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UTAH

Utah 26 at Michigan 10

MICH
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:26 · Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−12.4Pregame prior+6.2Score differential−6.2Garbage-time factor−5.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:01: Kendal Thompson pass intercepted for a TD Willie Henry return for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +10.6 pts (now 64%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +5.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:33: Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 28 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:20: Andy Phillips 48 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +8.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:29: Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth Scott — UTAH win probability +8.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 11:00MICH 4th & 1 at UTAH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36MICH 4th & 8 at UTAH 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:55UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:19MICH 4th & 13 at UTAH 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    67.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:03UTAH 4th & 14 at MICH 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    29.5%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:39MICH 4th & 15 at MICH 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.4%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:56MICH 4th & 9 at UTAH 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−1.0
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:53UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:26MICH 4th & 7 at UTAH 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.0%−1.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:21UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 14 at MICH 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:17MICH 4th & 22 at MICH 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−3.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:08UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 35, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:26MICH 4th & 1 at UTAH 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    29.3%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:33MICH 4th & 3 at UTAH 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    27.6%−3.4
    34% to make
    Punt
    28.1%−2.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:20UTAH 4th & 5 at MICH 30, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−2.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:50UTAH 4th & 6 at MICH 33, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.8%−0.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    86.7%−1.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:03UTAH 4th & 2 at MICH 24, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−3.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:10UTAH 4th & 9 at MICH 43, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:41MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 3, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 5:01MICH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:33UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:1070% → 70%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
70.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 14 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
70.1%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
70.1%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+18
70.0%
Devin Gardner run for 18 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
70.1%
Derrick Green run for 7 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-2
70.1%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
70.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jake Butt for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
69.8%
Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
70.1%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
70.1%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
69.9%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
70.0%
Matt Wile 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2530% → 30%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
69.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
69.5%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+2
69.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+9
70.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 47 yds , Dennis Norfleet returns for 9 yds to the Mich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:2470% → 69%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
69.6%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
69.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q1 7:00
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+19
69.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 19 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+24
70.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 24 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
70.5%
Green, Derrick rush for no gain to the UTAH33, PENALTY MICHIGAN holding (Magnuson, Erik) 10 yards to the UTAH43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+4
69.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 16
OPP 39
0
69.9%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Joe KerridgeSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+3
69.5%
Justice Hayes run for 3 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 4:19
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
68.9%
Will Hagerup punt for 33 yds, downed at the Utah 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:0030% → 33%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+5
69.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 5 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 8
0
69.8%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Utah 8Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+67
70.2%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 67 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
67.8%
Travis Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mich 22Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
67.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 8 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
67.3%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 17 Travis Wilson fumbled, recovered by Utah Travis WilsonSimilar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 13
OPP 17
-1
67.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & 14
OPP 18
0
68.4%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q1 1:03
4TH & 14
OPP 18
+35
67.4%
Andy Phillips 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:1868% → 61%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
67.9%
Freddy Canteen run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 22Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-2
67.6%
Devin Gardner sacked by Jared Norris for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 20Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
67.0%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+66
60.6%
Will Hagerup punt for 46 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 66 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3662% → 60%
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
61.5%
Derrick Green run for 20 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
62.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 3 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
62.4%
Derrick Green run for 7 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
62.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Derrick GreenSimilar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
62.2%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
61.3%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
59.9%
Will Hagerup punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kaelin Clay at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5740% → 40%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
59.7%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
59.7%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 6 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 11:16
3RD & 4
OWN 16
-3
59.9%
Travis Wilson sacked by Jake Ryan for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 7
OWN 13
-6
60.3%
Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds , Dennis Norfleet returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Mich 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:2061% → 58%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
60.6%
Derrick Green run for 12 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
61.2%
Devin Gardner sacked by Jared Norris for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 14
50
0
58.8%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 14
50
+7
57.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to A.J. Williams for 7 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
57.7%
Will Hagerup punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:4543% → 42%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
56.9%
Kendal Thompson run for 4 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
55.9%
Devontae Booker run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-14
56.3%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Jake Ryan for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 12 UTAH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kendal Thompson) to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 8:21
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
58.0%
Tom Hackett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:0858% → 58%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
57.7%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 47Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 12
OWN 47
-5
56.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (A.J. Williams) to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 17
OWN 42
+9
55.2%
Devin Gardner run for 9 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+25
55.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 25 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+26
57.9%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Brian Blechen return for 16 yds to the Utah 8 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Utah 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11INT TD
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4747% → 36%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
53.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-5
