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PUR

Purdue 16 at Indiana 23

IU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+8.9IU 38.5%Griffin Oakes 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 6 · Q3 6:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:15 · Griffin Oakes 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−7.3Pregame prior+1.6Score differential−2.7Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:25: Akeem Hunt run for 82 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +16.7 pts (now 67%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:25: Shane Wynn run for 41 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +17.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 11:24: Paul Griggs 20 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +10.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:31: Griffin Oakes 34 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +11.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:27: Zander Diamont run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +27.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00IU 4th & 2 at PUR 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    58.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    58.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:12IU 4th & 6 at PUR 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    57.9%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:07PUR 4th & 11 at IU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07IU 4th & 1 at IU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:02PUR 4th & 1 at IU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    40.3%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:07PUR 4th & 8 at IU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:07IU 4th & 3 at IU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:23IU 4th & 13 at IU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:52PUR 4th & 9 at IU 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    46.4%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:59PUR 4th & 9 at IU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−6.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:40IU 4th & 3 at IU 30, down 6
    Close callPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:46IU 4th & 6 at PUR 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−11.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:15IU 4th & 2 at PUR 24, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%−1.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−8.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:15PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 19, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−3.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:36PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:24PUR 4th & 2 at IU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−4.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−24.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:31IU 4th & 2 at PUR 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−2.2
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−18.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:31PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 9:25PUR Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:25IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:27IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
54.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 24 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
54.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-5
54.6%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+14
54.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 14 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
54.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+1
54.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
54.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
54.6%
Austin Appleby run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+5
54.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
54.5%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 35 Akeem Hunt fumbled, forced by T.J. Simmons, recovered by Ind T.J. Simmons , return for 11 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3MISSED FG
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4256% → 56%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
55.6%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+1
55.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+10
55.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 10 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
55.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 4 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
55.6%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
55.5%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+38
55.5%
Griffin Oakes 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:0545% → 45%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+30
55.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 30 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
54.4%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+20
54.5%
Austin Appleby run for 20 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
54.3%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
54.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Brandon CottomSimilar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
54.6%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
55.1%
Paul Griggs 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
55.2%
Zander Diamont run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
55.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
55.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
55.1%
Erich Toth punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:5545% → 47%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
54.9%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+24
55.1%
Akeem Hunt run for 24 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
54.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 11 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
53.8%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+4
53.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
54.1%
Brandon Cottom run for 3 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
53.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 4 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
53.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+3
54.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q1 5:02
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
54.6%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
53.7%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+3
52.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
53.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron Posey, broken up by Greg GoochSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
52.7%
Paul Griggs 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+20
53.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 20 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
53.6%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 7 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
54.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Simmie CobbsSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 37
-2
53.0%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds , Frankie Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 16 Frankie Williams fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
52.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 12 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
52.6%
Akeem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
-1
52.0%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 32Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
52.9%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Chase Dutra return for no gain to the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
53.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
53.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Tevin ColemanSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+11
52.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 11 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
53.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
53.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Simmie CobbsSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-5
52.7%
Zander Diamont sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+37
51.7%
Erich Toth punt for 55 yds , Frankie Williams returns for 37 yds to the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
49.0%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
48.7%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
48.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
48.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
49.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+2
50.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 16 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 2 yds to the Ind 20 Shane Wynn fumbled, recovered by Prdue Anthony BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4253% → 58%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
47.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+5
47.5%
Akeem Hunt run for 5 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
47.5%
Raheem Mostert run for 2 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
45.4%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory Phillips, broken up by Michael HunterSimilar
Q2 2:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
42.0%
Paul Griggs 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1644% → 42%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
44.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 7 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 3
OWN 30
0
45.6%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
43.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
42.0%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:0058% → 61%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
40.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 4 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
41.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
41.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Keyante Green for 8 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+15
40.1%
INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
38.6%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
39.0%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Michael Hunter return for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
41.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
42.8%
Akeem Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+5
43.1%
Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
43.7%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Tegray Scales return for no gain to the Prdue 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:0150% → 50%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
49.7%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+6
49.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+8
48.1%
Zander Diamont run for 8 yds to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
49.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
49.7%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
48.1%
Zander Diamont sacked by Ryan Russell for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 9 Zander Diamont fumbled, recovered by Ind Tevin Coleman , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Danny Ezechukwu) to the Prdue 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
49.7%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 12Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+1
49.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
48.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 5 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
50.4%
Griffin Oakes 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
33.4%
Akeem Hunt run for 82 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:1033% → 39%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
32.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Stoner for 23 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-11
35.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Collin Rahrig) to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 21
OWN 47
+10
33.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 10 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+3
34.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+8
34.5%
Zander Diamont run for 8 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
36.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
36.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
34.9%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
38.5%
Griffin Oakes 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
34.1%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
34.3%
Akeem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+2
34.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 2 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q3 6:15
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
35.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 56 yds · 1:4138% → 59%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
37.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+24
37.3%
Zander Diamont run for 24 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
41.0%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane Wynn, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
40.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Wes Rogers) to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+41
58.6%
Shane Wynn run for 41 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4949% → 47%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
50.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Akeem Hunt for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
50.6%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Jordan Roos) to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+7
52.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
51.1%
Austin Appleby run for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
53.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
55.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 24 Tevin Coleman fumbled, forced by Andy James Garcia, recovered by Prdue Robert GregorySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:2956% → 65%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
43.7%
Raheem Mostert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+4
44.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 4 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+13
46.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 13 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
43.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 3 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
43.7%
Raheem Mostert run for 4 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
45.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Justin SinzSimilar
Q4 11:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
35.2%
Paul Griggs 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:5341% → 58%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
40.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
43.9%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Stoner for 6 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
42.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
45.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Stoner for 5 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
46.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
45.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+11
45.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 11 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
49.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
49.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+2
46.4%
Zander Diamont run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
49.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
49.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+4
46.4%
Zander Diamont run for 4 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
58.3%
Griffin Oakes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
48.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Raheem Mostert for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+11
49.8%
Raheem Mostert run for 11 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
48.1%
Raheem Mostert run for 4 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
46.5%
Raheem Mostert run for no gain to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-15
47.6%
PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+18
49.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 18 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 6:31
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
47.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae Hart, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 6:31
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
50.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 26 yds, downed at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 2:5256% → 97%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
56.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+5
59.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
59.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Stoner for 6 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
61.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+12
62.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 12 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
64.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 14 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
64.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 15 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:2111% → 10%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Justin Sinz for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 0:14
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+17
89.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gabe Holmes for 17 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
89.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete, broken up by Chase DutraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:27
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+27.4
TD · Q3 2:25
Shane Wynn run for 41 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+17.8
TD · Q3 9:25
Akeem Hunt run for 82 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com