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NU

Northwestern 38 at Purdue 14

PUR
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:27 · Chris Gradone punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Landon Feichter at the Prdue 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Home team on offense−52.9Score differential−37.7Garbage-time factor−20.1Pregame prior−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:21: Justin Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Prdue 0, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +7.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q2 14:07: Thomas Meadows punt for 27 yds , Tony Jones returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +8.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:37: Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +5.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:06: Zack Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +5.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:14: Justin Jackson run for 68 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:15PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:40NU 4th & 6 at NU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:11NU 4th & 14 at PUR 28, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:59NU 4th & 1 at PUR 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.5%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    69.6%−3.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:06PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 30, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:54NU 4th & 1 at PUR 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−1.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−2.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:54PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:23NU 4th & 13 at PUR 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:23NU 4th & 8 at PUR 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:22NU 4th & 15 at NU 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−2.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:44PUR 4th & 16 at NU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−2.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:44NU 4th & 10 at NU 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:18PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:06PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:06PUR 4th & 11 at NU 22, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:27NU 4th & 7 at NU 43, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 12:15NU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:21NU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:37PUR Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:06NU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:14NU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:54PUR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Dan VitaleSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.2%
Trevor Siemian pass intercepted Danny Ezechukwu return for 1 yd to the Nwest 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
44.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 4 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
44.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dolapo Macarthy for 3 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-1
44.3%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Jimmy Hall return for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:0855% → 56%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
44.6%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
44.7%
Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
44.6%
Trevor Siemian pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+44
44.6%
Treyvon Green run for 44 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
43.6%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 25 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
44.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
44.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
44.0%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
43.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 55 yds, downed at the Nwest 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
43.8%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+7
43.8%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 7 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
43.7%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+7
43.6%
Trevor Siemian run for 7 yds to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
43.6%
Warren Long run for 2 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
43.6%
Matt Alviti run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
43.6%
Trevor Siemian pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
43.8%
Chris Gradone punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Landon Feichter at the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FUMBLE
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
43.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
43.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 5 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
43.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
43.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
43.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+24
43.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 24 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
44.5%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 34Similar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+5
44.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 5 yds to the Nwest 29Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
44.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-1
44.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for a loss of 1 yard Akeem Hunt fumbled, forced by Jimmy Hall, recovered by Nwest Jimmy HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:5058% → 65%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
41.6%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+9
42.0%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Justin Jackson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 3
50
+5
41.6%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Tony Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
41.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 21 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
41.3%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+3
41.3%
Treyvon Green run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 6
OPP 20
-8
41.5%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Danny Ezechukwu for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+19
42.7%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 19 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & 9
OPP 0
+9
34.9%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Prdue 0, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1437% → 28%
Q1 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.8%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Trae Hart run for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
36.5%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+64
27.6%
Thomas Meadows punt for 27 yds , Tony Jones returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
27.6%
Akeem Hunt run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 Akeem Hunt fumbled, forced by Ibraheim Campbell, recovered by Nwest Ibraheim CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
25.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
25.3%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+7
25.7%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 7 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 13:59
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
26.1%
Trevor Siemian run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
26.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
26.8%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+1
26.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 1 yd to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
26.5%
Thomas Meadows punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
23.4%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+7
23.4%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
23.4%
Matt Alviti run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
23.2%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+1
23.0%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
23.4%
Matt Alviti pass complete to Jayme Taylor for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+2
24.4%
Matt Alviti run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32 Matt Alviti fumbled, forced by Danny Ezechukwu, recovered by Prdue Ja'Whan BentleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
25.8%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
25.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dolapo MacarthySimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
25.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dolapo MacarthySimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
25.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 31 yds, downed at the Nwest 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14MISSED FG
12 plays · 37 yds · 3:4679% → 82%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
20.9%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+9
20.7%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Tony Jones for 9 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
20.5%
Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
20.6%
Zack Oliver run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
20.3%
Zack Oliver run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
20.1%
Treyvon Green run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+6
20.5%
Treyvon Green run for 6 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
20.1%
Zack Oliver run for 7 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-10
