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RUTG

Rutgers 24 at Nebraska 42

NEB
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:37 · Drew Brown 42 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+28.2Home team on offense+3.1Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:10: Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 71 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:39: Ameer Abdullah run for 53 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +3.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:28: Ameer Abdullah run for 48 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +4.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:08: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +6.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:04: Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +3.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 4RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:45RUTG 4th & 1 at NEB 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:37NEB 4th & 3 at RUTG 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.9%−0.2
    66% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:54RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:39RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:19RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:10NEB 4th & 23 at NEB 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−2.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:46RUTG 4th & 8 at NEB 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:00NEB 4th & 8 at RUTG 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:10RUTG 4th & 9 at NEB 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−2.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:34RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 43, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:18NEB 4th & 1 at RUTG 40, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:49RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 11, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:48NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:10RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:39NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:28NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:08NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:35NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:04RUTG Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:07NEB Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:11RUTG Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:1515% → 17%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
84.8%
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+8
84.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+18
84.5%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 18 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
84.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 8 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+5
84.1%
Desmon Peoples run for 5 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
83.7%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+9
83.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 9 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
83.4%
Desmon Peoples run for no gain to the Neb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:5784% → 85%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
83.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 20 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
83.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
83.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
83.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
83.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 9 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
83.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
83.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
83.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+11
83.0%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Moore, Alonzo, PENALTY RUTGERS personal foul (Kirksey, Kenneth) 11 yards to the RUTGERS11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
83.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Alex Lewis) to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+16
84.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3INT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:3416% → 17%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
84.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+2
83.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+1
83.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
83.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
83.5%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+23
83.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 23 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
83.1%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+28
83.0%
Gary Nova pass intercepted Nate Gerry return for 28 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:3785% → 84%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
84.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 11 yds to the Rutgr 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
84.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
84.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
84.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
83.6%
Drew Brown 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2717% → 20%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.3%
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
83.1%
Desmon Peoples run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+71
79.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 71 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:2180% → 84%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
80.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 7 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+2
80.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+5
80.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
83.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 53 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:4517% → 17%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
82.9%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
82.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 14 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
82.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
81.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
82.4%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+16
83.3%
Tim Gleeson punt for 35 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 16 yds to the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:2684% → 89%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
83.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 16 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
88.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 48 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:4913% → 12%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
87.3%
Gary Nova sacked by Maliek Collins for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 17
OWN 15
-1
87.7%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 18
OWN 14
0
87.9%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 18
OWN 14
-2
88.0%
Tim Gleeson punt for 43 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2189% → 89%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
88.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
88.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+2
88.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Anthony Cioffi return for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5913% → 12%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
87.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
87.5%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
87.7%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to John TsimisSimilar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
87.9%
Tim Gleeson punt for 48 yds, downed at the Neb 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 3:0988% → 88%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
88.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+4
88.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+3
88.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-10
88.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 8 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Terrell NewbySimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 20
OWN 8
0
88.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 20
OWN 8
-3
87.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 5Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 23
OWN 5
0
87.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 30 yds, fair catch by John Tsimis at the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2413% → 12%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
86.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Desmon Peoples for 1 yd to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
86.8%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Desmon PeoplesSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+1
87.5%
Gary Nova run for 1 yd to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
88.4%
Kyle Federico 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Randy Gregory Josh Mitchell return for 2 yds to the Neb 37 Josh Mitchell fumbled, recovered by Neb Kevin WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 1:4689% → 89%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 40 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by Neb Tommy Armstrong Jr.Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
89.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
89.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 16 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
90.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
89.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
0
89.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
89.2%
Sam Foltz punt for 36 yds, downed at the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0012% → 11%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
88.4%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
88.5%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+12
88.7%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 12 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
88.9%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
89.0%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4789% → 97%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+49
89.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 49 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
90.0%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-5
90.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Chongo Kondolo) to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+11
90.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 11 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+10
90.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 10 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:584% → 7%
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+46
95.5%
Chris Laviano run for 46 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
95.1%
Desmon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+4
95.2%
Desmon Peoples run for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-5
95.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Keith Lumpkin) to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
96.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
93.2%
Kyle Federico 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0595% → 99%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
95.3%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-5
95.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Chongo Kondolo) to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+4
95.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+14
95.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 14 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
95.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 5 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 4 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:012% → 2%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
98.2%
Justin Goodwin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+7
98.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+21
98.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.4%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
98.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-12
98.6%
Chris Laviano sacked by Randy Gregory for a loss of 12 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 17
OWN 43
+20
98.5%
Tim Gleeson punt for 57 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 20 yds to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3599% → 99%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.2%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-5
99.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 21 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Quanzell LambertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:261% → 5%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
98.7%
Chris Laviano run for 9 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+3
98.7%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Neb 3Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.9%
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:4297% → 97%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
96.8%
Imani Cross run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
97.2%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
97.4%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
97.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
97.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:293% → 3%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
96.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
97.0%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
97.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 6
OWN 11
+2
97.1%
Tim Gleeson punt for 33 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 2 yds to the Rutgr 42 NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Block (Taariq Allen) to the Neb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4298% → 100%
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
97.7%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+22
97.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 22 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.8%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-10
97.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Cotton) to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 18
OPP 41
+13
97.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 13 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+5
97.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive Offside (NA) to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:560% → 2%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.6%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+18
99.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 18 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.5%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+8
99.6%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Neb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.6%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
97.6%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 29 yds · 5:1198% → 99%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
98.4%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
98.6%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+6
98.6%
Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
98.7%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+5
98.8%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.0%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
99.0%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Rutgr 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:08
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q2 10:28
Ameer Abdullah run for 48 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q3 0:04
Desmon Peoples run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com