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AKR

Akron 3 at Penn State 21

PSU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Beaver Stadium
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Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadAKR aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreAKR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:34 · Zach Paul punt for 62 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+32.3Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:32: Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 10 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down — AKR win probability +4.0 pts (now 18%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:11: Robert Stein 28 yd FG GOOD — AKR win probability +4.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:58: Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the Akron 35 — PSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 82%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:38: Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:58: Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 44 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK) — PSU win probability +3.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5AKR made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 7:02PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:38AKR 4th & 12 at AKR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:00AKR 4th & 5 at AKR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:01PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:32AKR 4th & 5 at PSU 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.3
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:56PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:48AKR 4th & 8 at AKR 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:11AKR 4th & 6 at PSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−7.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:01PSU 4th & 2 at PSU 29, up 4
    Close callPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:04AKR 4th & 7 at AKR 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:52AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:23AKR 4th & 1 at PSU 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    7.1%−1.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:09AKR 4th & 10 at PSU 13, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:58PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:38PSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 8:58PSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:1011% → 13%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
88.9%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 4 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+10
88.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Tyler Williams for 10 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
88.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 19 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
88.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 23 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
88.3%
Kyle Pohl run for 1 yd to the PnSt 16Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+8
88.0%
Jawon Chisholm run for 8 yds to the PnSt 8Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+1
87.8%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the PnSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Conor HundleySimilar
Q1 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
87.5%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Anthony Zettel for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 11Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
87.4%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Jordan Lucas for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 13Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 0
OPP 13
+31
87.4%
Tom O'Leary 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:2888% → 86%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
87.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 6 yds to the PnSt 26Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
87.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Bill Belton for 6 yds to the PnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
87.4%
Bill Belton run for 5 yds to the PnSt 37Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
87.3%
Bill Belton run for 6 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
86.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
86.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q1 7:02
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.4%
Chris Gulla punt for 42 yds , Imani Davis returns for 2 yds to the Akron 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1214% → 14%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
86.4%
AKRON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dylan Brumbaugh) to the Akron 9Similar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 18
OWN 9
-3
86.4%
Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 6Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 21
OWN 6
+4
86.2%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+5
86.1%
Conor Hundley run for 5 yds to the Akron 15Similar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
86.0%
Zach Paul punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:3086% → 88%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
86.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 20 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
86.3%
Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd to the Akron 37Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+15
85.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 15 yds to the Akron 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
88.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Bill Belton for 22 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1213% → 13%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
87.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 6 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-3
86.7%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Parker Cothren and Carl Nassib for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
87.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
87.3%
Zach Paul punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6INT
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:3187% → 87%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
87.1%
Bill Belton run for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 11 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
87.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Bill Belton for 11 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
87.4%
Zach Zwinak run for 2 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+18
87.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 18 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+20
87.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 20 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Matt ZanellatoSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
87.4%
Zach Zwinak run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+1
87.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted Martel Durant return for 1 yd to the Akron 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:5513% → 14%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
86.7%
AKRON Penalty, Personal Foul (C.J. Mizell) to the Akron 1Similar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.7%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Akron 3Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+10
86.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 10 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
86.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+16
86.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 16 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
86.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
86.3%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for 2 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+3
86.4%
Kyle Pohl run for 3 yds to the Akron 34Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 5
OWN 34
+5
86.4%
Zach Paul punt for 48 yds , Jesse Della Valle returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:5186% → 85%
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
86.2%
Akeel Lynch run for 10 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
86.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Akeel LynchSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
85.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
85.2%
Chris Gulla punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9PUNT
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:2414% → 14%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
86.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Hakeem Lawrence for 7 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
85.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Hakeem LawrenceSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+6
86.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 6 yds to the Akron 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
85.9%
Kyle Pohl run for 4 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
85.6%
Kyle Pohl run for 4 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+13
85.3%
Jawon Chisholm run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
50
+5
84.5%
Kyle Pohl run for 5 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
85.3%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
85.4%
Pohl, Kyle pass incomplete to D'Orazio, Zach, PENALTY PENNST pass interference (Golden, Malik) 6 yards to the PENNST39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AKRON. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Tyler WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
85.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
85.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
86.0%
Zach Paul punt for 25 yds, downed at the PnSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3386% → 85%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
86.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Jesse JamesSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+6
86.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 15
