Try the model
PUR

Purdue 38 at Minnesota 39

MINN
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Huntington Bank Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:23 · Austin Appleby run for no gain to the Minn 30 Austin Appleby fumbled, forced by Damarius Travis, recovered by Prdue Austin Appleby
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+7.3Home team on offense−9.5Score differential−3.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:01: Raheem Mostert run for 42 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +8.3 pts (now 28%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:24: Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +14.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:03: Mitch Leidner 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — MINN win probability +8.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 6:03: Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +16.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:13: Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 37 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +20.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 7:22PUR 4th & 6 at MINN 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−4.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:22MINN 4th & 11 at MINN 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:54MINN 4th & 10 at PUR 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:03PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 23, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−3.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  5. Q3 7:10MINN 4th & 3 at PUR 3, down 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.9%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−15.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:03MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 14, down 9
    Close callPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:22PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 37, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−3.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 37, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.1 ptsPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%−5.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:05MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−3.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:23PUR 4th & 1 at MINN 30, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−7.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    40.4%−11.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:59MINN 4th & 8 at PUR 35, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−2.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−7.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:59PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 38, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.8%−2.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:40MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:00PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:23MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:37PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:01PUR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:24PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:03MINN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    59.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:03PUR Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:13MINN Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+27
82.1%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Cedric Thompson return for 27 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 14:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.1%
David Cobb run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:4018% → 19%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.1%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
82.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
82.0%
Appleby, Austin pass intercepted by Wilson, Damien at the PUR42, Wilson, Damien return to the PUR0, clock 13:09, PENALTY MINN offside (Cockran,Theiren) 5 yards to the PUR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+55
81.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 55 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 6:3782% → 82%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
81.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+19
81.7%
David Cobb run for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
81.7%
David Cobb run for 9 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
81.8%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
81.8%
David Cobb run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
81.8%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+15
81.8%
David Cobb run for 15 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
81.8%
David Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
81.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+11
81.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 11 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
81.8%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
81.8%
David Cobb run for 2 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
82.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4618% → 23%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
81.6%
Austin Appleby run for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
81.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 7 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
81.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 2 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-5
81.2%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (David Hedelin) to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+7
81.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 7 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
81.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 31 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
80.8%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
80.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 9 yds to the Minn 13Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
77.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 13 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:5779% → 82%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
78.6%
David Cobb run for 7 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+5
79.1%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
79.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 14 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
79.4%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
79.4%
David Cobb run for no gain to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+15
78.5%
Mitch Leidner run for 15 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
79.0%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+19
79.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 19 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
79.1%
Donnell Kirkwood run for no gain to the Prdue 3Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.6%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:3920% → 28%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
79.6%
Akeem Hunt run for 12 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
79.5%
Danny Anthrop run for 5 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+19
79.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 19 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
78.5%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
80.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+11
80.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 11 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
71.9%
Raheem Mostert run for 42 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-14
75.1%
David Cobb run for no gain to the Minn 13 David Cobb fumbled, forced by Danny Ezechukwu, recovered by Prdue Ja'Whan Bentley MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-14 Yards) to the Minn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2229% → 30%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
71.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
71.2%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
71.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny Anthrop, broken up by Antonio JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
69.9%
Paul Griggs 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
71.1%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 28 Mitch Leidner fumbled, recovered by Minn Mitch LeidnerSimilar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
70.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx WilliamsSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
70.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Peter Mortell punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:5131% → 47%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
69.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+17
68.9%
Austin Appleby run for 17 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
67.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 2 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+25
67.7%
Austin Appleby run for 25 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
67.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Minn 18Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+9
67.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 9 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
67.4%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
67.4%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Minn 8Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
52.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 0:3055% → 52%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
54.5%
David Cobb run for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
55.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 7 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
56.3%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx Williams, broken up by Taylor RichardsSimilar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
54.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to David Cobb for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
53.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
52.2%
Peter Mortell punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
51.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for 10 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
51.0%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 13
OWN 27
-1
51.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5751% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
51.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
52.5%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
52.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 42 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
55.5%
David Cobb run for 14 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
55.5%
David Cobb run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
63.7%
Mitch Leidner 6 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0043% → 40%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
57.0%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (NA) to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
57.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
58.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
59.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:4258% → 64%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
58.0%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Minn 30Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+45
57.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Isaac Fruechte for 45 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
60.2%
David Cobb run for 16 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
60.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
60.2%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q3 9:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
58.4%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
64.4%
Ryan Santoso 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0741% → 62%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+69
59.3%
Raheem Mostert run for 69 yds to the Minn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.3%
Austin Appleby run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.0%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
40.4%
David Cobb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 6Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+8
40.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 14Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
40.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx WilliamsSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
39.6%
Peter Mortell punt for 46 yds, downed at the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0063% → 59%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
36.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
37.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-5
37.6%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Gabe Holmes) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 13
OWN 37
0
40.5%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+19
41.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 40 yds , Craig James returns for 19 yds to the Minn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:1041% → 63%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
40.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
40.6%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+12
40.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 12 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
42.6%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+37
63.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 37 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1349% → 49%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
51.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-5
50.5%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+9
52.6%
Austin Appleby run for 9 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+1
49.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
51.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 53%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
56.5%
David Cobb run for 6 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 30
-12
59.1%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Minn 33 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (Maxx Williams) to the Minn 18Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+8
55.7%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
54.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to David CobbSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 26
+4
53.0%
Peter Mortell punt for 55 yds , Raheem Mostert returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0052% → 55%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
47.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 22 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
43.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+1
43.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OPP 0
+28
42.6%
Austin Appleby run for 13 yds to the MINNESOTA 39 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Danny Anthrop) to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
43.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
43.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+3
42.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the Minn 30Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
45.1%
Austin Appleby run for no gain to the Minn 30 Austin Appleby fumbled, forced by Damarius Travis, recovered by Prdue Austin ApplebySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 3:2253% → 66%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
51.6%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
51.6%
Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Williams, Maxx, PENALTY PUR personal foul (Richards) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
50
+2
58.4%
David Cobb run for 2 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
58.5%
David Cobb run for 11 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
58.9%
David Cobb run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
58.7%
David Cobb run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 8:21
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
58.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew Wolitarsky, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 8
OPP 35
+52
66.0%
Ryan Santoso 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0039% → 42%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
60.6%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+9
62.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 9 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 2
OWN 38
0
57.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin Sinz, broken up by Damien WilsonSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+2
61.5%
Danny Anthrop run for 2 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
57.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 1 yd to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
58.4%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Cedric Thompson return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 26END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:2373% → 80%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
50
+16
72.8%
David Cobb run for 16 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
74.9%
David Cobb run for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
79.7%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
77.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
79.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:13
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 37 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
+20.8
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.3
TD · Q3 6:03
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-16.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com