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UNI

Northern Iowa 23 at Iowa 31

IOWA
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUNI aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUNI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:05 · Sawyer Kollmorgen pass intercepted Greg Mabin return for 18 yds to the Iowa 29 IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Reggie Spearman) to the Iowa 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 187Pregame prior+2.9Home team on offense+20.2Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4Score differential+4.6Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:16: Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Kevin Vereen Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Schmadeke KICK) — UNI win probability +3.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UNI has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:03: Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +5.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:13: Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +7.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:31: Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 70 yds for a TD, (Michael Schmadeke KICK) — UNI win probability +9.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 6:50: Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +22.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNI made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 11:38UNI 4th & 16 at IOWA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    88.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:20UNI 4th & 9 at IOWA 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−<0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:31IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 23, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:44UNI 4th & 14 at IOWA 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:17UNI 4th & 15 at IOWA 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UNI 4th & 4 at IOWA 33, down 4
    Close callPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−0.6
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:42IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 29, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:33UNI 4th & 2 at midfield, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:01IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 48, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:05UNI 4th & 17 at IOWA 47, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UNI made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:44IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:16UNI Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:03IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:13IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:31UNI Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:50IOWA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
5 plays · 41 yds · 1:1692% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
91.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 11 yds to the NIowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
91.5%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the NIowa 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+15
91.5%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (N/A) to the NIowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
91.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 2FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:069% → 9%
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
91.3%
David Johnson run for 6 yds to the NIowa 34Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+53
91.3%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 53 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
91.3%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Darrian Miller for 4 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
91.3%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-10
91.3%
[SG], PENALTY UNI holding (Bingaman, Ryan) 10 yards to the IOWA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 16
OPP 19
0
91.3%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+36
90.8%
Michael Schmadeke 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 56 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
90.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
90.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 13 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
90.8%
Jonathan Parker run for 21 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
90.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 3 yds to the NIowa 36Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+4
90.8%
Damon Bullock run for 4 yds to the NIowa 32Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
90.7%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the NIowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
90.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIowa 24Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
90.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 4 yds to the NIowa 20Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+1
90.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the NIowa 19Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
90.7%
Jake Rudock run for no gain to the NIowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
89.4%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, false start (Darrian Miller) to the NIowa 14Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
0
89.4%
David Johnson run for no gain to the NIowa 14Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
0
89.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+22
89.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Brett LeMaster for 22 yds to the NIowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
89.5%
Darrian Miller run for 2 yds to the NIowa 38Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 38
-1
89.5%
Darrian Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 37Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
89.5%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to David JohnsonSimilar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+45
89.8%
Logan Bieghler punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 17 , Matt VandeBerg returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
89.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 1 yd to the Iowa 18Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
89.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 5 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
88.8%
Jake Rudock run for no gain to the Iowa 23Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+12
88.7%
Dillon Kidd punt for 42 yds , Chad Owens returns for 12 yds to the NIowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to David JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
88.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Darrian Miller for 1 yd to the NIowa 48Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
88.1%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Kevin Vereen Jr. for 12 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
88.0%
David Johnson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 39Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
88.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Brett LeMaster, broken up by Greg MabinSimilar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
88.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Brett LeMasterSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 9
OPP 39
-5
88.5%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
88.7%
Logan Bieghler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5888% → 87%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
87.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 4
OWN 15
-1
87.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
87.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damon Bullock, broken up by Max BusherSimilar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
87.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 8TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 2:3013% → 17%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
87.4%
David Johnson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
87.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Brett LeMaster for 15 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
87.1%
Sawyer Kollmorgen run for 9 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 1
OPP 21
-2
87.1%
David Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+23
83.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Kevin Vereen Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Schmadeke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
21 plays · 79 yds · 7:1385% → 85%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
84.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to LeShun Daniels Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
84.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
84.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+13
84.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 13 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
85.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Mark Weisman for 5 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+7
85.6%
Mark Weisman run for 7 yds to the NIowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
85.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-Manley, broken up by Brett McMakinSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
85.1%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
84.7%
Jake Rudock run for 12 yds to the NIowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
84.8%
Damon Bullock run for 4 yds to the NIowa 29Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
84.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 9 yds to the NIowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
81.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the NIowa 19Similar
Q2 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
81.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 7:19
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+12
80.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 12 yds to the NIowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 0
OWN 7
-1
80.4%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 8Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 0
OWN 8
+5
80.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 5 yds to the NIowa 3Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 0
OWN 3
+2
79.9%
[SG], PENALTY UNI holding (Busher, Max) 2 yards to the UNI1, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 1
OWN 1
+1
85.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 10FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4616% → 20%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+60
84.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 60 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
84.4%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+7
84.6%
David Johnson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
84.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 9
OPP 14
-6
85.2%
Sawyer Kollmorgen sacked by Drew Ott for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 20Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+37
83.2%
Michael Schmadeke 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 0
OPP 35
-5
80.0%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NIowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 2:1684% → 84%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
84.1%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damon BullockSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
83.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 7 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+10
84.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 10 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