20.1%
Green, Treyvon rush for 1 yard to the PUR15 (Bentley), PENALTY NU holding (Vitabile, B.) 10 yards to the PUR26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
20.4%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
20.8%
Zack Oliver pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+42
18.5%
Jack Mitchell 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
20.1%
Austin Appleby sacked by Anthony Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 18 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Nwest Deonte Gibson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5284% → 83%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
16.5%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
16.7%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
17.0%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Dan Vitale, broken up by Taylor RichardsSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+32
17.1%
Jack Mitchell 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 2:4619% → 28%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
19.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 11 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
20.4%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
20.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-5
20.4%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+22
18.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dolapo Macarthy for 22 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
20.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 9 yds to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 1
OPP 31
0
21.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
20.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
22.3%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+11
21.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 11 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
22.6%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
28.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -5 yds · 0:1580% → 77%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
19.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 36Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-2
22.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 34Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-2
22.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 32Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
23.4%
Chris Gradone punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
30.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20MISSED FG
17 plays · 51 yds · 8:1622% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
22.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
22.9%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
22.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
23.1%
Austin Appleby run for 6 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
24.0%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
24.0%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 39
+18
22.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 18 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
24.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+8
24.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Nwest 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
25.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+6
25.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dolapo Macarthy for 6 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+4
24.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
25.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
25.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for no gain to the Nwest 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 17
-7
24.3%
Austin Appleby sacked by Dean Lowry and Anthony Walker for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 24Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 16
OPP 24
+42
17.0%
Paul Griggs 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
14.8%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 22Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+26
15.0%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Kyle Prater for 26 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
13.7%
Oliver, Zack pass complete to Prater, Kyle for 28 yards to the PUR24 (Brown, Anthony), PENALTY NU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the NU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+5
14.1%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
13.7%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Garrett DickersonSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
14.1%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Cameron DickersonSimilar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
15.0%
Chris Gradone punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
15.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
15.3%
Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
15.4%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
15.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 46 yds, downed at the Nwest 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:4388% → 98%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
12.4%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+16
12.5%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Kyle Prater for 16 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
11.6%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
11.6%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Tony Jones, broken up by Landon FeichterSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
11.8%
Treyvon Green run for 8 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
11.5%
Treyvon Green run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+30
11.5%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Austin Carr for 30 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
11.1%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
11.1%
Zack Oliver run for 2 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+4
8.0%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Dan Vitale for 4 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.7%
Treyvon Green run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.4%
Zack Oliver run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
3.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dolapo Macarthy, broken up by Ibraheim CampbellSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
3.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
3.4%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+5
3.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 5 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
3.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 27 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
3.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-6
3.8%
Austin Appleby sacked by Chi Chi Ariguzo for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
3.4%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+5
3.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive offside (Ifeadi Odenigbo) to the Nwest 22Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 11
OPP 22
0
3.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 25TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 1:3598% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
1.9%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
1.9%
Zack Oliver run for 6 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+68
0.4%
Justin Jackson run for 68 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26INT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 9 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+15
0.3%
Appleby, Austin pass incomplete to Norwood, Miles, PENALTY NU personal foul (TEAM) 15 yards to the PUR33, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete, broken up by Dean LowrySimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Ibraheim Campbell return for no gain to the Nwest 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
0.3%
Warren Long run for 1 yd to the Nwest 14Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-6
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Nwest Warren LongSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
0.3%
Mike Panico run for 1 yd to the Nwest 25Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-1
0.3%
Matt Alviti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+16
0.3%
Tom Hruby run for 1 yd to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ra'Zahn Howard) to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
0.3%
Mike Panico run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
0.3%
Mike Panico run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
0.3%
Mike Panico run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
0.3%
Chris Gradone punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Landon Feichter at the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:570% → 1%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 15 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Charles Torwudzo for 13 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+25
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 25 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
0.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 12 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
1.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OPP 40
-2
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q2 14:07
Thomas Meadows punt for 27 yds , Tony Jones returns for 64 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
-8.9
TD · Q1 0:21
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds for a TD PURDUE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the Prdue 0, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 0:37
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+5.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com