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EIU

Eastern Illinois 20 at Minnesota 42

MINN
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 32 yds for a TD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:53: Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +2.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:27: Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 35 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +7.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:20: Logan Hutton 2 Yd Punt Return (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +8.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:56: Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 32 yds for a TD — EIU win probability +0.2 pts (now 0%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EIU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:23EIU 4th & 26 at MINN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.5%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51EIU 4th & 6 at MINN 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.6%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:51MINN 4th & 3 at MINN 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:04EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MINN 4th & 8 at EIU 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:31EIU 4th & 13 at EIU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27EIU 4th & 6 at MINN 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:20EIU 4th & 15 at EIU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:20EIU 4th & 6 at EIU 49, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:30MINN 4th & 10 at MINN 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:35EIU 4th & 2 at MINN 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−1.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:25MINN 4th & 8 at MINN 16, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:10EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:56EIU 4th & 15 at EIU 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:29EIU 4th & 6 at MINN 28, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:29EIU 4th & 1 at MINN 9, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:53MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:27MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:20MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:56MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:29MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:57EIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:05MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:28EIU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MINNDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew GoodgerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
75.0%
David Cobb run for no gain to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
75.0%
Peter Mortell punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
75.0%
David Cobb run for 11 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
74.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 10 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
74.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Shepard Little for 9 yds to the EIlln 39Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
74.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Anthony Taylor, broken up by Damien WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+7
74.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Nico Shepherd for 7 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
74.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for no gain to the EIlln 46Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
74.6%
Jalen Whitlow run for 11 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
74.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 6 yds to the Minn 37Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+6
74.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 6 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
74.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-17
74.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the Minn 47 TEAM fumbled, recovered by EIlln Shepard LittleSimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 26
OPP 47
0
74.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 26
OPP 47
+12
74.7%
Cody Edwards punt for 32 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 12 yds to the Minn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
73.5%
David Cobb run for 2 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
73.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Berkley Edwards for 2 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-3
73.4%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Fedney Delphonse for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 28 Mitch Leidner fumbled, recovered by EIlln Kamu Grugier-Hill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3028% → 28%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.2%
Taylor Duncan run for no gain to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
72.3%
Jalen Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
72.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Anthony TaylorSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
72.5%
Nick Bruno 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
72.8%
David Cobb run for 7 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
73.2%
David Cobb run for no gain to the Minn 31Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
72.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
72.5%
Peter Mortell punt for 52 yds, downed at the EIlln 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
72.3%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Kamu Grugier-Hill) to the EIlln 9Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
72.4%
Shepard Little run for 4 yds to the EIlln 13Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 6
OWN 13
-5
72.3%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Adolphus Barnes) to the EIlln 8Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-3
72.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 5 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Minn Alex KeithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 7TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3774% → 76%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 0
OPP 5
+3
74.0%
Williams, R rush for 1 yard to the EIU4 (GRUGIER-HILL, K), PENALTY EIU offside (TAYLOR,Laquesse) 3 yards to the EIU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.6%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for no gain to the EIlln 2Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.6%
Donnell Kirkwood run for no gain to the EIlln 2Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4925% → 25%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.4%
Shepard Little run for 9 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
74.7%
Andrew Manley run for 2 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
75.1%
Andrew Manley run for 1 yd to the EIlln 37Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
75.1%
Shepard Little run for 3 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
75.1%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Shepard LittleSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+1
75.4%
Cody Edwards punt for 33 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 1 yd to the Minn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
75.6%
David Cobb run for 8 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 36
-10
76.2%
Cobb, David rush for 3 yards to the MINN39 (GRUGIER-HILL, K), PENALTY MINN holding (Bush, Foster) 10 yards to the MINN26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+12
75.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to David Cobb for 12 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Donovahn Jones, broken up by Antoine JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
75.9%
David Cobb run for 9 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+10
76.0%
David Cobb run for 10 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
76.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-8
76.5%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Adam Gristick for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+10
75.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to David Cobb for 10 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
75.4%
Peter Mortell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Shepard Little at the EIlln 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:0825% → 22%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
75.4%
Jalen Whitlow run for 9 yds to the EIlln 19Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+3
75.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for 3 yds to the EIlln 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
75.3%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Cameron Botticelli for a loss of 8 yards to the EIlln 14Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+13
75.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Shepard Little for 13 yds to the EIlln 27Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+6
75.4%
Jalen Whitlow run for 6 yds to the EIlln 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
74.7%
Jalen Whitlow run for 18 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
73.5%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the EIlln 46Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+3
74.7%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Joe Powell for 3 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-1
74.4%
Jalen Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 48Similar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
75.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Cody Edwards punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Minn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 5:0477% → 86%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
77.0%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+25
76.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 25 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
77.7%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
50
-1
78.5%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
77.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 10 yds to the MINNESOTA 41 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-5
78.1%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the EIlln 46Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+6
77.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodrick Williams Jr. for 6 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
78.6%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-1
78.7%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 35Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+35
