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RUTG

Rutgers 17 at Ohio State 56

OSU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD—OSU 99.7%J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD,(Sean Nuernberger KICK)AWAY 7 - HOME 49 · Q3 8:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:24 · J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+20.5Home team on offense+29.2Score differential+26.4Blowout margin+12.8Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:24: Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:27: Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +2.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:03: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 26 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:50: Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for a loss of 1 yard, Janarion Grant fumbled, forced by Rashad Frazier, recovered by OhSt Eli Apple , return for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:32: Rod Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 14:03RUTG 4th & 11 at RUTG 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19OSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:57RUTG 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:54RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:58OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:11RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:21RUTG 4th & 5 at OSU 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.5
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:22RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:24OSU 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:36RUTG 4th & 6 at OSU 24, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:49OSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 13, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:33RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 42, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:13RUTG 4th & 2 at OSU 49, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:34OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:24OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:27RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:03OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:50OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:32OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:17OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:24OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:14OSU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:54RUTG Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:478% → 8%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.0%
Gary Nova run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
91.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
91.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+11
91.9%
Tim Gleeson punt for 39 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 11 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:2692% → 92%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
91.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 5 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+3
91.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
91.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+19
91.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 19 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
91.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 12 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
91.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 12 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:318% → 9%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
91.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 17 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
91.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
91.2%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
91.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 2
50
+14
91.1%
Tim Gleeson punt for 38 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 14 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:1691% → 92%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
91.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Evan Spencer for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 25Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+31
91.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 31 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
91.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
91.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+13
91.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
91.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+6
91.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:448% → 11%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
91.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
91.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 14 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
91.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+10
91.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 10 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
91.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
91.4%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q1 1:56
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+8
91.6%
Gary Nova run for 8 yds to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
91.4%
Desmon Peoples run for 20 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
91.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1Similar
Q1 0:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:5790% → 93%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
90.0%
Dontre Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+6
89.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+20
89.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 20 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
90.3%
Dontre Wilson run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
90.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+26
92.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 26 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:558% → 8%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
91.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
91.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 9 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
91.8%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
91.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
91.9%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
92.0%
Tim Gleeson punt for 23 yds, downed at the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:5693% → 92%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
92.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Jeff Heuerman) to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-5
92.5%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Pat Elflein) to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+5
92.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 5 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
92.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Devin Smith, broken up by Kevin SnyderSimilar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 15
OWN 37
0
92.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 15
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
95.5%
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for a loss of 1 yard, Janarion Grant fumbled, forced by Rashad Frazier, recovered by OhSt Eli Apple , return for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:275% → 4%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
95.3%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
95.5%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-11
95.6%
Gary Nova sacked by Darron Lee for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 21
OWN 19
0
95.6%
Tim Gleeson punt for 32 yds, downed at the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:2896% → 99%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
96.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
50
+12
96.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+3
96.5%
Rod Smith run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+16
96.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 16 yds to the Rutgr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
96.7%
Rod Smith run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+14
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 14 yds to the Rutgr 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.6%
Rod Smith run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12INT
18 plays · 83 yds · 4:031% → 1%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-1
99.3%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+39
98.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 39 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
50
+4
98.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+1
99.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+9
99.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for 9 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
99.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 12 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 5 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 5
OPP 19
-6
99.0%
Gary Nova sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
99.2%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Tyler KroftSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+13
99.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Adolphus Washington) to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 6 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
98.9%
Gary Nova pass intercepted, touchback. Doran Grant return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:3399% → 99%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 10 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
99.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 18 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
99.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 18 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 33 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:451% → 1%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.4%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
99.4%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
Gary Nova run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+4
99.5%
Tim Gleeson punt for 36 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 4 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:51100% → 100%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.5%
Dontre Wilson run for 1 yd to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+12
99.6%
Dontre Wilson run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+19
99.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 19 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+18
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 8:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
99.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 28 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
99.7%
Desmon Peoples run for 19 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.6%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to John Tsimis, broken up by Gareon ConleySimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
99.6%
Kyle Federico 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:22100% → 100%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Billy Price) to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+5
99.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 4 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 7 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 42 yds to the Rutgr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Evan Spencer for 11 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
99.9%
Gary Nova sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+40
99.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 40 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 12 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 7 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+13
99.9%
Rod Smith run for 13 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+34
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 34 yds to the Rutgr 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Corey Smith for 7 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 3
OPP 13
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Rod SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
99.9%
Gary Nova sacked by Michael Hill for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+11
99.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 11 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
99.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+16
99.9%
Tim Gleeson punt for 50 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 16 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 14 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 8 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 28 Cardale Jones fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:020% → 0%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+7
100.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds Andre Patton fumbled, forced by Damon Webb, recovered by OhSt Erick SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Cardale Jones run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
100.0%
Warren Ball run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+9
100.0%
Cardale Jones run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:50
Gary Nova pass complete to Janarion Grant for a loss of 1 yard, Janarion Grant fumbled, forced by Rashad Frazier, recovered by OhSt Eli Apple , return for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 13:03
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 26 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q1 0:27
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com