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MCN

McNeese 24 at Nebraska 31

NEB
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:42 · Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Nate Holmes for 12 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 11Pregame prior+44.4Home team on offense−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:08: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Sam return for 98 yds for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK) — MCN win probability +1.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:47: Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +2.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:45: Tyler Bolfing run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK) — MCN win probability +15.0 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 4:21: Alex Kjellsten 24 yd FG GOOD — MCN win probability +17.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: MCN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:20: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 58 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +39.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MCN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:02NEB 4th & 1 at MCN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    93.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42MCN 4th & 1 at NEB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10MCN 4th & 5 at MCN 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:10MCN 4th & 7 at NEB 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:47NEB 4th & 1 at MCN 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−1.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:25MCN 4th & 5 at MCN 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:34NEB 4th & 5 at MCN 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:27MCN 4th & 1 at MCN 30, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:14NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:37MCN 4th & 9 at MCN 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:30NEB 4th & 9 at NEB 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:13MCN 4th & 2 at MCN 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:51NEB 4th & 11 at MCN 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    81.9%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56MCN 4th & 5 at NEB 27, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:51NEB 4th & 5 at NEB 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−1.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:20MCN 4th & 11 at MCN 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:27NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−1.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:21MCN 4th & 7 at NEB 7, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−3.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−18.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:40NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:14MCN 4th & 3 at MCN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−2.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MCN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:26MCN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:44NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:00NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:08MCN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:47NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:45MCN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:20NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3896% → 95%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+2
95.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 2 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
95.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the McNSt 48Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-5
95.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 2TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:365% → 6%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
95.3%
Kelvin Bennett run for 9 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 38
0
95.2%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Zach HetrickSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
95.1%
Kelvin Bennett run for no gain to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+12
95.0%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Nate Holmes for 12 yds to the Neb 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
94.8%
Tyler Bolfing run for no gain to the Neb 19 Tyler Bolfing fumbled, recovered by McNSt Tyler Bolfing Nate Holmes run for 7 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
94.7%
Kelvin Bennett run for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+3
94.6%
Kelvin Bennett run for 3 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
94.4%
Kelvin Bennett run for 2 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
94.4%
Ernest Celestie run for 3 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
93.6%
Derrick Milton run for 9 yds for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 1:4294% → 94%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
93.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 19 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+14
93.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 14 yds to the McNSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+40
94.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 40 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:346% → 6%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.0%
Kelvin Bennett run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
93.8%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to David Bush for 6 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
93.6%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Ernest CelestieSimilar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
93.7%
Jean Breaux punt for 37 yds, downed at the Neb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:1094% → 95%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
93.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 30Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
93.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jamal TurnerSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+14
93.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Taariq Allen for 14 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+42
93.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 42 yds to the McNSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
93.7%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the McNSt 12Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+10
93.6%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Westerkamp, Jordan, PENALTY MCNEESE pass interference (Sam, Aaron) 10 yards to the MCNEESE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:506% → 7%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.4%
Daniel Sams run for 6 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
94.0%
Daniel Sams run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 30Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
94.0%
Daniel Sams pass complete to Jereon McGilvery for 5 yds to the McNSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
93.8%
Nate Holmes run for 13 yds to the McNSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
93.5%
Nate Holmes run for 3 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-5
93.3%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, False Start (Quentin Marsh) to the McNSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+5
93.6%
Daniel Sams run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
93.3%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to Ernest CelestieSimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
93.5%
Jean Breaux punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7INT TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:0294% → 92%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 21Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
93.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 4 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
93.3%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Chongo Kondolo) to the Neb 20Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+17
93.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 17 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
93.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 36Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+12
93.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 12 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
93.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 12 yds to the McNSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds to the McNSt 33Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+24
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 24 yds to the McNSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
93.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jamal TurnerSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+98
91.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted for a TD Aaron Sam return for 98 yds for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 4:1691% → 93%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
90.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
90.6%
Ameer Abdullah run for 12 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jamal TurnerSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
90.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 11 yds to the McNSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Taariq AllenSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+27
90.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 27 yds to the McNSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell NewbySimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+11
90.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 11 yds to the McNSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
90.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the McNSt 4Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
90.2%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 4 yards to the McNSt 8Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
90.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 7 yds to the McNSt 1Similar
Q2 5:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:228% → 8%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
92.5%
Kelvin Bennett run for 4 yds to the McNSt 18Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+6
92.6%
Kelvin Bennett run for 6 yds to the McNSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
92.4%
Daniel Sams run for 6 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
92.1%
Kelvin Bennett run for 3 yds to the McNSt 33Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
91.8%
Kelvin Bennett run for no gain to the McNSt 33Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 33
-4
91.9%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the McNSt 29Similar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+14
92.3%
Jean Breaux punt for 36 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 14 yds to the Neb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5192% → 91%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
92.0%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the McNSt 46Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
91.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