85.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 35 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.6%
Andrew Manley run for 4 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
84.4%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 14 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
84.1%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Jeff LePak, broken up by Antonio JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
84.2%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Jeff LePak for 9 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
83.1%
Andrew Manley run for 3 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.8%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Anthony TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
83.5%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Adam Drake, broken up by Jalen MyrickSimilar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+4
84.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 6
OPP 41
0
84.1%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Adam Drake, broken up by Briean Boddy-CalhounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
86.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14PUNT TD
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4015% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Anthony TaylorSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the EIlln 26Similar
Q3 14:12
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-6
85.1%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Alex Keith for a loss of 6 yards to the EIlln 20Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+2
93.6%
Logan Hutton 2 Yd Punt Return (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
93.4%
Stephen Bravo-Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the EIlln 19Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
93.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 7 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+19
93.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 19 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
92.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 4 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
92.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
92.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Jeff LePakSimilar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
92.9%
Jalen Whitlow punt for 3 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx WilliamsSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
95.5%
Donovahn Jones run for no gain to the Minn 48Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
95.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Isaac Fruechte, broken up by Deonte JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
95.1%
Peter Mortell punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 76 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
94.5%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Jalen Whitlow for 25 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
94.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 16 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.7%
Jalen Whitlow run for no gain to the Minn 39Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+7
93.7%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jeff LePak for 7 yds to the Minn 32Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+1
93.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+9
93.6%
Jalen Whitlow run for 9 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
93.1%
Taylor Duncan run for 7 yds to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+11
93.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 11 yds Stephen Bravo-Brown fumbled, forced by Alex Keith, recovered by Minn Alex KeithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
96.6%
David Cobb run for 10 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
96.7%
David Cobb run for 1 yd to the Minn 15Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-4
96.7%
David Cobb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 11Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+5
96.7%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
96.5%
Peter Mortell punt for 61 yds, downed at the EIlln 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19INT
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:464% → 3%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
96.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 5 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
96.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
96.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 7 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jeff LePak for 4 yds to the EIlln 39Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
96.2%
Jalen Whitlow run for 3 yds to the EIlln 42Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+2
96.9%
Anthony Taylor run for 2 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
97.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for 2 yds to the EIlln 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
96.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass intercepted Antonio Johnson return for 17 yds to the EIlln 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 20TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:3298% → 100%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
98.4%
Mitch Leidner run for 10 yds to the EIlln 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
98.4%
David Cobb run for 7 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+13
98.4%
David Cobb run for 13 yds to the EIlln 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
98.4%
David Cobb run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 20Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+12
98.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 12 yds to the EIlln 8Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
98.9%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Kamu Grugier-Hill) to the EIlln 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
99.0%
Donnell Kirkwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
99.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the EIlln 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Mitch Leidner run for 5 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Adam Drake, broken up by Cedric ThompsonSimilar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
Andrew Manley sacked by Damien Wilson and Steven Richardson for a loss of 5 yards to the EIlln 20Similar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+24
99.8%
Cody Edwards punt for 48 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 24 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 22TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
99.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 32 yds to the EIlln 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
99.8%
Berkley Edwards run for 11 yds to the EIlln 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew GoodgerSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 23TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:320% → 0%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Shepard LittleSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 13 yds to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.9%
MANLEY, Andrew pass intercepted by Myrick, Jalen at the MINN46, Myrick, Jalen return to the MINN46, PENALTY MINN personal foul (Laster, De'Niro) 15 yards to the MINN47, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 15 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 6 yds to the Minn 26Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 26
-2
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Joe Powell, broken up by Craig JamesSimilar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+10
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 10 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 6 yds to the Minn 12Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Jimmy Lera run for 2 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Taylor Duncan for 1 yd to the Minn 9Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
99.8%
Andrew Manley run for 1 yd to the Minn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.9%
Taylor Duncan run for 5 yds to the Minn 3Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.8%
Taylor Duncan run for 1 yd to the Minn 2Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Andrew Manley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 24TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 4:52100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 5 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 4 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for 6 yds to the Minn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 7 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 4 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
99.9%
Chris Streveler pass complete to Brandon Lingen for 12 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 1 yd to the EIlln 42Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+42
100.0%
Berkley Edwards run for 42 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 25TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Joe Powell, broken up by Craig JamesSimilar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Joe Powell for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
50
+6
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Trey Pendergrass for 6 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Trey Pendergrass for 5 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Trey Pendergrass, broken up by Marcus JonesSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+6
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Joe Powell for 6 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+15
100.0%
MANLEY, Andrew pass incomplete to DRAKE, Adam (Jones, Marcus), PENALTY MINN personal foul (Ndondo-Lay, R) 15 yards to the MINN18, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
100.0%
Andrew Manley run for 7 yds to the Minn 11Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Jimmy Lera for 11 yds for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:270% → 0%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass incomplete to Anthony TaylorSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+14
100.0%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 14 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Andrew Manley pass complete to Adam Drake for 32 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:20
Logan Hutton 2 Yd Punt Return (Ryan Santoso Kick)
+8.4
TD · Q2 1:27
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Donovahn Jones for 35 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
+7
TD · Q1 1:53
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com