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IOWA

Iowa 14 at Minnesota 51

MINN
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:38: KJ Maye 9 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +3.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:59: Donovahn Jones 44 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +7.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:49: Maxx Williams 9 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +7.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:51: David Cobb 6 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +14.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:31: Maxx Williams 4 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 0:06MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:06IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:24IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:41MINN 4th & 1 at IOWA 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−2.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−8.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:53IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:20IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:52MINN 4th & 4 at IOWA 48, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:12IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:37IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 3, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:28MINN 4th & 3 at IOWA 18, up 41
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:13IOWA 4th & 17 at IOWA 30, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:37MINN 4th & 12 at MINN 36, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:35IOWA 4th & 1 at MINN 45, down 44
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 9:13IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:38MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:59MINN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49MINN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:51MINN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:31MINN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:13MINN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:34MINN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:14IOWA Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
14 plays · 76 yds · 5:4250% → 52%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
50.3%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
50.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+24
50.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 24 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
50.3%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
50.4%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+15
50.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 15 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
50.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 20 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
50.3%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
50.3%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+12
50.5%
Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY MINNESOTA pass interference (Murray, Eric) 12 yards to the MINNESOTA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWASimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
50.3%
Macon Plewa run for 1 yd to the Minn 1Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.3%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Minn 1Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.5%
Mark Weisman 1 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:3549% → 53%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+27
49.2%
KJ Maye run for 12 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
49.5%
David Cobb run for 9 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+4
49.8%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
49.8%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
49.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Isaac FruechteSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+8
49.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
49.6%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
53.0%
KJ Maye 9 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3INT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:2148% → 49%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
51.7%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
51.7%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 6Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+11
52.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 11 yds to the Iowa 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
51.6%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
51.6%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+6
52.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 6 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
51.3%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted Briean Boddy-Calhoun return for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1153% → 53%
Q1 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
53.4%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Minn 48Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
53.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 5 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
53.8%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
53.2%
Peter Mortell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0048% → 47%
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
51.7%
Jonathan Parker run for 8 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+2
51.3%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
51.7%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+2
51.3%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
51.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+14
52.9%
TEAM punt blocked by Eric Murray blocked by Eric MurraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
60.6%
Donovahn Jones 44 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3541% → 40%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.6%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
58.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Macon Plewa for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
59.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
60.1%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:3560% → 72%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
60.2%
Chris Streveler run for 1 yd to the Minn 32Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
60.4%
David Cobb run for 4 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+13
60.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 13 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
62.7%
Donnell Kirkwood run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
63.1%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+25
62.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Maxx Williams for 25 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
63.6%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+11
64.6%
David Cobb run for 11 yds to the Iowa 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
64.9%
David Cobb run for no gain to the Iowa 9Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
72.2%
Maxx Williams 9 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
70.4%
Jake Rudock sacked by Steven Richardson for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 22 Jake Rudock fumbled, forced by Steven Richardson, recovered by Minn Jack Lynn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:4572% → 89%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
72.4%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
72.8%
KJ Maye run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
72.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
72.5%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 12 Mitch Leidner fumbled, recovered by Minn Mitch Leidner for a 1ST down Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
74.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 6 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+6
89.0%
David Cobb 6 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5814% → 13%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
85.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
85.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
86.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
87.0%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 37 yds, downed at the Minn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:2290% → 97%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
90.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+2
90.2%
Berkley Edwards run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-5
91.0%
MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Josh Campion) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 7
50
+17
91.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 17 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
91.8%
KJ Maye run for 13 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
92.1%
KJ Maye run for 10 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
92.6%
KJ Maye run for 6 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.2%
Maxx Williams 4 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 30 Akrum Wadley fumbled, forced by Cedric Thompson, recovered by Minn De'Vondre CampbellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14DOWNS
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:1997% → 97%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.2%
David Cobb run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+45
97.1%
Ryan Santoso 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:4797% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.3%
David Cobb run for 8 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+21
97.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 21 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
97.8%
KJ Maye run for 5 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+4
98.0%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
97.9%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
98.3%
KJ Maye run for 4 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+5
98.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 5 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+3
98.2%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
98.4%
Mitch Leidner run for 14 yds to the Iowa 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.5%
KJ Maye run for 3 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Maxx Williams 3 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-8
98.8%
Jake Rudock sacked by Cameron Botticelli for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 18
OWN 27
-3
99.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 21
OWN 24
+9
99.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 9 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+11
99.2%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 44 yds , Craig James returns for 11 yds to the Minn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:2899% → 99%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.1%
Chris Streveler run for 2 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
99.2%
Chris Streveler run for 7 yds to the Minn 43Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
99.2%
David Cobb run for 3 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.3%
KJ Maye run for 1 yd to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
99.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Maxx WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
David Cobb run for 5 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.4%
Peter Mortell punt for 37 yds, downed at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:401% → 0%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 2 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+8
99.6%
Jake Rudock run for 8 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.6%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
99.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q3 2:12
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 46 yds, downed at the Minn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.6%
Berkley Edwards run for 2 yds to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Mitch Leidner run for no gain to the Minn 34Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+24
99.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Isaac Fruechte for 24 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.7%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+17
99.7%
Berkley Edwards run for 17 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.7%
Chris Streveler run for 2 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+10
99.8%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Rodrick Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q4 11:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Rodrick Williams Jr. 1 Yd Run (Andrew Harte PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:570% → 0%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-5
99.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Robert Ndondo-Lay for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 3Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 15
OWN 3
0
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Akrum WadleySimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 15
OWN 3
0
99.9%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 35 yds, fair catch by KJ Maye at the Iowa 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21FG
7 plays · 20 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Chris Streveler run for 6 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for 8 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for 7 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for no gain to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 7:10
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Berkley Edwards run for no gain to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
99.9%
Ryan Santoso 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
99.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Akrum Wadley for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-6
100.0%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Gaelin Elmore for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 32 yds, fair catch by KJ Maye at the Minn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Cole Banham run for no gain to the Minn 38Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-2
100.0%
Cole Banham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 12
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Conor Rhoda pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Peter Mortell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 16 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
100.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Andrew Stone for 9 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
100.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Andrew StoneSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+21
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 21 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
100.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Riley McCarronSimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
100.0%
Andrew Stone 24 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:51
David Cobb 6 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick)
+14.7
TD · Q2 12:59
Donovahn Jones 44 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)
+7.8
TD · Q2 6:49
Maxx Williams 9 Yd pass from Mitch Leidner (Ryan Santoso Kick)
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com