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NU

Northwestern 7 at Iowa 48

IOWA
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadNU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreNU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—IOWA 99.8%Marshall Koehn 24 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 41 · Q4 13:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:47 · Marshall Koehn 24 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+35.0Score differential+25.7Pregame prior+3.7Blowout margin+10.5Garbage-time factor+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:15: Mark Weisman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +0.6 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:28: Mark Weisman run for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +5.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:21: Justin Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +4.4 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:11: Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +9.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:54: Mark Weisman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5NU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 13:15NU 4th & 18 at NU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43IOWA 4th & 15 at NU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:43NU 4th & 12 at NU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39NU 4th & 22 at NU 17, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:39NU 4th & 9 at NU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:30IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 35, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11NU 4th & 18 at NU 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:11IOWA 4th & 3 at NU 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00NU 4th & 11 at NU 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:05NU 4th & 1 at IOWA 1, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:11IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 32, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:14NU 4th & 20 at NU 21, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:47IOWA 4th & 6 at NU 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:47NU 4th & 6 at NU 39, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:17NU 4th & 2 at NU 48, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:15IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:28IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:21NU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:11IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:54IOWA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:17IOWA Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:4567% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
66.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 5 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+18
66.5%
Mark Weisman run for 18 yds to the Nwest 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
66.5%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
67.1%
Mark Weisman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
66.9%
Justin Jackson run for 15 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
66.8%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 33Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
66.9%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Tony Jones, broken up by Drew OttSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 18
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 18
OWN 33
0
67.0%
Chris Gradone punt for 44 yds , Riley McCarron returns for no gain to the Iowa 15 Riley McCarron fumbled, recovered by Iowa Riley McCarron , return for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:2467% → 68%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
67.2%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Jordan Walsh) to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+23
67.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 23 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
67.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 42 yds to the Nwest 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
67.5%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-9
67.5%
Jake Rudock run for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 30 Jake Rudock fumbled, recovered by Iowa Jake RudockSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
67.3%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+48
67.7%
Marshall Koehn 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
67.7%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-6
67.6%
Miles Shuler run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 21Similar
Q1 9:43
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
67.9%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Tony JonesSimilar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 12
OWN 21
-2
68.0%
Chris Gradone punt for 37 yds , Riley McCarron returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 2:5169% → 75%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
68.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
68.6%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
68.5%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Andrew Donnal) to the Iowa 41Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+43
68.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 43 yds to the Nwest 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
68.9%
Damon Bullock run for 2 yds to the Nwest 14Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
74.5%
Mark Weisman run for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 6PUNT TD
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:4927% → 21%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
73.4%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Matt Frazier) to the Nwest 24Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+1
73.5%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+3
73.6%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Tony Jones for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 11
OWN 28
-11
73.6%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 17Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 22
OWN 17
+1
79.0%
Chris Gradone punt blocked by Ben Niemann blocked by Ben Niemann Ben Niemann return for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 25Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Dan Vitale, broken up by Bo BowerSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.9%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Justin Jackson for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
78.9%
Chris Gradone punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
81.4%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+5
81.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Macon Plewa for 5 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+5
81.2%
Jake Rudock run for 5 yds to the Iowa 35 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 3
OWN 35
+3
80.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the Iowa 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Iowa , return for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:2720% → 24%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
80.3%
Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+5
80.3%
Treyvon Green run for 5 yds to the Iowa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
80.9%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:1079% → 89%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.3%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
79.3%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
79.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 5 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
79.4%
Damon Bullock run for 2 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
79.7%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+2
79.4%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
79.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
79.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun Smith, broken up by C.J. RobbinsSimilar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+18
79.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 18 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
79.9%
Jake Rudock run for 6 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
79.9%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 2
OPP 26
-5
79.6%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 31Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+31
89.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.4%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
87.1%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Justin Jackson for 9 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