85.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 2 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damon BullockSimilar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+5
84.2%
[SG], PENALTY UNI offside defense (Williams,Xavier) 5 yards to the UNI49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
84.0%
[SG], PENALTY UNI offside defense (Williams,Xavier) 5 yards to the UNI44, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
84.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 7 yds to the NIowa 37Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+9
84.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 9 yds to the NIowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
83.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 3 yds to the NIowa 25Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
82.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 3 yds to the NIowa 22Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+40
84.0%
Marshall Koehn 40 yd FG GOOD NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
81.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIowa 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
79.6%
David Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIowa 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+12
79.8%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Braden Lehman for 12 yds to the NIowa 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
80.3%
David Johnson run for 2 yds to the NIowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
79.6%
David Johnson run for 6 yds to the NIowa 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
79.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to David JohnsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
80.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Kevin Vereen Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+23
81.7%
Logan Bieghler punt for 47 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for 23 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:4783% → 89%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+46
82.9%
Tevaun Smith run for 35 yds to the IOWA 22 for a 1ST down NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the NIowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
81.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 12Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+6
81.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 6 yds to the NIowa 6Similar
Q3 10:13
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+6
89.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 15TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4213% → 22%
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
87.0%
Darrian Miller run for 5 yds to the NIowa 30Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+70
77.8%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 70 yds for a TD, (Michael Schmadeke KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
83.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
83.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 9:31
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+5
82.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 5 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+24
82.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 9 yds Jacob Hillyer fumbled, forced by Brett McMakin, recovered by NIowa Max Busher , return for 6 yds to the NIowa 44 NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, personal foul (Makinton Dorleant) to the NIowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 17INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
77.5%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Brett LeMasterSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
77.7%
Darrian Miller run for 1 yd to the NIowa 45Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+2
78.9%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass intercepted Bo Bower return for 2 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:5483% → 79%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
83.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 6 yds to the NIowa 45Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+15
83.2%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Isaac Ales) to the NIowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
81.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the NIowa 28Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+2
81.6%
Damon Bullock run for 2 yds to the NIowa 26Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+8
80.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 8 yds to the NIowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
81.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
81.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
80.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+37
78.7%
Marshall Koehn 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 19FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:4126% → 29%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
73.6%
David Johnson run for 7 yds to the NIowa 27Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 3
OPP 27
-5
73.6%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, false start (David Johnson) to the NIowa 22Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
73.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Chad OwensSimilar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+20
75.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Brett LeMaster for 20 yds to the NIowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
75.1%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Chad Owens for 6 yds to the NIowa 48Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+31
74.8%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Kevin Vereen Jr. for 31 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
73.6%
David Johnson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 3:23
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+9
73.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Brett LeMaster for 9 yds to the Iowa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
71.5%
Darrian Miller run for 5 yds to the Iowa 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
71.5%
Sawyer Kollmorgen sacked by Bo Bower for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-5
72.4%
[SG], PENALTY UNI delay of game 5 yards to the IOWA16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 16
-5
72.4%
[SG], PENALTY UNI delay of game 5 yards to the IOWA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 21
0
73.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Kevin Vereen Jr., broken up by Desmond KingSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 0
OPP 21
+38
70.8%
Michael Schmadeke 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
72.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Macon Plewa for 5 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-2
72.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+5
70.7%
Jake Rudock run for 5 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 29
+10
70.6%
Dillon Kidd punt for 39 yds , Chad Owens returns for 10 yds to the NIowa 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
65.0%
David Johnson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 2
50
0
64.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Chad Owens, broken up by Louis Trinca-PasatSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 2
50
0
65.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to David Johnson, broken up by John LowdermilkSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 2
50
+37
67.8%
Logan Bieghler punt for 37 yds , Matt VandeBerg returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22TD
8 plays · 88 yds · 2:5070% → 91%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
70.1%
NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Makinton Dorleant) to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
70.6%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-Manley, broken up by Deiondre' HallSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
70.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+16
68.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 16 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+46
73.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Derrick Willies for 46 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 0
OWN 8
+1
70.0%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the NIowa 7Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 0
OWN 7
-5
69.4%
[SG], PENALTY IOWA false start (Scherff, B.) 5 yards to the UNI12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+12
91.4%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0015% → 10%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
84.8%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Brett LeMasterSimilar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-3
85.4%
David Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIowa 22Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 13
OPP 22
-8
88.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen sacked by Quinton Alston for a loss of 8 yards to the NIowa 14Similar
Q4 6:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
89.7%
Logan Bieghler punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Matt VandeBerg at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 1:1794% → 95%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
94.1%
Mark Weisman run for 7 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
95.3%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
95.3%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the NIowa 45Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+1
94.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIowa 44Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
95.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 1 yd to the NIowa 43Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 2
OWN 43
-5
94.7%
IOWA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NIowa 48Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
94.6%
Dillon Kidd punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Deiondre' Hall at the NIowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNIDrive 25INT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:0012% → 7%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
88.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 16 yds to the NIowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
89.1%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Kevin Vereen Jr.Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+4
89.6%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 4 yds to the NIowa 38Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+22
90.9%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to Chad Owens for 22 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to Braden LehmanSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
90.8%
Sawyer Kollmorgen sacked by Louis Trinca-Pasat and Jaleel Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 17
OPP 47
0
93.0%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass incomplete to David JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 17
OPP 47
+33
93.4%
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass intercepted Greg Mabin return for 18 yds to the Iowa 29 IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Reggie Spearman) to the Iowa 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
97.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 30Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-2
97.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:50
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for 12 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+22
TD · Q3 9:31
Sawyer Kollmorgen pass complete to David Johnson for 70 yds for a TD, (Michael Schmadeke KICK)
-9.2
TD · Q3 10:13
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 6 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com