91.3%
Sam Foltz punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Khalil Thomas at the McNSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:508% → 8%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
91.8%
Derrick Milton run for 4 yds to the McNSt 14Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
91.7%
Derrick Milton run for 1 yd to the McNSt 15Similar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-1
91.8%
Derrick Milton run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2610% → 10%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
90.0%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Ernest Celestie for 6 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
89.5%
Derrick Milton run for 3 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
89.4%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Nate HolmesSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
90.0%
Jean Breaux punt for 42 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for no gain to the Neb 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:1390% → 88%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
90.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Neb 31 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mark Pelini) to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 17
OWN 21
+2
89.6%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+1
89.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+6
89.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Taariq Allen for 6 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+8
88.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 56 yds , Nate Holmes returns for 8 yds to the McNSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:3711% → 11%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
88.9%
Tyler Bolfing sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 20Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+3
88.9%
Kelvin Bennett run for 3 yds to the McNSt 23Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
89.2%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Zach HetrickSimilar
Q3 9:37
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+11
89.5%
Jean Breaux punt for 41 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 11 yds to the Neb 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0791% → 89%
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
90.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 7
50
-2
90.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
89.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
89.0%
Sam Foltz punt for 50 yds, downed at the McNSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1712% → 11%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+17
88.4%
Daniel Sams run for 17 yds to the McNSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
87.9%
Derrick Milton run for 2 yds to the McNSt 21Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+6
87.7%
Daniel Sams run for 6 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 27
0
88.3%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to Nate HolmesSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+25
89.1%
Jean Breaux punt for 45 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 25 yds to the McNSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0991% → 92%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
91.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 34 yds to the McNSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
91.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the McNSt 12Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+8
91.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 8 yds to the McNSt 4Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-15
91.0%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy rush for 4 yards to the MCNEESE0, PENALTY NEBRASKA tripping (Cotton, Jake) 15 yards to the MCNEESE19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 16
OPP 19
+5
90.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 5 yds to the McNSt 14Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
91.7%
Drew Brown 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 18TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:068% → 25%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
91.8%
Daniel Sams run for 5 yds to the McNSt 22Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-9
91.4%
Daniel Sams run for 1 yd to the McNSt 23 MCNEESE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Antoine Everett) to the McNSt 13Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 14
OWN 13
0
91.8%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to Kelvin BennettSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+40
92.1%
Daniel Sams pass complete to Kent Shelby for 40 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.1%
Kelvin Bennett run for 1 yd to the Neb 46Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+14
90.1%
Daniel Sams pass complete to Ernest Celestie for 14 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
89.4%
Kelvin Bennett run for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
90.0%
Daniel Sams run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
90.6%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to Kent ShelbySimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+26
91.6%
Daniel Sams run for 26 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
89.8%
Dylan Long run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.9%
Tyler Bolfing run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5482% → 80%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
82.1%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 17Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+7
81.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Taariq Allen for 7 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
80.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Taariq AllenSimilar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+11
79.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 54 yds , Nate Holmes returns for 11 yds to the McNSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3121% → 20%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
78.7%
Khalil Thomas run for 9 yds to the McNSt 42Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-10
75.8%
Milton, Derrick rush for no gain to the MCNEESE42, PENALTY MCNEESE holding 10 yards to the MCNEESE32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
79.1%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to Derrick MiltonSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
79.9%
Daniel Sams pass incomplete to David BushSimilar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+2
80.4%
Jean Breaux punt for 40 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 2 yds to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5382% → 81%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Taariq AllenSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
81.1%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
81.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Taariq AllenSimilar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
80.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 61 yds, downed at the McNSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 22FG
16 plays · 88 yds · 6:0621% → 45%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+9
79.3%
Kelvin Bennett run for 9 yds to the McNSt 14Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 14
+4
77.9%
Kelvin Bennett run for 4 yds to the McNSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+27
77.0%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Zach Hetrick for 27 yds to the McNSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
73.2%
Kelvin Bennett run for 1 yd to the McNSt 46Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+32
73.1%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Kelvin Bennett for 32 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
69.2%
Kelvin Bennett run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+5
67.7%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Derrick Milton for 5 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+7
69.6%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Kent Shelby for 7 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
65.9%
Milton, Derrick rush for 8 yards to the NEBRASKA0, PENALTY MCNEESE illegal formation 5 yards to the NEBRASKA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
67.8%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Ernest CelestieSimilar
Q4 5:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
67.5%
Tyler Bolfing run for 4 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Maliek Collins) to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
66.6%
Kelvin Bennett run for 2 yds to the Neb 2Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
66.6%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Dylan LongSimilar
Q4 5:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
72.9%
Dylan Long run for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 7Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
55.5%
Alex Kjellsten 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:4167% → 63%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
66.7%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
68.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 5 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
67.2%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass complete to Westerkamp, Jordan for 41 yards to the MCNEESE14, PENALTY NEBRASKA ineligible downfield on pass (Cotton, Jake) 5 yards to the NEBRASKA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
64.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
62.5%
Sam Foltz punt for 50 yds , Nate Holmes returns for no gain to the McNSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2643% → 43%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
56.9%
Kelvin Bennett run for 1 yd to the McNSt 11Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+3
56.5%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Kelvin Bennett for 3 yds to the McNSt 14Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+3
56.7%
Tyler Bolfing pass complete to Dylan Long for 3 yds to the McNSt 17Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
56.9%
Jean Breaux punt for 45 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:5462% → 96%
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
62.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Dominique Hill for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 36 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, forced by Dominique Hill, recovered by Neb Mike Moudy , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+6
57.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+58
96.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 58 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:148% → 8%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
92.4%
Tyler Bolfing pass incomplete to Ernest CelestieSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+38
92.5%
Tyler Bolfing pass intercepted Corey Cooper return for 38 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:20
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 58 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+39.1
FG · Q4 4:21
Alex Kjellsten 24 yd FG GOOD
-17.4
TD · Q4 13:45
Tyler Bolfing run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Kjellsten KICK)
-15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com