%
Tay Willis run for 1 yd to the SoIll 43Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
91.6%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Malcolm AgnewSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
92.0%
Nick Neidig punt for 46 yds , Frankie Williams returns for no gain to the Prdue 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21DOWNS
18 plays · 83 yds · 7:4795% → 99%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
94.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+20
94.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 20 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
95.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+16
95.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 16 yds to the SoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 14 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 3 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 5 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
95.5%
Danny Etling run for 3 yds to the SoIll 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 6 yds to the SoIll 18Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+4
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the SoIll 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Poole) to the SoIll 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 1 yd to the SoIll 4Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.6%
Keyante Green run for 2 yds to the SoIll 2Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
97.9%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
98.5%
Danny Etling run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
97.5%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Malcolm AgnewSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+20
97.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to MyCole Pruitt for 20 yds to the SoIll 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
97.3%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Tay WillisSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+17
97.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Tay Willis for 17 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Malcolm AgnewSimilar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
97.1%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Josh SullivanSimilar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
97.2%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to LaSteven McKinneySimilar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
97.4%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Tay WillisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
8 plays · 43 yds · 1:5999% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
98.8%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the SoIll 39Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
98.8%
Keyante Green run for 2 yds to the SoIll 37Similar
Q4 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+16
99.1%
Keyante Green run for 16 yds to the SoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.2%
Keyante Green run for 6 yds to the SoIll 15Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+4
99.4%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Austin Appleby run for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Cameron WalterSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Connor Iwema for 18 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Cameron Walter for 4 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:05
Thomas Kinney 30 yd FG GOOD
+11.1
TD · Q1 4:06
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 44 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+7.4
TD · Q3 6:19
Mark Iannotti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Thomas Kinney KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com