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IOWA

Iowa 24 at Purdue 10

PUR
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:18 · Dillon Kidd punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior−29.3Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:13: Marshall Koehn 28 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +6.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Marshall Koehn kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — IOWA win probability +4.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:51: Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 14 — PUR win probability +5.2 pts (now 43%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:45: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +15.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Mark Weisman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 11IOWA made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:09PUR 4th & 28 at IOWA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:18IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:24PUR 4th & 5 at IOWA 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:13IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:50PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:46IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:48PUR 4th & 16 at IOWA 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−3.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:15PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:36IOWA 4th & 10 at IOWA 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:11PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 47, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.9 ptsPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%−1.9
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:47IOWA 4th & 1 at PUR 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.6
    74% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−6.2
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:13IOWA 4th & 4 at PUR 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−1.4
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 12 at PUR 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:38IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 12:22PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−2.4
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:51IOWA 4th & 3 at PUR 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−1.3
    90% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−12.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:51PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:07IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:39PUR 4th & 14 at PUR 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:12IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 5, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:13PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:15IOWA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:45IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:10IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
18.9%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
18.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jake Duzey for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-7
18.9%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 42
+16
18.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 45 yds , Frankie Williams returns for 16 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
19.8%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+33
19.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 33 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
20.0%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+4
20.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
19.9%
Keyante Green run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
20.0%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Keyante GreenSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-11
20.0%
Danny Etling sacked by Josey Jewell for a loss of 11 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 21
OPP 35
-7
19.8%
Danny Etling sacked by Nate Meier for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
19.7%
Thomas Meadows punt for 33 yds, downed at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
21.8%
IOWA Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Iowa 5Similar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+3
21.8%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+9
21.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jonathan Parker for 9 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 17
-1
21.8%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 16Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
22.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 36 yds, downed at the Prdue 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:5023% → 25%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
23.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
23.2%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+17
23.2%
Akeem Hunt run for 17 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
23.5%
Keyante Green run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
23.5%
Keyante Green run for no gain to the Iowa 25Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
23.3%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+43
24.6%
Paul Griggs 43 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+39
27.5%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted for a TD Frankie Williams return for 39 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
27.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
27.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete, broken up by Frankie WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
28.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
28.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
28.8%
Keyante Green run for 1 yd to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+4
28.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 4 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
28.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 49 yds, downed at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
29.7%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+1
29.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 12Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
30.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to LeShun Daniels Jr.Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+18
30.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 46 , Frankie Williams returns for 18 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:3132% → 35%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
32.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Jordan LomaxSimilar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
32.3%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 9 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
32.3%
Keyante Green run for 4 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
32.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+7
32.9%
Akeem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
32.9%
Danny Etling run for 3 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
0
32.9%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-9
32.4%
Danny Etling sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+42
35.0%
Paul Griggs 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:3365% → 70%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
35.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
34.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
34.9%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Rudock, Jake (Robinson, Sean), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Robinson, Sean) 9 yards to the PUR40, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
34.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-Manley, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
34.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 15 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
33.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 9 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+13
33.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 13 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
33.8%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 2Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.8%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
33.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 9 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-2
34.5%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
33.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
32.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-1
34.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 22Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+1
34.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 1 yd to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
35.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Damond PowellSimilar
Q2 6:36
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
36.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 36%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
37.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 5 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
38.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
36.9%
Danny Etling pass complete to Cameron Posey for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 5:11
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
36.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14FG
17 plays · 78 yds · 3:3563% → 68%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
36.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+2
36.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+6
37.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Willies for 6 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+34
36.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jonathan Parker for 34 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
34.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
34.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for 7 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
33.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 5 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
33.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Gelen Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 38Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 18
OPP 38
0
37.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Damond PowellSimilar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 18
OPP 38
+17
38.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 17 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+5
39.5%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
36.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OPP 10
0
36.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 4
OPP 10
0
38.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Derrick Willies, broken up by Antoine LewisSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+28
31.9%
Marshall Koehn 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
37.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.7%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
37.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Akeem Hunt, broken up by Louis Trinca-PasatSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
36.0%
Danny Etling sacked by Nate Meier and Carl Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
34.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0067% → 64%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
33.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+3
33.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
34.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
35.6%
Dillon Kidd punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
39.4%
Danny Etling pass complete to Justin Sinz for 8 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
41.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
40.4%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Gabe HolmesSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
38.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19DOWNS
18 plays · 83 yds · 4:1564% → 62%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
36.5%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
36.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to John KennySimilar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+17
37.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 17 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
35.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jake Duzey for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
35.3%
Jonathan Parker run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+17
35.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 17 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
32.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+3
32.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
32.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+12
32.8%
Mark Weisman run for 12 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
31.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Derrick WilliesSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+9
34.4%
Mark Weisman run for 9 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
35.6%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
34.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
34.2%
Mark Weisman run for 7 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 3
OPP 8
0
35.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Derrick WilliesSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 3
OPP 8
0
37.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
43.0%
Danny Etling pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
43.2%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+10
41.5%
Danny Etling pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 10 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
43.5%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
43.2%
Keyante Green run for 2 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
41.8%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
41.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:0059% → 80%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
41.2%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside (N/A) to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 5
OWN 34
+4
39.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
38.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
38.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+27
39.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 27 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
36.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 14 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
35.7%
IOWA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
20.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:4527% → 24%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
28.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
26.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
26.4%
Akeem Hunt run for no gain to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
26.1%
Keyante Green run for 1 yd to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
25.2%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Keyante GreenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
23.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
21.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 18Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
21.6%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
22.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
23.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0027% → 23%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
27.3%
Danny Etling run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 38 Danny Etling fumbled, recovered by Prdue Danny EtlingSimilar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
25.2%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
24.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
23.2%
Thomas Meadows punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:2679% → 98%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
21.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 9 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
19.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 5 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
20.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+16
21.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 16 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
18.3%
Mark Weisman run for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
17.7%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-1
17.1%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+7
14.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
14.0%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
14.0%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+18
14.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 18 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
2.2%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Danny Etling pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
5.1%
Danny Etling pass intercepted John Lowdermilk return for 13 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27DOWNS
13 plays · 48 yds · 2:3298% → 99%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
2.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-5
2.1%
Beathard, C.J. rush for 9 yards to the PUR43 (Williams, F.), PENALTY IOWA illegal formation 5 yards to the IOWA43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+1
2.2%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 13
OWN 44
+5
2.3%
PURDUE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+46
2.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for 46 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.9%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
1.9%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 6Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
1.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Prdue 5Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
1.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun Smith, broken up by Sean RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 28INT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
1.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 11
0
1.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Akeem HuntSimilar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+6
1.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
1.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin Sinz, broken up by Reggie SpearmanSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
1.4%
Austin Appleby run for 11 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
1.4%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted John Lowdermilk return for 18 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 12
OPP 35
-2
1.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:45
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 23 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q4 5:10
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
-12.3
FG · Q2 0:13
Marshall Koehn 28 yd FG GOOD
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com