0
86.1%
Bill Belton run for no gain to the PnSt 15Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 4
OWN 15
+2
85.4%
Chris Gulla punt for 53 yds , Imani Davis returns for 2 yds to the Akron 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3214% → 13%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
86.0%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Mike Hull for a loss of 5 yards to the Akron 29Similar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+7
86.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
86.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
86.7%
Zach Paul punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:3585% → 84%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
85.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 9 yds to the PnSt 25Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+12
85.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 12 yds to the PnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Bill BeltonSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
85.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
84.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
84.3%
Chris Gulla punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5514% → 14%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
85.9%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Akron 20Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-1
85.9%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 19Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+6
86.2%
Conor Hundley run for 6 yds to the Akron 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1285% → 86%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
85.1%
Christian Hackenberg run for 9 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
85.8%
Bill Belton run for 3 yds to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
85.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 41 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Akron Alfonso HornerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15FG
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:2118% → 23%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
81.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 10 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
80.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 16 yds to the PnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
79.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Conor HundleySimilar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
79.9%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the PnSt 14Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+3
81.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 3 yds to the PnSt 11Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
76.9%
Robert Stein 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4881% → 79%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
80.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 12 yds to the PnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
80.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 3 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
80.8%
Bill Belton run for 5 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
80.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Kyle CarterSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+13
79.4%
Chris Gulla punt for 51 yds , Imani Davis returns for 13 yds to the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5322% → 20%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
78.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Keith SconiersSimilar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
78.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jerome Lewis for 3 yds to the Akron 36Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
78.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q3 8:04
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
79.7%
Zach Paul punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jesse Della Valle at the PnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:1280% → 90%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
80.3%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kris Givens) to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
81.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Bill Belton for 10 yds to the PnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
82.3%
PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Angelo Mangiro) to the PnSt 36Similar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 20
OWN 36
-8
80.2%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Cody Grice and Nmesoma Okafor for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 28
OWN 28
+3
79.3%
Zach Zwinak run for 3 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 25
OWN 31
+28
78.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 28 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
81.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 6 yds to the Akron 35Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-2
82.5%
Zach Zwinak run for a loss of 2 yards to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+19
81.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 19 yds to the Akron 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
82.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 5 yds to the Akron 13Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 13
0
82.1%
Bill Belton pass incomplete to Christian HackenbergSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+13
90.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:4011% → 10%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
89.0%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
87.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
89.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q3 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Zach Paul punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20INT
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:5289% → 94%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
89.2%
Akeel Lynch run for 8 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
89.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 6 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
89.4%
DaeSean Hamilton run for 1 yd to the PnSt 35Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+13
90.1%
Akeel Lynch run for 13 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
90.8%
Akeel Lynch run for 6 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+18
91.3%
Zach Zwinak run for 18 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
92.3%
Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the Akron 28Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
92.3%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+5
92.1%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Nordly Capi) to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+5
92.1%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Akron 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
92.6%
Bill Belton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+51
93.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted Bre' Ford return for 51 yds to the PnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:288% → 6%
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
91.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
92.3%
Jawon Chisholm run for 3 yds to the PnSt 44Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+6
92.9%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for 6 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-2
93.9%
Conor Hundley run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:1895% → 98%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
94.9%
Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd to the Akron 41 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Se'Von Pittman) to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
98.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 44 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 23DOWNS
16 plays · 67 yds · 4:382% → 2%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
97.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 6 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 5 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 11 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 9 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+15
97.3%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 15 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
97.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 5 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
97.7%
Kyle Pohl run for 5 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
97.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 7 yds to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
97.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+4
98.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 4 yds to the PnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
97.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
98.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 10
OPP 13
0
98.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.6%
Zach Zwinak run for 1 yd to the PnSt 14Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+15
99.6%
AKRON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kris Givens) to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
Zach Zwinak run for 2 yds to the PnSt 31Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-3
99.6%
Bill Belton run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+23
99.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 23 yds to the Akron 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+23
99.6%
Bill Belton run for 23 yds to the Akron 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.7%
Zach Zwinak run for 5 yds to the Akron 21Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:38
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Jesse James for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Ficken KICK)
+8
FG · Q3 11:11
Robert Stein 28 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 13:32
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 10 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST down
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com