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NIU

Northern Illinois 23 at Northwestern 15

NU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Ryan Field
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Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadNIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreNIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Chris Gradone punt for 38 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+8.2Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:51: Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 19 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +18.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:52: Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +18.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:19: Siemian, Trevor pass complete to Youngblood-Ary, for 3 yards to the NIU30 (FOLLIARD, Sean), PENALTY NU holding (Konopka, Jack) 10 yards to the NIU43, NO PLAY. — NU win probability +9.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:11: Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the NoIll 39 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (Juwan Brescacin) to the NoIll 29 — NIU win probability +10.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:00: Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel BLOCKED) — NIU win probability +16.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9NIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00NU 4th & 11 at NU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:28NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:31NU 4th & 10 at NU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:48NIU 4th & 1 at NIU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:18NIU 4th & 8 at NU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    41.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00NU 4th & 14 at NU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:21NIU 4th & 6 at NIU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:42NU 4th & 10 at NIU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:55NIU 4th & 5 at NU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:45NU 4th & 16 at NIU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:55NIU 4th & 7 at NU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:55NU 4th & 16 at NU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−3.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:51NIU 4th & 1 at NU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−3.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00NU 4th & 6 at NU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:14NIU 4th & 2 at NIU 25, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:19NU 4th & 6 at NIU 29, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.4%−1.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−12.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:00NU 4th & 16 at NU 18, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1NIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 4:51NU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:52NIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:27NIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
58.2%
Treyvon Green run for 7 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
58.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+16
58.2%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 16 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
58.2%
Treyvon Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
58.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
58.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
+38
58.2%
Chris Gradone punt for 38 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
58.2%
Akeem Daniels run for no gain to the NoIll 13Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+9
58.2%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 9 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
58.2%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+7
58.3%
Tyler Wedel punt for 57 yds , Ibraheim Campbell returns for 7 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
58.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Stephen Buckley for 4 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
58.3%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 35Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+9
58.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 9 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
58.5%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Rasheen Lemon for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+7
58.3%
Solomon Vault run for 7 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
58.3%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+2
58.2%
Chris Gradone punt for 39 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for 2 yds to the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
58.3%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Akeem Daniels for 9 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
58.0%
Matt McIntosh run for no gain to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
58.3%
Akeem Daniels run for no gain to the NoIll 28Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
58.5%
Tyler Wedel punt for 41 yds, downed at the Nwest 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5INT
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:2658% → 59%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
58.4%
Solomon Vault run for 2 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
58.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 11 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
58.9%
Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q1 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
59.0%
Treyvon Green run for 4 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+11
58.9%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Miles Shuler for 11 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
59.2%
Trevor Siemian pass intercepted, touchback. Paris Logan return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
58.0%
Matt McIntosh run for 13 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
57.7%
Matt McIntosh run for no gain to the NoIll 33Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
57.9%
Akeem Daniels run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+10
58.2%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 10 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
57.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
57.2%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Luke Eakes for 7 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
57.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
57.1%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
57.9%
Matt McIntosh punt for 42 yds, downed at the Nwest 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 19 yds · 3:2958% → 57%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+7
57.8%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 9Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 9
+2
57.7%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+1
57.4%
Treyvon Green run for 1 yd to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
58.0%
Treyvon Green run for 4 yds to the Nwest 16Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+3
58.0%
Treyvon Green run for 3 yds to the Nwest 19Similar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
57.5%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 6 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
58.1%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal block (Geoff Mogus) to the Nwest 15Similar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
58.0%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
58.1%
Trevor Siemian run for no gain to the Nwest 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+8
57.5%
Treyvon Green run for 8 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
57.2%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Kyle Prater) to the Nwest 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+11
57.1%
Chris Gradone punt for 53 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 11 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
