Try the model
MICH

Michigan 0 at Notre Dame 31

ND
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Notre Dame Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ND
modelND aheadMICH aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreMICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:35 · Matt Wile 46 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.7Pregame prior+12.8Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:50: Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +4.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:58: Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +4.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:16: Everett Golson pass incomplete — ND win probability +2.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:34: Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 24 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +9.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:02: Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 12 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:49ND 4th & 6 at ND 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40MICH 4th & 1 at ND 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:35MICH 4th & 2 at ND 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:25MICH 4th & 6 at ND 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:52ND 4th & 6 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:12MICH 4th & 11 at MICH 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:38ND 4th & 3 at MICH 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24MICH 4th & 10 at MICH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:21ND 4th & 14 at MICH 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:39MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:15ND 4th & 4 at ND 41, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:03ND 4th & 22 at MICH 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:16MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 45, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:35ND 4th & 4 at ND 19, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:41MICH 4th & 10 at ND 23, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:23ND 4th & 2 at ND 42, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:50ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:58ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:34ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:02ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 2:5965% → 65%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
65.2%
Tarean Folston run for 5 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+3
65.1%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q1 13:43
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+2
65.1%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
65.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
65.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
64.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
64.7%
Kyle Brindza punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2MISSED FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:3335% → 37%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
65.0%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Mich 25Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+12
65.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 12 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
64.8%
Dennis Norfleet run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
50
+2
64.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
64.3%
Derrick Green run for 7 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
63.8%
Derrick Green run for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+4
64.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Joe Kerridge for 4 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
63.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 7 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-2
63.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 32Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+3
62.8%
Devin Gardner run for 3 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
63.4%
Matt Wile 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:4064% → 70%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
64.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 6 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
64.5%
Cam McDaniel run for 3 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
64.5%
Cam McDaniel run for 3 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
64.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 18 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
65.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jourdan Lewis) to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
65.4%
Greg Bryant run for 2 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+12
65.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 12 yds to the Mich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
65.5%
Golson, Everett pass incomplete to Robinson, Corey, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference (Lewis, Jourdan) 10 yards to the MICHIGAN2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
65.5%
Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.9%
Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:1732% → 32%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
67.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 9 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+27
67.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 27 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
66.3%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jack Miller) to the NDame 39Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+6
67.4%
Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
66.4%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
67.2%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
68.0%
Matt Wile 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:1870% → 70%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
70.2%
Greg Bryant run for 6 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+9
70.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 9 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
71.3%
Greg Bryant run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
50
0
71.4%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben KoyackSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 6
50
0
70.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 6
50
0
70.1%
Kyle Brindza punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:1831% → 28%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
69.5%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 16 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
69.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 14 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
68.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for no gain to the Mich 39Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
68.8%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-1
70.8%
Devin Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 38Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+6
72.1%
Will Hagerup punt for 48 yds , James Onwualu returns for 6 yds to the NDame 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:0772% → 79%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.6%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+13
71.2%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 13 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
72.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 9 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+1
73.8%
Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
73.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 12 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
74.4%
Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
74.4%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
75.1%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 3
OPP 36
+11
74.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 11 yds to the Mich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
76.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 22 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
75.0%
Tarean Folston run for 1 yd to the Mich 2Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.8%
Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2320% → 18%
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.6%
Dennis Norfleet run for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-17
79.7%
Devin Gardner run for a loss of 17 yards to the Mich 15 Devin Gardner fumbled, recovered by Mich Devin GardnerSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
81.7%
Justice Hayes run for 10 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+12
81.6%
Will Hagerup punt for 43 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 12 yds to the NDame 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 0:4284% → 94%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
84.3%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+12
84.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 12 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
84.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Cam McDaniel for 11 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
85.0%
Cam McDaniel run for 4 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+5
84.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 5 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+24
93.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 24 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:299% → 9%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.2%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Dennis NorfleetSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
91.2%
Justice Hayes run for 10 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.6%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
91.0%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Dennis NorfleetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:269% → 8%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.5%
Devin Gardner run for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
91.0%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
91.6%
Devin Gardner run for 6 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-3
91.6%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
92.4%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Max Redfield return for 17 yds to the Mich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5595% → 94%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
94.5%
Greg Bryant run for 1 yd to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-5
94.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Steve Elmer) to the Mich 42Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
94.6%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 14
OPP 42
0
94.4%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
94.0%
Kyle Brindza punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:356% → 5%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
93.6%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+2
93.9%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 7Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+8
94.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
94.1%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 15Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+9
94.6%
Devin Gardner run for 9 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 8:42
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+5
94.4%
Devin Gardner run for 5 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
94.4%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Erik Magnuson) to the Mich 24Similar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+1
94.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 25Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+7
95.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 7 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+9
95.3%
Will Hagerup punt for 38 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 9 yds to the NDame 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:3296% → 100%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben KoyackSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
95.9%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+36
96.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 21 yds to the NOTREDAME 41 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jake Ryan) to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
96.2%
Tarean Folston run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 28Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+8
96.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 8 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
96.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 5 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
97.1%
Cam McDaniel run for 3 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 12 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
99.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 10 yds to the Mich 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.6%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Mich 27Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+33
99.7%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 33 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.7%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+4
99.7%
Devin Gardner run for 4 yds to the NDame 35 Devin Gardner fumbled, forced by Joe Schmidt, recovered by NDame Isaac RochellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Greg Bryant run for 6 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Greg Bryant run for 3 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-3
99.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Kyle Brindza punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Cody Riggs return for no gain to the Mich 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:03100% → 100%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+6
99.8%
Cam McDaniel run for 6 yds to the Mich 20Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
99.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Cam McDaniel for 6 yds to the Mich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.8%
Cam McDaniel run for 4 yds to the Mich 10Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-16
99.8%
Everett Golson sacked by Brennen Beyer for a loss of 16 yards to the Mich 26 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Everett Golson) to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 22
OPP 26
+43
99.8%
Kyle Brindza 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 6 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
99.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Khalid Hill for 9 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Devin Gardner run for 3 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 2 yds to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Justice HayesSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+41
99.9%
Will Hagerup punt for 41 yds , Cody Riggs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
Greg Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 11Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+8
99.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 8 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben KoyackSimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Kyle Brindza punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:460% → 0%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Derrick Green run for no gain to the Mich 42Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Derrick Green run for 2 yds to the Mich 44Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
99.9%
Devin Gardner sacked by Justin Utupo for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 15
OWN 49
+15
99.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 15 yds to the NDame 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
99.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 13 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-1
99.9%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 23Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 10
OPP 23
-11
99.9%
Devin Gardner sacked by Kolin Hill for a loss of 11 yards to the NDame 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Greg Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 28Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Malik Zaire run for 14 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Kyle Brindza punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
100.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 11 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Khalid HillSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+30
100.0%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Elijah Shumate return for 16 yds to the NOTREDAME 38 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Roughing Passer (Max Redfield) to the NDame 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 24 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+9
TD · Q2 3:58
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+4.6
TD · Q1 1:50
Cam McDaniel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com