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PUR

Purdue 14 at Nebraska 35

NEB
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:15 · Sam Foltz punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Pregame prior+36.1Home team on offense+3.0Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:35: Tommy Armstrong Jr. 29 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +2.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:19: Imani Cross 1 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +3.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:18: Cameron Posey 23 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick) — PUR win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:32: Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin Sinz — PUR win probability +3.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:00: Terrell Newby 7 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10PUR made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 14:00PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:35NEB 4th & 1 at PUR 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:32NEB 4th & 1 at PUR 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:00PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 6:05NEB 4th & 7 at PUR 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    60% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:25PUR 4th & 21 at PUR 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:56NEB 4th & 20 at NEB 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:51PUR 4th & 15 at PUR 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 14:15NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:02PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:35NEB 4th & 4 at PUR 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:14NEB 4th & 16 at NEB 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:11PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:54PUR 4th & 7 at NEB 17, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:24NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 19, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:30PUR 4th & 2 at NEB 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:55PUR 4th & 5 at NEB 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:47NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:57PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:30NEB 4th & 23 at PUR 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:06PUR 4th & 21 at PUR 7, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:58PUR 4th & 21 at midfield, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:25NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:48PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:09NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:35NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:19NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:18PUR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:00NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:566% → 7%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
93.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
93.6%
Austin Appleby run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
93.5%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
93.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Kieron WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:3594% → 94%
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
93.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
93.5%
De'Mornay Pierson-El 17 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:317% → 7%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
93.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
93.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
93.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dan MonterosoSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+42
93.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 31 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 42 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:1693% → 93%
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
93.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
93.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+5
93.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 5 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
93.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 1 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by Neb Ameer AbdullahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:327% → 7%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
92.7%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
92.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+2
92.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 2 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+4
92.6%
Thomas Meadows punt for 31 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5593% → 92%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
92.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
92.7%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
92.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+46
92.3%
Drew Brown 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:408% → 8%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.2%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-7
92.1%
Danny Anthrop run for 3 yds to the Prdue 32 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 17
OWN 22
-4
92.2%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 18Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 21
OWN 18
0
92.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dan MonterosoSimilar
Q1 4:25
4TH & 21
OWN 18
+52
92.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 42 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the NEBRASKA 40 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2992% → 91%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
92.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 25Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 25
OWN 25
+5
91.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 20
OWN 30
0
91.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 62 yds, downed at the Prdue 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:058% → 9%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+28
91.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 28 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-9
91.1%
Austin Appleby sacked by Maliek Collins for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+41
91.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 41 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3691% → 91%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
91.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
91.2%
Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+5
91.3%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
91.5%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
91.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Trey FosterSimilar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
91.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
90.7%
Sam Foltz punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:3710% → 10%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
90.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+27
90.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 27 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
89.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
89.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+10
89.6%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Byerson Cockrell return for 10 yds to the Neb 32 Byerson Cockrell fumbled, forced by Danny Anthrop, recovered by Prdue Dan MonterosoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12TD
4 plays · 32 yds · 0:5011% → 14%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
89.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
89.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+25
86.2%
Austin Appleby 25 Yd Run (Paul Griggs Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:3988% → 91%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.0%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
88.6%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
88.3%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
88.3%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
88.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 27 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.2%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+10
87.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 10 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Imani Cross 2 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5311% → 11%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
89.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 11 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
88.9%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
88.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
88.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+14
89.1%
TEAM punt blocked by Brandon ReillySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:2790% → 93%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
89.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
89.9%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+10
90.4%
Imani Cross run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
90.1%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
90.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+1
89.8%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+29
92.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. 29 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16INT
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:378% → 9%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
92.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 11 yds to the Prdue 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+30
92.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 30 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
91.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
91.1%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted, touchback. Nate Gerry return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:4493% → 93%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
93.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+22
93.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 22 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
93.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-7
93.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+6
92.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 6 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 11
OWN 39
-5
92.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 0:14
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
93.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18END OF HALF
3 plays · 27 yds · 0:077% → 7%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
93.1%
Keyante Green run for 18 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
93.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:5193% → 94%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.2%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 8 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
93.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 20 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
93.5%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+14
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 14 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
93.6%
Jordan Nelson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+14
93.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Landon Feichter return for 14 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:507% → 7%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
92.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+10
92.9%
Austin Appleby run for 10 yds to the Prdue 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
92.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-14
92.4%
Appleby, Austin pass complete to Hunt, Akeem for 3 yards to the PURDUE32, PENALTY PURDUE personal foul 14 yards to the PURDUE15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 21
OWN 15
+5
93.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 16
OWN 20
0
93.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to David YanceySimilar
Q3 9:11
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
93.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
10 plays · 45 yds · 4:5294% → 98%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
93.9%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
94.0%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+1
93.7%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
94.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 24 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
94.4%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
94.4%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
94.2%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Imani Cross 1 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:252% → 1%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
98.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 9 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+9
98.0%
Raheem Mostert run for 9 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
98.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
98.0%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
98.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+21
98.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 21 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
98.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
98.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to David YanceySimilar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+2
98.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 17
0
98.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Dan MonterosoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.8%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.9%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
98.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 19
+28
98.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 41 yds , Danny Anthrop returns for 28 yds to the Neb 32 Danny Anthrop fumbled, recovered by Prdue Myles NorwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:061% → 6%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
98.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
98.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+2
98.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+4
98.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
98.9%
Akeem Hunt sacked by Josh Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 13
OPP 23
0
98.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+23
93.6%
Cameron Posey 23 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:3896% → 97%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+22
96.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Landon Feichter return for 22 yds to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:377% → 6%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
93.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
93.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dan Monteroso for 4 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+1
93.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 1 yd to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
94.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0896% → 97%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.4%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+2
96.6%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
96.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
96.8%
Sam Foltz punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:505% → 5%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
95.1%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 1:2797% → 97%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 23 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by NebSimilar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-15
97.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 25
OPP 38
+2
97.3%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 23
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 23
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Sam Foltz punt for 32 yds, downed at the Prdue 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:244% → 4%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
96.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+14
96.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 14 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
96.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 8 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 2
OWN 26
-13
95.7%
Appleby, Austin pass incomplete to Monteroso, Dan, PENALTY PURDUE pass interference (Monteroso, Dan) 13 yards to the PURDUE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
96.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 15
OWN 13
-6
96.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 21
OWN 7
0
96.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 31TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Terrell Newby 7 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 32DOWNS
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:021% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
99.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 23 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to David YanceySimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 12 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-11
99.5%
Austin Appleby sacked by Josh Mitchell for a loss of 11 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 21
50
0
99.6%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 21
50
0
99.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:33100% → 100%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
50
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 12
OWN 48
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:18
Cameron Posey 23 Yd pass from Austin Appleby (Paul Griggs Kick)
-5.4
TD · Q3 4:19
Imani Cross 1 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)
+3.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:32
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin Sinz
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com