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MASS

Massachusetts 7 at Penn State 48

PSU
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:14 · TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UMass J.T. Blyden
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+24.2Home team on offense+32.6Score differential+26.0Blowout margin+15.0Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:38: Sam Ficken 40 yd FG GOOD — PSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:11: Bill Belton run for 24 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:48: Bill Belton run for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:37: Zach Zwinak run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:24: Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 14:10PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:47MASS 4th & 4 at PSU 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08PSU 4th & 1 at MASS 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:17PSU 4th & 10 at MASS 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:15MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:38PSU 4th & 11 at MASS 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:18MASS 4th & 9 at PSU 31, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:39MASS 4th & 24 at MASS 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:49MASS 4th & 12 at MASS 23, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:56MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 34, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:48MASS 4th & 4 at MASS 31, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:14MASS 4th & 1 at PSU 46, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:26PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 28, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:59MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 28, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:25PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 48, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:00MASS 4th & 1 at MASS 32, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:19MASS 4th & 3 at PSU 15, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6MASS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 10:11PSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:48PSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:37PSU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:24PSU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:10PSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:17PSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:47MASS Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3997% → 97%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Bill Belton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
97.1%
Chris Gulla punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Trey Dudley-Giles at the UMass 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:133% → 3%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
97.1%
Alex Kenney run for 18 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
97.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jean Sifrin for 9 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+8
97.0%
Marken Michel run for 8 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
96.9%
Blake Frohnapfel run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 34 Blake Frohnapfel fumbled, recovered by UMass Blake FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 16
OPP 34
0
96.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 16
OPP 34
+12
96.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 12 yds to the PnSt 22Similar
Q1 11:47
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
96.8%
Matthew Wylie 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3FG
16 plays · 53 yds · 5:2697% → 96%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
96.8%
Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd to the PnSt 23Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+11
96.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 11 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.6%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Encroachment (5 Yards) to the PnSt 39Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 5
OWN 39
0
96.6%
Zach Zwinak run for no gain to the PnSt 39Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+6
96.5%
Zach Zwinak run for 6 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
96.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 9 yds to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
96.3%
Zach Zwinak run for no gain to the UMass 46Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
96.2%
Christian Hackenberg run for 1 yd to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
96.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 6 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+14
96.0%
Bill Belton run for 14 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
96.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
96.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
95.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
95.9%
Sam Ficken 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:514% → 4%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
95.9%
Jordan Broadnax run for no gain to the UMass 29Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Brian McDonald punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:2796% → 96%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+46
95.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 46 yds to the UMass 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
95.8%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+6
95.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 6 yds to the UMass 21Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
95.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-6
95.4%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Kassan Messiah and Sha-Ki Holines for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
95.5%
Sam Ficken 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 44 yds · 4:035% → 5%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 3 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
95.3%
J.T. Blyden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+17
95.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 17 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Rodney MillsSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+11
95.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to J.T. Blyden for 11 yds to the PnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
94.6%
J.T. Blyden run for 2 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+11
94.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jalen Williams for 11 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-10
94.3%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 20
OPP 42
+11
94.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 11 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
94.2%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jean SifrinSimilar
Q2 13:18
4TH & 9
OPP 31
0
94.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jean SifrinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:0095% → 97%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+15
95.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 15 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
95.1%
Bill Belton run for 5 yds to the UMass 49Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+1
95.1%
Bill Belton run for 1 yd to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+16
94.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 16 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+8
94.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 8 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+24
96.6%
Bill Belton run for 24 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:064% → 4%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.0%
J.T. Blyden run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
95.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 2 yds Tajae Sharpe fumbled, forced by Mike Hull, recovered by PnSt Austin JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:0797% → 98%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
98.0%
Bill Belton run for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jordan Broadnax for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 9 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
97.7%
Jordan Broadnax run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 38Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
97.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jordan BroadnaxSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-13