53.1%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+7
63.8%
Kendal Thompson pass intercepted for a TD Willie Henry return for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
22 plays · 54 yds · 4:5238% → 43%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.4%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
61.9%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 8 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
61.2%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kaelin Clay for 13 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
59.5%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+3
60.4%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 3 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
59.9%
Kendal Thompson pass complete to Kenneth Scott for 9 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
58.8%
Kendal Thompson run for 1 yd to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
58.6%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+12
58.9%
Kendal Thompson run for 12 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
57.0%
Devontae Booker run for 9 yds to the Mich 18Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
56.6%
Kendal Thompson pass incomplete to Bubba PooleSimilar
Q2 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
57.6%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
55.8%
Kendal Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 18Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+5
56.1%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Mich 13Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 6
OPP 13
-13
57.1%
Kendal Thompson sacked by Frank Clark for a loss of 13 yards to the Mich 26Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 19
OPP 26
+5
62.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Sideline Interference (5 Yards) to the Mich 21Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+38
56.9%
Andy Phillips 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 0:5744% → 58%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
55.8%
Bubba Poole run for 24 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
53.6%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Bubba Poole for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
52.3%
Bubba Poole run for 6 yds to the Mich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
52.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+28
41.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 28 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 24 yds · 5:0743% → 36%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.5%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
41.9%
Derrick Green run for 4 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
40.7%
Devin Gardner run for 8 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
41.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Freddy Canteen for 6 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+3
42.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+13
41.4%
Justice Hayes run for 13 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-12
41.6%
Devin Gardner sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 12 yards to the Mich 49Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 22
OWN 49
0
39.3%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 49Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 22
OWN 49
0
37.3%
Devin Gardner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 22
OWN 49
+17
36.2%
Will Hagerup punt for 38 yds , Kaelin Clay returns for 17 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5962% → 62%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
38.1%
Bubba Poole run for 5 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
36.2%
Travis Wilson run for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
36.8%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Dres AndersonSimilar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
37.9%
Tom Hackett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 5:1236% → 31%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
36.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Derrick Green for 14 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
34.7%
Devin Gardner run for 6 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
35.3%
Derrick Green run for 5 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
35.3%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+4
33.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Khalid Hill for 4 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+7
32.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Justice Hayes for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
32.1%
Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
33.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
33.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to De'Veon SmithSimilar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
32.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+2
30.5%
Devin Gardner run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:4973% → 82%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
27.4%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Devontae Booker for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-1
26.9%
Devontae Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+22
26.9%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Tim Patrick for 22 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
25.0%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 4 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+1
24.6%
Devontae Booker run for 1 yd to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
25.9%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
17.8%
Andy Phillips 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 18INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:2922% → 22%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.7%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Derrick Green for 12 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
22.1%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Gionni Paul return for no gain to the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3987% → 93%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
13.2%
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth ScottSimilar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
12.9%
Travis Wilson run for 10 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-15
12.6%
Wilson, Travis pass complete to Patrick, Tim for 16 yards to the MICHIGAN21, PENALTY UTAH personal foul 15 yards to the UTAH48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 25
OWN 48
-2
12.7%
Bubba Poole run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 27
OWN 46
+7
12.5%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 7 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 20
OPP 47
+14
11.1%
Travis Wilson run for 14 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
7.2%
Andy Phillips 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 20INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:5112% → 9%
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
11.7%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
10.0%
Justice Hayes run for 3 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+9
9.3%
Shane Morris run for 9 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
9.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 4 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
9.1%
Shane Morris pass complete to A.J. Williams for 5 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
9.1%
Shane Morris run for 1 yd to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+74
8.6%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Tevin Carter return for 59 yds to the MICHIGAN -8 UTAH Penalty, Sideline Interference (15 Yards) to the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5796% → 96%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
4.2%
Travis Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 33Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+4
3.8%
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+5
3.8%
Devontae Booker run for 5 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
3.8%
Andy Phillips 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:106% → 4%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
5.5%
Shane Morris sacked by Nate Orchard for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 14
OWN 20
0
5.3%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 14
OWN 20
+18
4.8%
Shane Morris pass complete to Justice Hayes for 18 yds to the Mich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
4.0%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Justice HayesSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
4.0%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+15
3.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 15 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
4.1%
Shane Morris run for 3 yds to the Utah 44 Shane Morris fumbled, forced by Hunter Dimick, recovered by Utah Gionni PaulSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:0598% → 99%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
2.5%
Bubba Poole run for 7 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
2.0%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
2.0%
Travis Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.8%
Bubba Poole run for no gain to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
1.7%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
1.3%
Devontae Booker run for 3 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 4
OPP 38
-5
1.4%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
1.4%
Tom Hackett punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
1.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Dennis NorfleetSimilar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
1.9%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
1.9%
Shane Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
1.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Justice HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:4199% → 99%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
1.2%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mich 8Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:01
Kendal Thompson pass intercepted for a TD Willie Henry return for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+10.6
TD · Q3 13:33
Travis Wilson pass complete to Dres Anderson for 28 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-10.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:29
Travis Wilson pass incomplete to Kenneth Scott
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com