87.0%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 40Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
86.9%
Warren Long run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+9
86.7%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Garrett Dickerson for 9 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
86.6%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-10
86.6%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 46Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 18
OWN 46
0
87.6%
Trevor Siemian pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 18
OWN 46
0
87.7%
Chris Gradone punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:0591% → 93%
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
91.0%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+16
91.1%
Mark Weisman run for 16 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
91.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 13 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Mark WeismanSimilar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 4:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+7
91.2%
Jake Rudock run for 7 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 3
OPP 49
+21
92.6%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 26 yds, downed at the Nwest 23 IOWA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:099% → 9%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
91.0%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Tony Jones, broken up by Quinton AlstonSimilar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
91.2%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Tony JonesSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+14
91.1%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 14 yds Kyle Prater fumbled, forced by John Lowdermilk, recovered by Iowa Greg MabinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:4794% → 98%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
94.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 23 yds to the Nwest 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
93.8%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Nwest 8Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
97.9%
Mark Weisman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:072% → 2%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.0%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+12
98.0%
Justin Jackson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
97.9%
[SG], Siemian, Trevor pass complete to Vitale, Dan for 29 yards to the IOWA36, out-of-bounds (Lomax, Jordan), PENALTY NU holding (Olson, Eric) 10 yards to the NU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Warren Long run for 1 yd to the Nwest 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
97.8%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+12
97.8%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 12 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.8%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-10
97.7%
[SG], Jackson, Justin rush right for 29 yards to the IOWA32, out-of-bounds (King, Desmond), PENALTY NU holding (Olson, Eric) 10 yards to the NU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-8
97.8%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Travis Perry for a loss of 8 yards to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+13
97.9%
Warren Long run for 13 yds to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
97.8%
Chris Gradone punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
98.9%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+2
98.8%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+17
98.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Nwest 44 Akrum Wadley fumbled, forced by Chi Chi Ariguzo, recovered by Nwest Max ChapmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
98.9%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+5
98.8%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
98.9%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+6
98.7%
Warren Long run for 6 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
98.8%
Warren Long run for 1 yd to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+24
98.8%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Mike McHugh for 24 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.7%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Dan VitaleSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.7%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Iowa 1Similar
Q3 10:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.6%
Trevor Siemian pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.5%
Jake Rudock run for 2 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+26
99.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 26 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.6%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-Manley, broken up by Godwin IgwebuikeSimilar
Q3 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Connor Kornbrath punt for 48 yds , Miles Shuler returns for no gain to the Nwest 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.3%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
99.3%
Justin Jackson run for 6 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
99.3%
Trevor Siemian pass complete to Kyle Prater for 4 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 31Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Trevor Siemian pass incomplete to Tony Jones, broken up by Jordan LomaxSimilar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-10
99.4%
Trevor Siemian sacked by Drew Ott for a loss of 10 yards to the Nwest 21Similar
Q3 4:14
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Chris Gradone punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:45100% → 100%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+11
99.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 11 yds to the Nwest 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
99.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 26 yds to the Nwest 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Nwest 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Nwest 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.8%
Marshall Koehn 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Kyle PraterSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Warren LongSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Warren Long run for 4 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Zack Oliver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Hunter Niswander punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 8:37100% → 100%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for no gain to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+9
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 13 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
50
+4
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for 4 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-9
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Scherff) to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+11
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Nwest 36Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-2
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 38Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+12
99.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 12 yds to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Nwest 24Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+11
99.8%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 26 for a 1ST down NORTHWESTERN Penalty, personal foul (Anthony Walker) to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 8 yds to the Nwest 5Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Warren Long run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Warren Long run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Zack Oliver pass complete to Mark Szott for 7 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Zack Oliver pass incomplete to Mike McHugh, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
100.0%
Warren Long run for 8 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Warren Long run for no gain to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Warren Long run for 9 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Zack Oliver pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
100.0%
Zack Oliver run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:11
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q1 5:28
Mark Weisman run for 14 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+5.6
TD · Q2 14:21
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
-4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com