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JMU

James Madison 7 at Maryland 52

MD
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadJMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreJMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:45 · G Kane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+23.9Home team on offense+29.5Score differential+24.9Blowout margin+12.3Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:43: C.J. Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — JMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 7%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:48: C.J. Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +0.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 1:57: Brad Craddock 49 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +0.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:46: C.J. Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:20: Brandon Ross run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 9JMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43JMU 4th & 11 at JMU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:40JMU 4th & 9 at JMU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:14MD 4th & 3 at MD 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36JMU 4th & 7 at JMU 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:57MD 4th & 13 at JMU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:57JMU 4th & 7 at JMU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00MD 4th & 4 at MD 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 14:11JMU 4th & 6 at JMU 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:46MD 4th & 2 at JMU 2, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:46JMU 4th & 3 at JMU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:32MD 4th & 8 at JMU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 4:01JMU 4th & 2 at MD 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:01JMU 4th & 4 at MD 23, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:45JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 34, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:38MD 4th & 4 at JMU 47, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:55JMU 4th & 25 at JMU 10, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:55MD 4th & 5 at JMU 37, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:36JMU 4th & 2 at JMU 30, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00JMU 4th & 10 at MD 32, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 12:29JMU 4th & 3 at MD 20, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:50MD 4th & 2 at JMU 34, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 3:32MD 4th & 10 at JMU 42, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 7JMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:43MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:48MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:46MD Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:20MD Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:55MD Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:10MD Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:56JMU Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:01MD Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JMUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Khalid Abdullah, broken up by Matt RobinsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.7%
Sean Tapley run for 1 yd to the JMads 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
93.7%
JMU Penalty, false start (Mitchell Kirsch) to the JMads 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+13
93.7%
Vad Lee pass complete to Brandon Ravenel for 13 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+24
93.7%
G Kane punt for 39 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the MARYLAND 27 JMU Penalty, kick catching interference (N/A) to the Mary 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:4793% → 93%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
93.4%
Brandon Ross run for 11 yds to the JMads 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
93.4%
JMU Penalty, personal foul (Dean Marlowe) to the JMads 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
93.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Deon Long) to the JMads 37Similar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+15
93.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 15 yds to the JMads 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
93.4%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
93.4%
Brandon Ross run for 6 yds to the JMads 16Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
93.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 5 yds to the JMads 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
93.4%
C.J. Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.2%
Vad Lee pass complete to Brandon Ravenel for 1 yd to the JMads 26Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
93.2%
Khalid Abdullah run for 3 yds to the JMads 29Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
93.2%
JMU Penalty, false start (Nick Appel) to the JMads 24Similar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Sean Tapley, broken up by Alvin HillSimilar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+22
93.3%
G Kane punt for 37 yds, downed at the MARYLAND 39 JMU Penalty, kick catching interference (Aaron Peak) to the JMads 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:4293% → 94%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
93.2%
Brown pass incomplete to T. Jacobs, PENALTY JMU pass interference (Reynolds,T.) 15 yards to the JMU31, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
93.2%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the JMads 27Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+7
93.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 7 yds to the JMads 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
93.2%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Brandon RossSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+12
93.2%
Brandon Ross run for 12 yds to the JMads 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.5%
C.J. Brown run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
93.4%
Vad Lee pass complete to Deane Cheatham for 7 yds to the JMads 25Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
93.3%
Khalid Abdullah run for 5 yds to the JMads 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
93.3%
Vad Lee pass complete to Brandon Ravenel for 4 yds Brandon Ravenel fumbled, forced by Alex Twine, recovered by JMads N/ASimilar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
93.3%
Vad Lee run for 1 yd to the JMads 35Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
93.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the JMads 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
93.3%
Khalid Abdullah run for 1 yd to the JMads 41Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
93.3%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Sean Tapley, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
93.3%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Brandon RavenelSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
93.4%
G Kane punt for 39 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
93.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 7 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
93.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Marcus LeakSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
93.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+1
93.4%
Nathan Renfro punt for 39 yds , Sean Tapley returns for 1 yd to the JMads 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
93.2%
Khalid Abdullah run for 1 yd to the JMads 36Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
