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EMU

Eastern Michigan 14 at Michigan State 73

MSU
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Spartan Stadium
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Win probability · MSU
modelMSU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMSU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:52 · Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 11 yds to the MchSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Pregame prior+46.1Home team on offense+11.8Score differential+10.8Blowout margin+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Garbage-time factor+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: Jeremy Langford run for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:49: Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:18: Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — MSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:04: Tyler O'Connor pass complete to AJ Troup for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK) — EMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:56EMU 4th & 8 at EMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54EMU 4th & 12 at EMU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:08EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:52EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:00EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:37MSU 4th & 7 at EMU 48, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55EMU 4th & 10 at EMU 25, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:28MSU 4th & 10 at MSU 36, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28EMU 4th & 16 at EMU 19, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:28EMU 4th & 1 at MSU 45, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:09MSU 4th & 4 at MSU 40, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:26MSU 4th & 10 at EMU 12, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:06EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 52
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:44MSU 4th & 5 at MSU 38, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:19EMU 4th & 7 at EMU 38, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:54EMU 4th & 4 at EMU 31, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:15MSU 4th & 15 at MSU 33, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:41MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03MSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:49MSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:18MSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:04MSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:17MSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:40MSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:42MSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:18EMU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:19EMU Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:49MSU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:05MSU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Bronson Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 27Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Bronson HillSimilar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+43
99.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 53 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 43 yds to the EMich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:49100% → 99%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.5%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 14 yds to the EMich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 12 yds to the EMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+5
99.4%
Connor Cook run for 5 yds to the EMich 4Similar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Connor Cook run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:411% → 1%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.4%
Rob Bolden run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese Russell, broken up by RJ WilliamsonSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:4099% → 99%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 5 yds to the MchSt 38Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+8
99.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 8 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Aaron BurbridgeSimilar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+13
99.4%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 13 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the EMich 39Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+18
99.3%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 18 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.3%
Darius Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 23 Darius Jackson fumbled, recovered by MchSt Kurtis DrummondSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
99.5%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Bronson Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.4%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyler Allen for 10 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Bronson Hill run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:3299% → 100%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
Nick Hill run for 5 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+22
99.4%
Keith Mumphery run for 22 yds to the EMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
99.4%
Damion Terry pass complete to Keith Mumphery for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+23
99.4%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for 23 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
99.4%
Nick Hill run for 4 yds to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Nick Hill run for no gain to the EMich 8Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:210% → 0%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Cole GardnerSimilar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for 11 yds to the MchSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the MchSt 38Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
99.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the MchSt 40Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
99.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
99.7%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to AJ Troup for 10 yds to the EMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.7%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMich 46Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+1
99.7%
R.J. Shelton run for 1 yd to the EMich 45Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+14
99.7%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 14 yds to the EMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.7%
R.J. Shelton run for 2 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+6
99.7%
Damion Terry run for 6 yds to the EMich 23Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-10
99.6%
Williams, Delton rush for 3 yards to the EASTMICH20, PENALTY MICHIGANST holding (Price, Josiah) 10 yards to the EASTMICH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+33
99.6%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to AJ Troup for 33 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Jaleel CantySimilar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Bronson Hill for 5 yds to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:08100% → 100%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.6%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the MchSt 29Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+20
99.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Andre Sims Jr for 20 yds to the MchSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.7%
Nick Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 49Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-1
99.7%
Nick Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 9
50
+2
99.7%
Connor Cook run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 7
OPP 48
-2
99.7%
Mike Sadler punt for 39 yds , Tyler Allen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 7 Tyler Allen fumbled, recovered by MchSt Montae NicholsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q2 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Delton Williams run for 1 yd to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.8%
Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Delton Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyler AllenSimilar
Q2 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Kray'shawn BrewerSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Bronson HillSimilar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.8%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 31Similar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-5
99.8%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Travis Jackson) to the MchSt 26Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Damion Terry pass complete to DeAnthony Arnett for 5 yds to the MchSt 31Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
99.8%
Damion Terry pass complete to Andre Sims Jr for 5 yds to the MchSt 36Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Damion Terry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Mike Sadler punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyler Allen at the EMich 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
99.8%
Tyler Allen run for a loss of 5 yards to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Ryan BrumfieldSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+9
99.8%
Rob Bolden pass intercepted RJ Williamson return for 9 yds to the EMich 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.9%
R.J. Shelton run for 6 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Bronson Hill run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Tyler Allen run for no gain to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
99.9%
Rob Bolden sacked by Ed Davis and Marcus Rush for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:58100% → 100%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 7 yds to the MchSt 46Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 8 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 2 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Pudge Cotton) to the EMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+8
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 8 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.9%
Tyler O'Connor pass complete to Andre Sims Jr for 1 yd to the EMich 17Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+8
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 8 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 5 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Nick Hill run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 6 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Bronson Hill run for 5 yds to the EMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the EMich 48Similar
Q3 8:13
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Rob Bolden run for 7 yds to the MchSt 45Similar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Rob Bolden run for 2 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyler Allen for 43 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 8 yds to the MchSt 42Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 41Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 40Similar
Q3 5:09
4TH & 4
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Mike Sadler punt for 33 yds , Jaleel Canty returns for 2 yds to the EMich 29 Jaleel Canty fumbled, recovered by MchSt Demetrious CoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.9%
Damion Terry pass complete to Paul Lang for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+18
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Travis Linser) to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 1 yd to the EMich 11Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
-1
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 12Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Damion Terry pass incomplete to DeAnthony ArnettSimilar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Michael Geiger 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Ryan Brumfield run for no gain to the EMich 34Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 65 yds, downed at the MchSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 25INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
99.9%
Tyler O'Connor run for 3 yds to the MchSt 4Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Delton Williams run for no gain to the MchSt 4 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Paul Lang) declinedSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Tyler O'Connor pass intercepted DaQuan Pace return for no gain to the MchSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Tyreese RussellSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
100.0%
Darius Jackson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 9Similar
Q4 14:19
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 9 yds for a TD, (Dylan Mulder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Delton Williams run for 1 yd to the MchSt 34Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Damion Terry pass complete to Monty Madaris for 4 yds to the MchSt 38Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Damion Terry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Mike Sadler punt for 41 yds , Jaleel Canty returns for no gain to the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:310% → 0%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 5 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 3 yds Tyreese Russell fumbled, forced by Chris Frey, recovered by MchSt Jermaine EdmondsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Gerald Holmes run for 5 yds to the EMich 24Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
99.9%
Damion Terry run for 4 yds to the EMich 20Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Delton Williams run for 4 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
100.0%
Damion Terry run for 7 yds to the EMich 9Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+2
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the EMich 7Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 30PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Tyreese Russell for 17 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Darius Jackson run for no gain to the EMich 35Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
100.0%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Dwayne Brown) to the EMich 30Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+8
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass complete to Ryan Brumfield for 8 yds to the EMich 38Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Owen Dubiel punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 31TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
100.0%
Delton Williams run for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:010% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Rob Bolden run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Ryan Brumfield run for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Rob Bolden pass incomplete to Kray'shawn BrewerSimilar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 33PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Phillip-Michael Williams run for no gain to the MchSt 38Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
100.0%
Phillip-Michael Williams run for 3 yds to the MchSt 41Similar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 7
OWN 41
-3
100.0%
Phillip-Michael Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 38Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 10
OWN 38
-5
100.0%
MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Chris Frey) to the MchSt 33Similar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Mike Sadler punt for 55 yds, downed at the EMich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 34FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
100.0%
Reginald Bell Jr. run for 9 yds to the EMich 21 Reginald Bell Jr. fumbled, recovered by MchSt Sean HarringtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 35END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
Phillip-Michael Williams run for 5 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 16
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 17Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 2:18
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 8:03
Jeremy Langford run for 21 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+0.1
TD · Q1 7:49
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Geiger KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com