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APP

App State 14 at Michigan 52

MICH
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:32 · Bentlee Critcher punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+47.5Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:48: Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:52: Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:59: Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:26: De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:48: Ben Gedeon 32 Yd Blocked Punt Return (Matt Wile Kick) — MICH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:32APP 4th & 4 at APP 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00APP 4th & 10 at MICH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:17APP 4th & 5 at APP 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:19MICH 4th & 13 at MICH 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:58APP 4th & 17 at APP 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:23MICH 4th & 11 at APP 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    95.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:59APP 4th & 1 at APP 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:17APP 4th & 4 at APP 32, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48APP 4th & 9 at APP 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:24APP 4th & 2 at APP 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:52APP 4th & 9 at APP 28, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:29APP 4th & 4 at MICH 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:42MICH 4th & 1 at APP 1, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:14APP 4th & 3 at MICH 48, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:48MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:59MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:26MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:48MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:12MICH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:27MICH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:032% → 2%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Kameron Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Kameron Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:1898% → 97%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
97.7%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 11 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+21
97.6%
Devin Gardner run for 6 yds to the MICHIGAN 46 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (15 Yards) to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
97.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 10 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
97.5%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-1
97.5%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+19
97.4%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 19 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.3%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
97.3%
Devin Gardner run for no gain to the AppSt 9Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
97.4%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:003% → 3%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
97.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 27 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
97.1%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 25
OWN 37
0
97.1%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Bobo Beathard for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 23
OWN 39
+1
97.0%
Kameron Bryant run for 1 yd to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 5:52
4TH & 22
OWN 40
+15
97.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Frank Clark) to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Kameron Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Marcus CoxSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Montez McGuire for no gain to the Mich 45Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:4897% → 97%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
96.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 18 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
96.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 15 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
96.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
96.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 5 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
96.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
97.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
96.8%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Barrett Burns for 3 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
96.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 49 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 6 yds to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4197% → 97%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
96.9%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Mich 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+19
96.9%
Derrick Green run for 19 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
97.0%
Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-8
96.9%
Devin Gardner sacked by Ronald Blair for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 45Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 12
OWN 45
-1
96.8%
Justice Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 44Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
96.7%
Will Hagerup punt for 46 yds , Bobo Beathard returns for no gain to the AppSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:434% → 3%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
96.4%
Terrence Upshaw run for 2 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-1
96.3%
Kameron Bryant sacked by Chris Wormley for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 11Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-8
96.7%
Kameron Bryant sacked by Taco Charlton for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 3Similar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 17
OWN 3
0
96.8%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8MISSED FG
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:2497% → 96%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
96.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 26 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
96.8%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+9
96.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 9 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-7
96.4%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 3 yds to the AppSt 21 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
96.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
96.2%
Matt Wile 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:584% → 4%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
96.2%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
96.1%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 6 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the Mich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:4297% → 99%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+59
96.6%
Derrick Green run for 59 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
96.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 6 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+9
96.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.6%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:172% → 2%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
98.2%
Marcus Cox run for 14 yds to the AppSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.2%
Kameron Bryant run for 4 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
98.1%
Marcus Cox run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 2:22
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Kameron Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 4
OWN 32
+41
98.2%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dennis Norfleet at the MICHIGAN 22 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 73 yds · 0:2499% → 100%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+61
98.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 61 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Malachi JonesSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.6%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 9
OWN 29
+32
99.7%
Ben Gedeon 32 Yd Blocked Punt Return (Matt Wile Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14TD
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15END OF HALF TD
8 plays · 10 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Derrick Green run for 9 yds to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Derrick Green run for no gain to the Mich 34Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+62
99.6%
Derrick Green run for 62 yds to the AppSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Derrick Green run for no gain to the AppSt 4Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 11:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:030% → 0%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 5 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.6%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
99.6%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Jaylan BarbourSimilar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
99.7%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q3 9:24
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+3
99.7%
Terrence Upshaw run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
99.7%
Marcus Cox run for 10 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+34
99.7%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Jaylan Barbour for 34 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.7%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the Mich 5Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
99.7%
Kameron Bryant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 8Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.8%
Kameron Bryant pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 8 yds for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:23100% → 100%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
99.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Dennis Norfleet for 17 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Devin Gardner run for 3 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
99.8%
Devin Gardner run for 8 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 3 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
99.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 13 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
99.9%
Kameron Bryant run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Kameron Bryant pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Bentlee Critcher punt for 42 yds , Dennis Norfleet returns for 9 yds to the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
99.8%
Derrick Green run for 13 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Derrick Green run for no gain to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+26
99.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 26 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Shane Morris pass intercepted Dante Blackmon return for no gain to the AppSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20INT TD
21 plays · 39 yds · 6:270% → 0%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the AppSt 5Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+4
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 9
-4
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Shaq Counts) to the AppSt 5Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+13
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Tacoi Sumler for 13 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 4 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+3
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 3 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 8 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+19
99.9%
Terrence Upshaw run for 19 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 6 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Simms McElfreshSimilar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+4
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 4 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Simms McElfresh for 5 yds to the Mich 29Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Taylor Lamb run for 6 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incomplete to Jaylan BarbourSimilar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+12
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Malachi Jones for 12 yds to the Mich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
99.9%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the Mich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd to the Mich 1Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Marcus Cox run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zach Matics KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Justice Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 35Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Shane Morris pass complete to Khalid Hill for 12 yds to the Mich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Shane Morris pass incomplete to Khalid HillSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
99.9%
Justice Hayes run for 18 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Drake Johnson run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+27
99.9%
Drake Johnson run for 27 yds to the AppSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Drake Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
100.0%
Shane Morris pass complete to Freddy Canteen for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
100.0%
Justice Hayes run for 7 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
100.0%
Matt Wile 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for no gain to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Isaiah Lewis for 6 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
100.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Kendall Lamm) to the AppSt 25Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 15 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Dante Jones for 10 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 6 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Terrence Upshaw run for 1 yd to the Mich 48Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Taylor Lamb pass complete to Terrence Upshaw for 1 yd to the Mich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23DOWNS
1 play · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Wyatt Shallman run for 5 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:59
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 1:26
De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q1 1:52
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 34 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com