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NEB

Nebraska 55 at Fresno State 19

FRES
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Valley Children's Stadium
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Win probability · FRES
modelFRES aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playFRES scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDSAFETYFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Sam Foltz punt for 59 yds, downed at the FrsSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Home team on offense−47.7Pregame prior−9.3Score differential−32.6Garbage-time factor−16.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 5:40: Drew Brown 22 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +7.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 2:08: Kody Kroening 27 yd FG GOOD — FRES win probability +7.2 pts (now 13%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:50: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 20 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +3.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:42: Brian Burrell run for 66 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK) — FRES win probability +2.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: FRES has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:47: Imani Cross run for 62 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FRES made the numbers' call on 14 of 15NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 13:08FRES 4th & 13 at FRES 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02FRES 4th & 4 at midfield, down 12
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42NEB 4th & 3 at FRES 26, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.5%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:42FRES 4th & 3 at FRES 33, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:23NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 27, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:05FRES 4th & 7 at NEB 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−2.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:18NEB 4th & 3 at FRES 21, up 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%−0.4
    74% to make
    Punt
    71.0%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11FRES 4th & 7 at FRES 48, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:11FRES 4th & 16 at FRES 44, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:40NEB 4th & 4 at FRES 5, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−5.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:33FRES 4th & 1 at NEB 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−1.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:08FRES 4th & 10 at NEB 10, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−4.6
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:08NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 39, up 22
    Close callPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00FRES 4th & 6 at FRES 33, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 11:44FRES 4th & 18 at FRES 35, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:24NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 28, up 29
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:55FRES 4th & 10 at FRES 39, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:26NEB 4th & 21 at NEB 38, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:26FRES 4th & 11 at FRES 23, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 35, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:44FRES 4th & 9 at FRES 7, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:48FRES 4th & 24 at FRES 49, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:04FRES 4th & 3 at NEB 47, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FRES made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:14NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:03NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:50NEB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:42FRES Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:47NEB Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:48NEB Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:25FRES Touchdown, down 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:04NEB Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 1:4682% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
18.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 11 yds to the Neb 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
18.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-2
18.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+70
18.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 70 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
18.8%
Brian Burrell pass complete to LeKendrick Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
18.7%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
18.7%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron Peck FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+8
18.7%
Garrett Swanson punt for 40 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 8 yds to the Neb 23 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
18.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 57 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:5418% → 20%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.4%
Marteze Waller run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 29Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
18.4%
Brian Burrell run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
18.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 10 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
18.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 9 yds to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
18.5%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+7
18.5%
Marteze Waller run for 7 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
18.5%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
18.5%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
18.5%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q1 9:09
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
19.6%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
19.8%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
19.7%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 4
50
0
19.8%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 4
50
0
19.7%
Garrett Swanson punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6MISSED FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:2681% → 81%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
18.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+23
18.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 8 yds to the FRESNOST 48 for a 1ST down FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
18.8%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
18.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
18.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete, broken up by Karl MickelsenSimilar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
18.8%
Drew Brown 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
20.1%
Malique Micenheimer run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 12
OWN 24
0
20.0%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+9
19.8%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for 9 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
20.0%
Garrett Swanson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
19.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
19.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
19.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 7
OWN 27
-4
19.2%
Sam Foltz punt for 36 yds , Stratton Brown returns for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 33 LeKendrick Williams return for no gain to the FrsSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:1821% → 21%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
20.6%
Brian Burrell run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
21.0%
Josh Quezada run for 1 yd to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
21.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 5 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+8
20.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 8 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
21.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 18 yds to the Neb 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
21.9%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
21.9%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 3:10
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
21.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron PeckSimilar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
20.5%
Kody Kroening 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:4781% → 83%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
18.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 6 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
18.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
18.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
18.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
18.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+37
18.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 37 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
18.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
18.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
18.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the FrsSt 21 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:18
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
17.5%
Drew Brown 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:0218% → 15%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
18.2%
Marteze Waller run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 18Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+6
18.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Malique Micenheimer for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+21
18.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 21 yds to the FrsSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
19.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 3 yds to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
19.4%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Marteze Waller for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
19.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for no gain to the FrsSt 48Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+86
14.8%
Garrett Swanson punt for 38 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 86 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
14.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
50
-1
15.3%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Aaron Peck for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-5
15.2%
FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the FrsSt 44Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 16
OWN 44
0
14.7%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Aaron Peck, broken up by Jonathan RoseSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 16
OWN 44
0
14.5%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Greg WatsonSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 16
OWN 44
+51
14.4%
Garrett Swanson punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 51 yds to the FRESNOST 5 FRESNO ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Garrett Swanson) to the FrsSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:0086% → 93%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
14.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 16 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
14.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the FrsSt 16Similar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 15
OPP 16
+1
14.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