97.8%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Tarow Barney for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 25 Blake Frohnapfel fumbled, forced by Tarow Barney, recovered by UMassSimilar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 24
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Brian McDonald punt for 39 yds, downed at the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:5498% → 99%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.9%
Zach Zwinak run for 5 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+11
98.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 11 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
98.2%
Zach Zwinak run for 3 yds to the PnSt 45 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brendan Mahon) to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 17
OWN 45
+7
98.2%
Zach Zwinak run for 7 yds to the UMass 48Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+38
98.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 38 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 0
OPP 10
+5
98.4%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UMass 5Similar
Q2 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Zach Zwinak run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
J.T. Blyden run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.6%
Brian McDonald punt for 40 yds , Jesse Della Valle returns for 7 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:1699% → 100%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+35
99.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 35 yds to the UMass 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
99.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 11 yds to the UMass 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
99.5%
Bill Belton run for 9 yds to the UMass 1Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:040% → 1%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
J.T. Blyden run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Rodney Mills for 7 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
J.T. Blyden run for 2 yds to the UMass 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.6%
J.T. Blyden run for 9 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
99.5%
J.T. Blyden run for 1 yd to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:071% → 0%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Alex Kenney run for 4 yds to the UMass 29Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
J.T. Blyden run for 2 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Alex KenneySimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Brian McDonald punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:29100% → 100%
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-4
99.6%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Stanley Andre for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+17
99.7%
Christian Hackenberg run for 17 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean Hamilton for a 1ST down MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jackson Porter) to the UMass 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Christian Hackenberg run for no gain to the UMass 42Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 9 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.7%
Akeel Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+13
99.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 13 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Akeel Lynch run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Marken Michel run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
99.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 20 yds to the UMass 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
99.8%
Marken Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+11
99.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 11 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
99.8%
J.T. Blyden run for no gain to the PnSt 46Similar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 1
OPP 46
-13
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the UMass 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UMass J.T. BlydenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 41 yds · 4:46100% → 100%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Cole Chiappialle run for 5 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Cole Chiappialle run for no gain to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+7
99.8%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 7 yds to the UMass 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.8%
Cole Chiappialle run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-3
99.8%
Cole Chiappialle run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+9
99.8%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Chris Godwin for 9 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Cole Chiappialle run for no gain to the UMass 18Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+12
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 12 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-5
99.9%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 11Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Brent Wilkerson for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jean SifrinSimilar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Jordan Broadnax run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+77
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 77 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wylie KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.9%
PENN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Nelson) to the PnSt 13Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+5
99.9%
Cole Chiappialle run for 5 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
Cole Chiappialle run for 6 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Chris Godwin for 9 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q4 11:55
4TH & 2
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (Andrew Nelson) to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 45 yds , Bernard Davis returns for 1 yd to the UMass 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Brian McDonald punt for 32 yds , Gregg Garrity returns for no gain to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
99.9%
Cole Chiappialle run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass complete to Saeed Blacknall for 9 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
99.9%
D.J. Crook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bernard Davis at the UMass 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
99.9%
Jordan Broadnax run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 8Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 8
+15
99.9%
Frohnapfel, Blake pass sacked for loss of 0 yards to the UMASS8 (Smith, Tyrone), PENALTY PENNST face mask (Smith, Tyrone) 15 yards to the UMASS23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UMASS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.9%
Jordan Broadnax run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Lorenzo Woodley for 11 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Lorenzo Woodley run for no gain to the UMass 32Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 2 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Andrew Libby run for 3 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+41
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 41 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Andrew Libby for 7 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Andrew Libby run for no gain to the PnSt 15Similar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 3
OPP 15
-2
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by Garrett Sickels for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 18 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 2 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+7
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 7 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 2 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 2 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 8 yds to the PnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for no gain to the PnSt 38Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for 1 yd to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-4
100.0%
Cole Chiappialle run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:11
Bill Belton run for 24 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 8:48
Bill Belton run for 20 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 3:37
Zach Zwinak run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com