93.2%
Vad Lee pass complete to Sean Tapley for 10 yds to the JMads 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
93.1%
Khalid Abdullah run for 3 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
93.1%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Deane CheathamSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
93.2%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Daniel Brown, broken up by Jeremiah JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
93.3%
G Kane punt for 32 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 2:2894% → 94%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
93.5%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
93.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Marcus Leak, broken up by Jimmy MorelandSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+9
93.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 9 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
93.5%
Brandon Ross run for 7 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+10
93.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
50
+22
93.7%
C.J. Brown run for 22 yds to the JMads 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.7%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-3
93.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Albert Reid for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 31Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
93.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
93.9%
Brad Craddock 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.8%
Khalid Abdullah run for 5 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
93.7%
Khalid Abdullah run for 4 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
93.7%
Khalid Abdullah run for 5 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.7%
Alden Hill run for 3 yds to the JMads 42Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
93.7%
Vad Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
93.8%
G Kane punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:1894% → 94%
Q1 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
94.2%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+3
94.2%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
94.2%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
94.0%
Nathan Renfro punt for 49 yds, downed at the JMads 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
94.1%
Vad Lee run for 5 yds to the JMads 23Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+18
94.0%
Alden Hill run for 18 yds to the JMads 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
93.9%
Alden Hill run for 4 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
93.8%
Vad Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
93.9%
Vad Lee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
94.0%
G Kane punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:1395% → 97%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon Diggs, broken up by Dean MarloweSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
94.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
94.3%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 10 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
94.5%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
94.5%
Brandon Ross run for 7 yds to the Mary 39 Brandon Ross fumbled, forced by Aaron Peak, recovered by Mary N/ASimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
94.5%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
94.7%
Wes Brown run for 12 yds to the JMads 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
94.7%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 11 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
94.7%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the JMads 34Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+15
94.7%
Brown pass incomplete to Leak, PENALTY JMU pass interference (Reynolds,T.) 15 yards to the JMU19, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
94.7%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the JMads 17Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+10
94.7%
Brandon Ross run for 10 yds to the JMads 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.7%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the JMads 5Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
94.7%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the JMads 5Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
94.6%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the JMads 2Similar
Q2 6:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.7%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.3%
Alden Hill run for 2 yds to the JMads 27Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
96.2%
Alden Hill run for 5 yds to the JMads 32Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Alden HillSimilar
Q2 6:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+35
96.2%
G Kane punt for 54 yds , William Likely returns for 35 yds to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
97.0%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Kenneth Goins Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 47Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+4
97.0%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
96.9%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Jacquille Veii, broken up by Jimmy MorelandSimilar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
96.8%
Nathan Renfro punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Sean Tapley at the JMads 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15INT
16 plays · 58 yds · 3:524% → 4%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+33
96.5%
Vad Lee pass complete to Sean Tapley for 33 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
96.3%
Khalid Abdullah run for 7 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
96.1%
Khalid Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
96.2%
Vad Lee pass complete to Khalid Abdullah for no gain to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+2
96.3%
Khalid Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
96.2%
Vad Lee run for 7 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
95.9%
Khalid Abdullah run for 3 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
95.9%
Khalid Abdullah run for 5 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
95.9%
Alden Hill run for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-1
96.1%
Alden Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+5
96.2%
Vad Lee pass complete to Daniel Brown for 5 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
96.0%
Lee,V. pass incomplete to Tapley,S., PENALTY UMD offside (Myers) 5 yards to the UMD13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 5
OPP 13
-5
96.0%
Lee,V. pass incomplete to Tapley,S., PENALTY JMU ineligible downfield on pass (Cheatham,D.) 5 yards to the UMD18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
96.0%
Vad Lee sacked by Roman Braglio and Spencer Myers for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 24Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 16
OPP 24
0
96.4%
Vad Lee pass intercepted, touchback. Jeremiah Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
97.7%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:3098% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
97.6%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the JMads 39Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+3
97.6%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the JMads 36Similar
Q3 14:50
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+5
97.5%
C.J. Brown run for 5 yds to the JMads 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
97.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 12 yds to the JMads 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
