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WYO

Wyoming 14 at Michigan State 56

MSU
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadWYO aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreWYO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:28 · Ethan Wood punt for 29 yds, downed at the MchSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+31.7Score differential+27.4Blowout margin+13.5Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:47: Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:40: Shaun Wick run for 57 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +0.7 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:19: Keith Mumphery run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:53: Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:11: Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Keith Mumphery for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WYO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:11MSU 4th & 1 at WYO 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:01WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:05WYO 4th & 12 at MSU 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:43MSU 4th & 1 at WYO 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:34MSU 4th & 1 at WYO 7, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:24WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 15, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:50MSU 4th & 26 at MSU 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:28WYO 4th & 22 at WYO 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:25WYO 4th & 17 at WYO 14, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:21WYO 4th & 3 at MSU 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:40MSU 4th & 5 at WYO 18, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:11MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:47MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:40WYO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:19MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 13:53MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:11MSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:24MSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:42WYO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:02MSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:08MSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:3098% → 98%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+36
98.3%
Jeremy Langford run for 36 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
98.2%
Jeremy Langford run for 8 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+6
98.2%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
98.1%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 25 yds to the Wyom 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.1%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the Wyom 1Similar
Q1 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.0%
Connor Cook run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:012% → 2%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 10Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
97.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 59 yds, downed at the MchSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:5898% → 98%
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.9%
Aaron Burbridge run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
97.8%
Jeremy Langford run for 11 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
97.8%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 18 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for no gain to the Wyom 38Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+8
97.7%
Connor Cook run for 8 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
97.7%
Nick Hill run for 5 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
97.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 14 yds to the Wyom 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-8
97.6%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wyom 9 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 19Similar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 18
OPP 19
0
97.6%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Jeremy LangfordSimilar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 18
OPP 19
+19
97.9%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:402% → 3%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
97.7%
D.J. May run for no gain to the Wyom 22Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+13
97.7%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 13 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
D.J. May run for no gain to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 8 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+57
96.9%
Shaun Wick run for 57 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 0:5697% → 98%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
97.1%
Nick Hill run for 12 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
97.1%
Connor Cook pass complete to Nick Hill for 14 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
97.7%
Keith Mumphery run for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:553% → 3%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
97.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 14 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+26
97.4%
Shaun Wick run for 26 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
97.3%
D.J. May run for 8 yds to the Wyom 45 WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wyom 35Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 12
OWN 35
-6
97.3%
Colby Kirkegaard run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 29 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, recovered by MchSt Darien HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Jeremy LangfordSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+20
97.6%
Nick Hill run for 20 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
97.6%
Langford, Jeremy rush for no gain to the WYOMING9, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding 10 yards to the WYOMING19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
98.4%
Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:302% → 2%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to J.D. Krill for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
98.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 9 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
98.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 41 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
98.1%
Brian Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 26Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+1
98.2%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the MchSt 25Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jake MaulhardtSimilar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
98.3%
Stuart Williams 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Shilique Calhoun Darian Hicks return for 26 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 34 yds · 5:2499% → 99%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+13
98.6%
Keith Mumphery run for 13 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.6%
Keith Mumphery run for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
98.5%
Damion Terry run for 2 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
98.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Jeremy Langford for 7 yds to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+3
98.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 3 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.6%
Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the Wyom 3Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
98.6%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Jamal Lyles) to the Wyom 7Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.6%
Tyler O'Connor run for 1 yd to the Wyom 6Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Keith Mumphery for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10INT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Eric Nzeocha for no gain to the Wyom 25Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.4%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Marcus Rush for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+19
99.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass intercepted Kurtis Drummond return for 19 yds to the Wyom 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
99.6%
Williams, Delton rush for no gain to the WYOMING25, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal block 15 yards to the WYOMING40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 25
OPP 40
+17
99.6%
Damion Terry pass complete to Delton Williams for 17 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+8
99.7%
Damion Terry pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 8 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.7%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+9
99.6%
Delton Williams run for 9 yds to the Wyom 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Delton Williams run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:250% → 1%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 19 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic Rufran WYOMING Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+52
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 52 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to J.D. Krill for 4 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.6%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 6 yds Dominic Rufran fumbled, forced by Darien Harris, recovered by MchSt Taiwan JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.7%
R.J. Shelton run for 15 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
99.7%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-5
99.7%
Cook, Connor pass complete to Burbridge, Aaron for 15 yards to the WYOMING0, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal shift 5 yards to the WYOMING20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+12
99.7%
Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 12 yds to the Wyom 8Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the Wyom 7Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
99.6%
Connor Cook pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
99.7%
WYOMING Penalty, False Start (J.D. Krill) to the Wyom 4Similar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+2
99.7%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 6Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+9
99.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 9 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 2
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the MchSt 44Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-10
99.8%
Cook, Connor pass incomplete to Burbridge, Aaron, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Jackson, Travis) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Andre Sims Jr.Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 20
OWN 34
-6
99.8%
Connor Cook run for a loss of 6 yards to the MchSt 28Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 26
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Mike Sadler punt for 43 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 1 yd to the Wyom 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
D.J. May run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+16
99.8%
D.J. May run for 16 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
99.8%
Kirkegaard, Colby pass incomplete to Rufran, Dominic, PENALTY WYOMING holding (Turner, Cole) 10 yards to the WYOMING41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 20
OWN 41
-2
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Ed Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 22
OWN 39
+4
99.8%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 18
OWN 43
-4
99.8%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Riley Bullough for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 39Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 29 yds, downed at the MchSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:58100% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Jeremy Langford run for 3 yds to the MchSt 35Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Connor Cook pass complete to Jeremy Langford for 5 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+17
99.9%
Jeremy Langford run for 17 yds to the Wyom 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
99.9%
Jeremy Langford run for 14 yds to the Wyom 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Jeremy Langford run for 29 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
99.9%
WYOMING Penalty, Delay of Game (Colby Kirkegaard) to the Wyom 16Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Shaun Wick for 3 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-5
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Mylan Hicks for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 14Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 37 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for no gain to the Wyom 14 WYOMING Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Wyom 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 36 yds · 4:02100% → 100%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 4 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 6 yds to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 7 yds to the Wyom 2Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Nick Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 2Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
99.9%
Hill, Nick rush for no gain to the WYOMING2, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Jackson, Travis) 10 yards to the WYOMING12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Tyler O'Connor run for 12 yds for a TD, (Kevin Cronin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:190% → 0%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 6 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 15 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jacob Hollister for 5 yds to the MchSt 39Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 7 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
100.0%
D.J. May run for 5 yds to the MchSt 27Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the MchSt 25Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 3
OPP 25
-6
99.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Taiwan Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the MchSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 54 yds · 6:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
Delton Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 30Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+7
100.0%
Damion Terry pass complete to Monty Madaris for 7 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Damion Terry pass complete to Monty Madaris for 8 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 14 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 40 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamal Lyles) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 19
50
+7
100.0%
Damion Terry pass complete to Tres Barksdale for 7 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+9
100.0%
Damion Terry pass complete to Tres Barksdale for 9 yds to the Wyom 34Similar
Q4 3:59
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+11
100.0%
Damion Terry run for 11 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
100.0%
Delton Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+2
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the Wyom 22Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 4 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+3
100.0%
Damion Terry run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
100.0%
Brian Hill run for 9 yds to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 1
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Brian Hill run for no gain to the Wyom 24Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Brian Hill run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:53
Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 4:11
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Keith Mumphery for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q1 2:40
Shaun Wick run for 57 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com