56.4%
Matt McIntosh run for 4 yds to the NoIll 41Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
55.6%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Juwan Brescacin, broken up by Nick VanHooseSimilar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
56.1%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 13:21
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+3
57.3%
Tyler Wedel punt for 39 yds , Ibraheim Campbell returns for 3 yds to the Nwest 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
58.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Miles Shuler for 4 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
58.5%
Solomon Vault run for no gain to the Nwest 27Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+17
57.7%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Miles Shuler for 17 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
59.9%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Miles Shuler for 4 yds to the Nwest 48 NORTHWESTERN Penalty, illegal block (Kyle Prater) to the Nwest 38Similar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 16
OWN 38
+10
58.8%
Justin Jackson run for 10 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
60.0%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
59.7%
Trevor Siemian run for 5 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
60.4%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Miles ShulerSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
60.2%
Solomon Vault run for 6 yds to the NoIll 38Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-6
60.0%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Rasheen Lemon for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 44Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
58.0%
Chris Gradone punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:4843% → 47%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
56.6%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 7 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
55.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.8%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 3 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
55.4%
Anthony Maddie run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+11
54.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 11 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
54.1%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the Nwest 44Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
53.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
54.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
54.1%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Tyler Pitt) to the Nwest 43Similar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+4
54.9%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+26
54.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 26 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
53.1%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the Nwest 11Similar
Q2 8:43
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
53.1%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+3
54.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 3 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 3:55
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
53.4%
Tyler Wedel 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 3:1058% → 57%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
58.3%
Treyvon Green run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
58.1%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+25
57.0%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 25 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
60.9%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 4 yds Dan Vitale fumbled, forced by Marlon Moore, recovered by Nwest N/ASimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+1
60.6%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+11
59.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Justin Jackson for 11 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
61.4%
Siemian, Trevor rush for 11 yards to the NIU29, out-of-bounds (MEEHAN, Jason), PENALTY NU holding (Konopka, Jack) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:55
1ST & 20
50
0
59.8%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 20
50
+4
59.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Solomon Vault for 4 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 16
OPP 46
0
58.5%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Solomon VaultSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
57.1%
Chris Gradone punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
54.7%
Akeem Daniels run for 7 yds to the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:0545% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.9%
Akeem Daniels run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
54.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 25 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
51.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
51.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 13 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
51.0%
Akeem Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+19
52.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dean Lowry) to the Nwest 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
50.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Juwan Brescacin, broken up by Ibraheim CampbellSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
50.9%
Drew Hare sacked by Collin Ellis and Dean Lowry for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+5
52.7%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the Nwest 15Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
49.6%
Tyler Wedel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
50.5%
Treyvon Green run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
50.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+13
49.7%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 13 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
53.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Jayme Taylor for 5 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-4
54.0%
Treyvon Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 44Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-7
50.6%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Jason Meehan and Ladell Fleming for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 11:55
4TH & 16
OWN 37
0
48.3%
Chris Gradone punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoIll 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
47.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee Lewis, broken up by Matthew HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+23
47.8%
Cameron Stingily run for 23 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
44.8%
HARE, Drew pass complete to LEWIS, Tommylee for 6 yards to the NU47 (Ariguzo, C.), PENALTY NIU holding (NESS, Andrew) 10 yards to the NIU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+5
47.4%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 15
OWN 42
-6
46.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Akeem Daniels for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 36Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 21
OWN 36
-5
48.9%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 31Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 26
OWN 31
-11
49.4%
Drew Hare sacked by Deonte Gibson for a loss of 11 yards to the NoIll 20 Drew Hare fumbled, recovered by NoIll Drew Hare , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 37
OWN 20
0
50.7%
Tyler Wedel punt for 40 yds, downed at the Nwest 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:5853% → 72%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
52.5%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Miles Shuler for 1 yd to the Nwest 41Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+22
51.0%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 22 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
54.0%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Cameron Dickerson for 18 yds to the NoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