13.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore, broken up by Derron SmithSimilar
Q2 6:25
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+10
13.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 10 yds to the FrsSt 5Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
6.6%
Drew Brown 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 14FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 3:256% → 13%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
5.8%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Greg Watson for 8 yds to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 2
OWN 35
0
5.9%
Josh Quezada run for no gain to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+5
6.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
6.0%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+29
5.8%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Dillon Root for 29 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.6%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+9
6.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Dillon Root for 9 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
6.3%
Josh Quezada run for no gain to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+3
6.4%
Josh Quezada run for 3 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
6.6%
Brian Burrell run for 14 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
6.6%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh Harper, broken up by Josh MitchellSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
6.5%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Quezada for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
6.3%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
13.4%
Kody Kroening 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:5290% → 91%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
10.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
10.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 34Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-6
9.2%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+11
9.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 11 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
9.1%
Sam Foltz punt for 50 yds, fair catch by LeKendrick Williams at the FrsSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
11.0%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+4
10.9%
Josh Quezada run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 6
OWN 15
-4
11.0%
Josh Quezada run for a loss of 4 yards to the FrsSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
9.9%
Brian Burrell sacked by Vincent Valentine for a loss of 11 yards to the FrsSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+15
9.8%
BURRELL, Brian pass incomplete to HARPER, Josh, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Mitchell, Josh) 15 yards to the FS29, 1ST DOWN FS, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
10.0%
Brian Burrell run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+1
10.2%
Marteze Waller run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
10.0%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh HarperSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
9.9%
Garrett Swanson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2793% → 97%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
7.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
7.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 27 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
6.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 15 yds to the FrsSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
3.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 20 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
4.4%
Josh Quezada run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.5%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
4.4%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 43
-8
4.3%
Brian Burrell sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 8 yards to the FrsSt 35Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 18
OWN 35
0
4.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 65 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
3.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
3.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
2.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
2.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by LeKendrick Williams at the FrsSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
4.1%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Marteze WallerSimilar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 8:55
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Garrett Swanson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
2.6%
Armstrong Jr, T pass incomplete to Moore, Alonzo, PENALTY FS pass interference (WASHINGTON, Cha) 15 yards to the NEB38, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
2.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
2.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+4
2.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 4 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
2.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-10
2.5%
Armstrong Jr, T rush for 3 yards to the FS49 (HUGHES, Brandon), PENALTY NEB holding (Pelini, Mark) 10 yards to the NEB38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 21
OWN 38
0
2.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Maliek CollinsSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 21
OWN 38
0
2.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 21
OWN 38
+19
2.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 59 yds , LeKendrick Williams returns for 19 yds to the FrsSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 23TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:342% → 4%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
1.9%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Josh Harper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
3.9%
Brian Burrell run for 66 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
5 plays · 98 yds · 1:4797% → 98%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
3.0%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
3.1%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+29
3.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 29 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
1.9%
Imani Cross run for 62 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:152% → 1%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
1.5%
Brian Burrell sacked by Vincent Valentine for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
1.5%
Josh Quezada run for no gain to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
1.4%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 1:26
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+7
1.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 54 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
0.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 31Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
0.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
0.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan Carter, broken up by Shannon EdwardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
0.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 59 yds, downed at the FrsSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
1.1%
Dillon Root run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
1.0%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Marteze Waller for no gain to the FrsSt 7Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OWN 7
0
1.0%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Dillon Root, broken up by Byerson CockrellSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 9
OWN 7
0
1.0%
Garrett Swanson punt for 46 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 45 De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, forced by Karl Mickelsen, recovered by Neb N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
0.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
0.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 15 yds to the FrsSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
0.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 16 yds to the FrsSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.4%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the FrsSt 23Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
0.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 23 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 29PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Marteze Waller run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 33Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to LeKendrick Williams for 9 yds to the FrsSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to LeKendrick Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 41Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete, broken up by Jack GangwishSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+11
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 11 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 11 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Marteze WallerSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 10
OPP 37
-9
0.2%
Brian Burrell sacked by Marcus Newby for a loss of 9 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 19
OPP 46
-5
0.2%
FRESNO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 49Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 24
OWN 49
0
0.2%
Garrett Swanson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 30FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
0.2%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 12Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+3
0.2%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 14 Terrell Newby fumbled, forced by Ioane Sagapolu, recovered by FrsSt Brandon HughesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 31TD
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.2%
Josh Quezada run for 5 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 9 yds for a TD, (Kody Kroening KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 32TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
0.2%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 39Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
0.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+12
0.2%
Ryker Fyfe run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
0.2%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 24Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+12
0.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for 12 yds to the FrsSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
0.2%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 10Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
0.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Christian Bailey for 10 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FRESDrive 33PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Delvon Hardaway for 21 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass complete to Justin Johnson for 7 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Da'Mari ScottSimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Brian Burrell pass incomplete to Josh QuezadaSimilar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
0.1%
Garrett Swanson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 34END OF GAME
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Jordan Nelson run for 3 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
0.1%
Jordan Nelson run for no gain to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+3
0.1%
Graham Nabity run for 3 yds to the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 5:40
Drew Brown 22 yd FG GOOD
-7.2
FG · Q2 2:08
Kody Kroening 27 yd FG GOOD
+7.2
TD · Q3 11:50
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 20 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com