97.6%
C.J. Brown run for 11 yds to the JMads 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Brandon Ross run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.5%
Lee,V. pass incomplete to Ravenel,B., PENALTY JMU illegal block (Williams,M.) 12 yards to the JMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+13
99.5%
Vad Lee pass complete to Brandon Ravenel for 13 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.5%
Vad Lee pass complete to Khalid Abdullah for 8 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Khalid Abdullah run for no gain to the JMads 34Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.5%
G Kane punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
99.6%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 16 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.6%
Albert Reid run for 6 yds to the JMads 47Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.6%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
99.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Jacquille Veii, broken up by Dean MarloweSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Nathan Renfro punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sean Tapley at the JMads 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.6%
Khalid Abdullah run for 1 yd to the JMads 18Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+19
99.6%
Vad Lee pass complete to Sean Tapley for 19 yds to the JMads 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Khalid Abdullah run for no gain to the JMads 37Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.6%
Vad Lee pass intercepted Anthony Nixon return for 2 yds to the JMads 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 41 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-15
99.8%
Vad Lee sacked by William Likely for a loss of 15 yards to the JMads 10Similar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
99.8%
G Kane punt for 32 yds, downed at the JMads 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 4 yds to the JMads 38Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 1 yd to the JMads 37Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Andrew Isaacs, broken up by Aaron PeakSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Nathan Renfro punt for 33 yds, downed at the JMads 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
99.8%
Khalid Abdullah run for 5 yds to the JMads 9Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+13
99.8%
Khalid Abdullah run for 13 yds to the JMads 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Khalid Abdullah run for no gain to the JMads 22Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
Khalid Abdullah run for 3 yds to the JMads 25Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Vad Lee pass complete to Andre Coble for 5 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
99.8%
G Kane punt for 36 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:07100% → 100%
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+33
99.8%
Wes Brown run for 33 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the JMads 30Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+17
99.8%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 17 yds to the JMads 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for no gain to the JMads 13Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
99.8%
Wes Brown run for 7 yds to the JMads 6Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
99.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 4 yds to the JMads 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Kenneth Goins Jr. for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
John Miller run for 6 yds to the JMads 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Vad Lee run for 3 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+34
99.9%
Vad Lee run for 34 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
John Miller run for 2 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
Vad Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Cavon WalkerSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Sean TapleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Wes Brown for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Jimmy Moreland return for 12 yds to the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 28TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Daniel BrownSimilar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Vad Lee pass incomplete to Sean TapleySimilar
Q4 12:29
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Vad Lee pass complete to Andre Coble for 7 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Vad Lee pass complete to Deane Cheatham for 5 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Vad Lee pass complete to Andre Coble for 4 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q4 12:29
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+10
99.9%
John Miller run for 10 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
John Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Connor Arnone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 6:49100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
99.9%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+25
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Wes Brown for 25 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Wes Brown run for 8 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to DeAndre LaneSimilar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 4 yds to the JMads 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Wes Brown run for 7 yds to the JMads 35Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-4
99.9%
Caleb Rowe run for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 39 Caleb Rowe fumbled, recovered by Mary Kenneth Goins Jr.Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+5
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 5 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the JMads 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.9%
Albert Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 32Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 11
OPP 32
+20
99.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Albert Reid for 20 yds to the JMads 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
100.0%
Albert Reid run for 12 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
100.0%
Alden Hill run for 3 yds to the JMads 20 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the JMads 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Vad Lee pass complete to Alden Hill for 7 yds Alden Hill fumbled, forced by Jermaine Carter Jr., recovered by Mary Roman BraglioSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the JMads 39Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Wes Brown run for 4 yds to the JMads 35Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-2
100.0%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 37Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
100.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the JMads 42Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
100.0%
Nathan Renfro punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JMads 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
100.0%
Jauan Latney run for 1 yd to the JMads 18Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
John Miller run for 6 yds to the JMads 24Similar
Q4 1:06
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+4
100.0%
John Miller run for 4 yds to the JMads 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:46
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q3 12:20
Brandon Ross run for 8 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
+2
FG · Q1 1:57
Brad Craddock 49 yd FG GOOD
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com