72.2%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 19 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 17TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 3:5934% → 59%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
66.0%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
65.9%
Joel Bouagnon run for no gain to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+10
67.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 10 yds to the NoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
65.1%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 3 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
64.7%
Akeem Daniels run for 2 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+18
65.2%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, personal foul (Matthew Harris) to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
61.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
61.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q3 4:51
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+7
62.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 7 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q3 4:51
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+17
63.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 17 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
59.8%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the Nwest 18Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
59.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
41.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5248% → 46%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
47.7%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+6
47.6%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 6 yds Kyle Prater fumbled, forced by Mayomi Olootu, recovered by Nwest N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
50.5%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Solomon VaultSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
48.4%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
49.3%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Kyle Prater, broken up by Mayomi OlootuSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
45.7%
Chris Gradone punt for 37 yds, downed at the NoIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
43.8%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the NoIll 18Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+3
44.2%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+4
45.5%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
46.8%
Tyler Wedel punt for 53 yds, downed at the Nwest 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 4:0044% → 46%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
44.4%
Siemian, Trevor pass complete to Youngblood-Ary, for 9 yards to the NU31 (OLOOTU, Mayomi), PENALTY NIU holding 10 yards to the NU32, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
45.2%
Justin Jackson run for 13 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.5%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 45Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+8
46.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Justin Jackson for 8 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
49.4%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
50.3%
Trevor Siemian sacked by William Lee and Jason Meehan for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 47Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 19
OWN 47
0
45.8%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Kyle Prater, broken up by Mayomi OlootuSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+20
43.9%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Dan Vitale for 20 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
52.8%
Siemian, Trevor pass complete to Youngblood-Ary, for 3 yards to the NIU30 (FOLLIARD, Sean), PENALTY NU holding (Konopka, Jack) 10 yards to the NIU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+1
47.4%
Trevor Siemian run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 19
OPP 42
+13
47.1%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 13 yds to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
49.9%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Cameron Dickerson, broken up by Perez FordSimilar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+1
45.9%
Trevor Siemian run for 1 yd to the NoIll 28 Trevor Siemian fumbled, forced by Sean Folliard, recovered by Nwest N/A NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:1165% → 85%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
35.1%
Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the NoIll 39 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal block (Juwan Brescacin) to the NoIll 29Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 9
OWN 29
+2
34.4%
Tommylee Lewis run for 2 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+19
34.5%
Akeem Daniels run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
50
-9
31.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 6 yds to the NORTHWSTRN 44 NORTHERNIL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Aidan Conlon) to the NoIll 41Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 19
OWN 41
+59
14.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-7
16.8%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Jason Meehan for a loss of 7 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 17
OWN 17
-8
16.2%
Siemian, Trevor pass complete to Prater, Kyle for 18 yards to the NU35, out-of-bounds (SMALLS, Albert), PENALTY NU holding (Mogus, Geoff) 8 yards to the NU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 25
OWN 9
+9
15.8%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Austin Carr for 9 yds to the Nwest 18Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 16
OWN 18
0
15.5%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Austin Carr, broken up by Albert SmallsSimilar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 16
OWN 18
+36
14.7%
Chris Gradone punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 22 , Chad Beebe returns for 36 yds to the Nwest 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5889% → 98%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
11.1%
Akeem Daniels run for 9 yds to the Nwest 13Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+9
11.1%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, personal foul (C.J. Robbins) to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
11.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 5Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
11.1%
Drew Hare run for 1 yd to the Nwest 4Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
2.0%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 74 yds · 0:003% → 12%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
3.3%
Siemian, Trevor sacked for loss of 9 yards to the NU17 (MEEHAN, Jason), fumble by Siemian, Trevor recovered by NIU FORD, Perez at NU20, PENALTY NIU roughing passer (MEEHAN, Jason) 15 yards to the NU41, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
3.4%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
11.7%
Zack Oliver run for 5 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 9 yds · 1:2195% → 97%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
5.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+5
5.0%
Tommylee Lewis run for 5 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+9
4.9%
Drew Hare run for 9 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
4.6%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 32Similar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 15
OPP 32
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 16
OPP 33
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 34Similar
Q4 1:13
3RD & 17
OPP 34
-1
3.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:52
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 18 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
-18.6
TD · Q3 4:51
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 19 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
+18.3
TD · Q4 7:00
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 59 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel BLOCKED)
-16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com