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MINN

Minnesota 28 at Nebraska 24

NEB
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadMINN aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreMINN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:57: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 18 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +4.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:18: Nate Gerry 85 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +6.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:14: David Cobb run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +11.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:47: Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +16.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:25: Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +44.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:45MINN 4th & 5 at NEB 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:30NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00MINN 4th & 18 at MINN 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:18MINN 4th & 5 at NEB 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    19.0%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:55MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:02NEB 4th & 25 at NEB 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%−1.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:19NEB 4th & 1 at MINN 12, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%−1.9
    86% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:47MINN 4th & 1 at NEB 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.8
    77% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−10.8
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:16NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:08MINN 4th & 7 at NEB 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:34NEB 4th & 8 at MINN 48, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:42NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:43MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:57NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:18NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:14MINN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:47MINN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:25MINN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−1.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 3:0524% → 25%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.0%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
75.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx Williams, broken up by Nate GerrySimilar
Q1 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+22
75.9%
Mitch Leidner run for 22 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
75.6%
David Cobb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+5
75.5%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Neb 46Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+2
75.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
75.2%
Peter Mortell punt for 28 yds, downed at the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:5375% → 77%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
75.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Neb 18. Mark Pelini injured on play.Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+5
75.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 5 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+73
74.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 73 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down. Kenny Bell injured on play.Similar
Q1 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
75.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Minn 2Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:4224% → 28%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
76.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to David Cobb for 7 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+9
75.9%
Mitch Leidner run for 9 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
76.0%
David Cobb run for 7 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+8
75.7%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+23
75.8%
KJ Maye run for 8 yds to the Neb 32, NEBRASKA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Josh Mitchell) to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
75.4%
David Cobb run for 1 yd to the Neb 16Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
75.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Neb 12Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+11
75.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 11 yds to the Neb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5073% → 72%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+9
73.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 9 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
73.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-1
73.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Damien Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
72.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo Moore, broken up by Eric Murray. Alonzo Moore injured on play.Similar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
72.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5FUMBLE
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:0028% → 28%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
72.4%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+10
72.2%
David Cobb run for 10 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
72.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
71.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to David CobbSimilar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-12
72.0%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 12 yards to the Minn 16Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 18
OWN 16
0
72.4%
Peter Mortell punt for 33 yds , Taariq Allen returns for no gain to the Minn 49 Taariq Allen fumbled, recovered by Neb Taariq AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:5374% → 77%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
73.6%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
73.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Minn 43Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
73.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 14 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
73.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Minn 34Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+13
73.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 13 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
73.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
73.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
73.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
77.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 18 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:2224% → 19%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
76.1%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+7
76.1%
KJ Maye run for 7 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
76.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
75.2%
Berkley Edwards run for 3 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+26
74.9%
Mitch Leidner run for 26 yds to the Neb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
73.7%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+9
73.4%
David Cobb run for 9 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
73.3%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+1
73.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
74.3%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx Williams MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (David Cobb) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:18
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+85
81.0%
Nate Gerry 85 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0518% → 17%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
82.3%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+8
82.0%
Berkley Edwards run for 8 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
82.0%
David Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 35Similar
Q2 3:14
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
82.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
83.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Isaac Fruechte, broken up by Daniel DavieSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
83.3%
Peter Mortell punt for 56 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9FUMBLE
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:0983% → 87%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
83.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+8
83.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 8 yds to the Neb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
84.1%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
85.7%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
86.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
86.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 12 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
87.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam Cotton, broken up by Eric MurraySimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+18
87.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 18 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
87.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
87.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+25
87.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 25 yds De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, forced by Cedric Thompson, recovered by Minn Damarius Travis , return for 24 yds to the Minn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:1214% → 15%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
85.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to David Cobb for 22 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
84.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
84.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-10
85.3%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Randy Gregory for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:4387% → 86%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
86.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Damien Wilson for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
86.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-11
86.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by De'Vondre Campbell and Michael Amaefula for a loss of 11 yards to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+12
85.7%
Sam Foltz punt for 37 yds , Craig James returns for 12 yds to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:3116% → 27%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
84.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
83.8%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
84.1%
David Cobb run for 7 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
73.0%
David Cobb run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4178% → 84%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
78.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 29 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
80.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+12
80.5%
Imani Cross run for 12 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
82.0%
Imani Cross run for 8 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+2
82.1%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
82.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+6
82.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 6 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
82.3%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Minn 12Similar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
83.5%
Drew Brown 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 5:1317% → 32%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
82.6%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 4 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
82.4%
Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+21
82.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 21 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
80.9%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 3 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+2
81.4%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 2 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+12
81.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 12 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
80.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+2
80.1%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
81.5%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+19
68.5%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:2472% → 74%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
71.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 11 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
72.6%
Ameer Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
73.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
71.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
74.0%
Sam Foltz punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5228% → 29%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
71.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 7 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+15
69.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 15 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
67.5%
Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
67.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Isaac Fruechte, broken up by Nate GerrySimilar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
67.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
71.5%
Peter Mortell punt for 34 yds, fair catch by De'Mornay Pierson-El at the Neb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:1674% → 75%
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
74.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Neb 14Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
74.5%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+19
74.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 19 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
76.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
50
+9
78.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 9 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
-7
79.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Theiren Cockran for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
77.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
75.0%
Sam Foltz punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:3529% → 82%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Minn 23 Mitch Leidner fumbled, forced by Zaire Anderson, recovered by Minn Zac Epping , return for 2 yds to the Minn 23Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+8
70.6%
Donovahn Jones run for 8 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew GoodgerSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
69.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+38
70.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 38 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
62.7%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+10
62.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 10 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
62.5%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 8 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
62.4%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 3 yds to the Neb 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19FUMBLE
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:0632% → 33%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
32.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Alex Lewis) to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+16
31.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 16 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
32.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 13 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
34.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 5 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
36.8%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete, PENALTY MINNESOTA roughing passer (Botticelli, Cameron) 15 yards to the MINNESOTA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
39.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
37.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+28
32.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 28 yds De'Mornay Pierson-El fumbled, forced by Briean Boddy-Calhoun, recovered by Minn Briean Boddy-Calhoun , return for 2 yds to the Minn 4 NEBRASKA Penalty, Illegal Touching (De'Mornay Pierson-El) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:1388% → 95%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
12.2%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 3 yds to the Minn 7Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+10
7.3%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 10 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:25
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
-44.4
TD · Q3 1:47
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q3 11:14
David Cobb run for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com