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NEB

Nebraska 37 at Iowa 34

IOWA
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:51 · Sam Foltz punt for 39 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 6 yds to the Iowa 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 81Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Pregame prior+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Time remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 13:24: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +23.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 1:49: Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +48.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:08: Drew Brown 20 yd FG GOOD — NEB win probability +37.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Marshall Koehn 25 Yd Field Goal — IOWA win probability +16.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Kenny Bell 9 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. — NEB win probability +64.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 5:15NEB 4th & 2 at NEB 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:06NEB 4th & 8 at IOWA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    44.3%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:52NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:44IOWA 4th & 4 at NEB 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−6.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:51NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:45NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:19IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:40IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−2.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:10NEB 4th & 10 at IOWA 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:32IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%−1.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:06IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%−2.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:02IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 33, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−4.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:06NEB 4th & 3 at NEB 19, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:51IOWA 4th & 1 at NEB 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−3.9
    62% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−16.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:08NEB 4th & 1 at IOWA 3, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−15.8
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−31.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:07IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:20NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:21IOWA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:44NEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:24NEB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:49IOWA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1INT
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:5655% → 56%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
54.8%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
54.9%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+6
54.9%
Jake Rudock run for 6 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
55.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 15 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
55.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+13
55.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 13 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
55.8%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+9
55.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to John Kenny for 9 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
56.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 12 yds to the Neb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
56.2%
Jake Rudock run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 7Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
56.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-Manley, broken up by Byerson CockrellSimilar
Q1 8:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+10
56.0%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted Nate Gerry return for 10 yds to the Neb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:3045% → 44%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
55.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for 7 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
55.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-5
55.4%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Givens Price) to the Neb 14Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+14
55.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 14 yds to the Neb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
55.2%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 35Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+1
54.8%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Neb 36Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
55.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Ameer AbdullahSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+20
55.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 50 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 20 yds to the Iowa 34 Matt VandeBerg fumbled, forced by Sam Foltz, recovered by Neb Chris JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5646% → 45%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
54.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+2
53.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-2
54.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Carl Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
55.1%
Drew Brown 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4FUMBLE
17 plays · 60 yds · 7:0656% → 58%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
55.8%
Jonathan Parker run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
56.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
56.6%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
57.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-9
56.7%
Jake Rudock sacked by Maliek Collins for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+15
55.4%
Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Martin-Manley, Kevonte, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Kalu, Joshua) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
57.7%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
57.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
57.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+10
57.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 10 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
58.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to John KennySimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
58.4%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+9
57.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 9 yds to the Neb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
58.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
58.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Neb 8Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+6
58.0%
Jake Rudock sacked by Zaire Anderson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 11 Jake Rudock fumbled, forced by Zaire Anderson, recovered by Neb Trevor Roach , return for 0 yards , return for 6 yds to the Neb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5INT TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3845% → 36%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
54.8%
Ameer Abdullah run for 6 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 4
OWN 17
-9
54.5%
Abdullah, Ameer rush for 5 yards to the NEBRASKA22, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Janovich, Andy) 9 yards to the NEBRASKA8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+1
55.0%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 12
OWN 9
+17
64.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted for a TD John Lowdermilk return for 17 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5737% → 35%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
62.7%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 2 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
63.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
64.7%
Sam Foltz punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:5966% → 71%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
65.9%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-2
66.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
65.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 15 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
67.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 25 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
68.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
68.6%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+2
68.1%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
68.8%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-5
69.8%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Ray Hamilton) to the Neb 9Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
69.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 5 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
68.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
70.7%
Marshall Koehn 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:1529% → 29%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Desmond King return for no gain to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0972% → 72%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
72.0%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damond Powell, broken up by Josh MitchellSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for 6 yds Damond Powell fumbled, forced by Joshua Kalu, recovered by Neb Joshua Kalu , return for 11 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:3832% → 46%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
68.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Quinton Alston for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 13
OPP 39
0
69.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+34
70.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 34 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
53.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 5 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
60.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:0040% → 37%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
60.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
60.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 20Similar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
62.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+6
62.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 39 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:2264% → 76%
