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WMU

Western Michigan 34 at Purdue 43

PUR
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:04 · Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior+0.4Home team on offense+25.4Garbage-time factor+15.9Score differential+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:28: Jarvion Franklin run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +14.7 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:01: Raheem Mostert run for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +11.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:41: Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +9.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:11: Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED) — WMU win probability +23.7 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 3:42: Akeem Hunt run for 38 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs MISSED) — PUR win probability +12.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10WMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:22WMU 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38WMU 4th & 3 at PUR 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:23PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:26PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:01WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:03PUR 4th & 4 at WMU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:53PUR 4th & 8 at WMU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−2.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:58PUR 4th & 21 at WMU 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.7%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:21WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:00PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:17WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:16PUR 4th & 1 at WMU 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:46WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:07PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 41, up 9
    Close callPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:40WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 43, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:04PUR 4th & 17 at WMU 38, up 9
    Close callWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    38% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22WMU 4th & 10 at PUR 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:45PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03WMU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:16WMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:16PUR Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:28WMU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:01PUR Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:16PUR Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:41WMU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5370% → 70%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
69.9%
Raheem Mostert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
69.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-1
69.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Raheem Mostert for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
69.5%
Thomas Meadows punt for 44 yds, downed at the WMich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:3330% → 31%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
69.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+9
69.4%
Daniel Braverman run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
50
0
69.2%
Dareyon Chance run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
50
0
69.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 10
50
0
69.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 10
50
0
69.5%
J. Schroeder punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2869% → 72%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
69.4%
Raheem Mostert run for 6 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
69.4%
Raheem Mostert run for 6 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
69.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 10 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
69.6%
Raheem Mostert run for 34 yds to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
69.9%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to B.J. KnaufSimilar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+9
69.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 9 yds to the WMich 15Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+1
69.5%
Raheem Mostert run for 1 yd to the WMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
69.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
71.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:4729% → 29%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
71.0%
Daniel Braverman run for 8 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+6
70.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
70.6%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
70.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+7
71.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
71.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 42 yds, downed at the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0872% → 71%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
71.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+1
71.9%
Raheem Mostert run for 1 yd to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OWN 7
0
71.7%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
Q1 4:23
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
71.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 21 yds, downed at the Prdue 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:1230% → 34%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
70.3%
Zach Terrell run for 12 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
70.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+3
70.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3468% → 68%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
68.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
68.3%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 2:26
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 42 yds, downed at the WMich 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2033% → 32%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
67.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
67.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+7
67.7%
Dareyon Chance run for 7 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 3
OWN 35
-5
67.6%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 1:01
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
68.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:5968% → 70%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+34
68.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 34 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
69.6%
Raheem Mostert run for 6 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 0:14
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
69.7%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
69.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+8
68.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 8 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
70.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+10
70.1%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 10 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
70.1%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
70.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
69.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
69.5%
Paul Griggs 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3431% → 38%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
69.1%
Terrell, Zach pass incomplete to Davis, Corey, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 2 yards to the WESTMICH27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
69.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+9
68.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
62.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 61 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:0764% → 65%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
64.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to B.J. Knauf for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
64.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
63.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to B.J. Knauf for 20 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
65.6%
Danny Etling pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 29 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
66.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
66.6%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-15
65.7%
Etling, Danny pass incomplete to Holmes, Gabe, PENALTY PURDUE personal foul (Mostert, Raheem) 15 yards to the WESTMICH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 25
OPP 37
+4
63.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 4 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 21
OPP 33
+51
64.9%
Paul Griggs 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:4436% → 40%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.1%
Daniel Braverman run for 6 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
63.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Darius Phillips for 13 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
61.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
60.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 4
50
+56
60.2%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Frankie Williams return for 56 yds to the PURDUE -6 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Holding declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4668% → 76%
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
67.7%
Raheem Mostert run for no gain to the WMich 4Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.8%
Danny Etling run for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3926% → 25%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
73.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
73.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 34Similar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
74.3%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
75.2%
J. Schroeder punt for 40 yds, downed at the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1375% → 73%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
75.2%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
74.6%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
74.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 7
OWN 34
-5
73.6%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
73.1%
Thomas Meadows punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3926% → 26%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
74.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Dareyon ChanceSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-6
74.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 21Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+10
74.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+27
74.5%
J. Schroeder punt for 44 yds , Frankie Williams returns for 27 yds to the WMich 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:5676% → 78%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.7%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to B.J. KnaufSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
75.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Raheem MostertSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+12
74.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
75.8%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (B.J. Knauf) to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 15
OPP 41
0
75.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
74.7%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+14
73.5%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 14 yds to the WMich 27Similar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+44
78.0%
Paul Griggs 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
75.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2224% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
75.5%
Daniel Braverman run for 6 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
75.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
75.0%
Daniel Braverman run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
50
+6
74.6%
Dareyon Chance run for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
76.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
76.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
76.7%
Dareyon Chance run for 11 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
62.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:1471% → 84%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
71.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the PURDUE 49 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
72.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
72.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 9 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
72.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 9 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+3
72.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
84.2%
Raheem Mostert run for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:0819% → 18%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
81.1%
Daniel Braverman run for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
80.2%
Zach Terrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 29 Zach Terrell fumbled, recovered by WMich Zach TerrellSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
81.7%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 24Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
82.5%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+36
82.4%
J. Schroeder punt for 47 yds , Frankie Williams returns for 36 yds to the WMich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2185% → 94%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
84.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
84.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+8
84.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to B.J. Knauf for 8 yds to the WMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
86.2%
Raheem Mostert run for 10 yds to the WMich 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
86.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 5 yds to the WMich 14Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
86.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:248% → 19%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
91.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 47 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick RobertsSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
90.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+11
91.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
90.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
91.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
81.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2086% → 86%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.8%
Danny Etling pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
85.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+7
85.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 7 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
85.7%
Thomas Meadows punt for 40 yds, downed at the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:4716% → 37%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
84.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for 5 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+7
84.2%
Zach Terrell run for 7 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
84.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+7
85.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 7 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
85.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 3
50
+5
83.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
83.9%
Dareyon Chance run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+12
85.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 12 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
84.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+4
85.3%
Dareyon Chance run for 4 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+16
86.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 16 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
62.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2375% → 94%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
74.4%
Raheem Mostert run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
72.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to B.J. Knauf for 20 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
77.2%
Raheem Mostert run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+6
76.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
78.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 5 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
81.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WMich 48Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+10
81.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 10 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+38
93.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 38 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:458% → 5%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
92.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 11 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
92.5%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
94.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Dareyon ChanceSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Darius PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:2695% → 96%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
94.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 12 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
96.5%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 34Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+3
96.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-7
96.3%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 17
OPP 38
-1
95.7%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:304% → 4%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
96.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 25 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
95.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Kendrick RobertsSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
96.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
96.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Dareyon ChanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:11
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman MISSED)
-23.7
TD · Q3 10:28
Jarvion Franklin run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q4 3:42
Akeem Hunt run for 38 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs MISSED)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com