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.4%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
64.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to John Kenny for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
65.0%
Jake Rudock run for 1 yd to the Neb 41Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
64.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+37
76.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 37 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14PUNT TD
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:2425% → 14%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
74.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam CottonSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
75.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Ameer Abdullah for 8 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
74.7%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
75.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 6 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
74.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny Bell, broken up by Quinton AlstonSimilar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+12
86.4%
TEAM punt -31yds to Neb 12, Drew Ott return for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:3513% → 12%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
86.6%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 6 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+5
86.6%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for 5 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+53
86.6%
Ameer Abdullah run for 53 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
86.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan Westerkamp, broken up by Desmond KingSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-10
85.1%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy rush for 7 yards to the IOWA1, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Finnin, Matt) 10 yards to the IOWA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 0
OPP 18
0
85.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell NewbySimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 0
OPP 18
+8
86.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 8 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 0
OPP 10
+27
88.4%
Drew Brown 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Carl DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:2191% → 91%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
90.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 12Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+3
91.0%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+9
91.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 9 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
91.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
91.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
91.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q3 3:19
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
91.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 40 yds, downed at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:309% → 22%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to De'Mornay Pierson-ElSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+27
91.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 27 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
91.2%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-3
90.2%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
77.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Taariq Allen for 34 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3482% → 81%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
82.3%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
82.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damond PowellSimilar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
81.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+13
80.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 39 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 13 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2420% → 17%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
79.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
80.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
81.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
83.1%
Sam Foltz punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2883% → 82%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.4%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
83.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+1
82.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 1 yd to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 13:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+41
82.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 49 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 41 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
1 play · 32 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
59.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:0769% → 38%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
69.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Mark WeismanSimilar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+13
68.7%
Jake Rudock run for 13 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to John KennySimilar
Q4 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
70.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
68.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+80
37.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 38 yds , De'Mornay Pierson-El returns for 80 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 2:5439% → 35%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
39.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
39.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 8 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+2
38.4%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
39.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 7 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
42.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
40.3%
Jake Rudock sacked by Vincent Valentine for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+7
37.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 7 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 9:09
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
36.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
35.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4868% → 69%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
32.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for 1 yd to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
31.3%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Neb 13Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+6
32.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q4 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 19
+6
31.1%
Sam Foltz punt for 40 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 5:0841% → 90%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
40.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
40.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 15 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
42.0%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
41.9%
Jake Rudock sacked by Jack Gangwish for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+10
39.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 10 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+8
35.6%
Mark Weisman run for 8 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
40.8%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+10
40.5%
Mark Weisman run for 10 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
36.1%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Neb 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
40.0%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.2%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Neb 5Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 1:3025% → 56%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
75.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Ameer AbdullahSimilar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+11
76.2%
Armstrong Jr., Tommy pass incomplete to Bell, Kenny, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Mabin, Greg) 11 yards to the NEBRASKA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
73.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Kenny BellSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
75.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 14 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
69.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 35 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
64.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 7Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
64.4%
Ameer Abdullah run for 4 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
71.2%
Ameer Abdullah run for no gain to the Iowa 3Similar
Q4 0:08
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
44.0%
Drew Brown 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
62.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 17 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down lat. to Kevonte Martin-Manley for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down lat. to Brandon Scherff for 15 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 28FG
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
64.7%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Ray Hamilton) to the Neb 30Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+9
63.4%
Mark Weisman run for 9 yds to the Neb 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
64.7%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Neb 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+10
62.4%
Rudock, Jake pass complete to Duzey, Jake for 7 yards to the NEBRASKA12, PENALTY NEBRASKA holding (Kalu, Joshua) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
64.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
64.7%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Neb 7Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
62.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
79.3%
Marshall Koehn 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0029% → 88%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
70.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+2
70.9%
Ameer Abdullah run for 2 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+12
76.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Kenny Bell for 12 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
11.8%
Kenny Bell 9 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Kenny Bell 9 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr.
-64.5
TD · Q4 1:49
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+48.5
FG · Q4 0:08
Drew Brown 20 yd FG GOOD
-37.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com