Try the model
IU

Indiana 27 at Ohio State 42

OSU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Ohio Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:49 · Erich Toth punt for 41 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+35.3Home team on offense+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:17: Tevin Coleman run for 90 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +15.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:03: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +10.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:21: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:49: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 54 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:13: Tevin Coleman run for 52 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +1.9 pts (now 2%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 13:02IU 4th & 9 at IU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:28OSU 4th & 3 at IU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:41IU 4th & 6 at OSU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15IU 4th & 5 at IU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:34IU 4th & 2 at OSU 20, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.7%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:34OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:49IU 4th & 10 at OSU 41, down 1
    Close callPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:32OSU 4th & 6 at OSU 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06IU 4th & 10 at OSU 43, down 1
    Close callPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:41IU 4th & 15 at midfield, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:30OSU 4th & 7 at IU 47, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:25OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:20IU 4th & 7 at IU 4, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−3.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:36IU 4th & 16 at IU 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−4.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:20IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:12OSU 4th & 9 at IU 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−4.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:45IU 4th & 3 at IU 36, down 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−1.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:34OSU 4th & 18 at OSU 25, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−2.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:58IU 4th & 16 at IU 9, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:49OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:28OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:41IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:17IU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:03OSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:21OSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:49OSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:13IU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:1197% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
97.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 4 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+7
97.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 7 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
97.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 65 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:473% → 3%
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
97.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Andre BookerSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
97.2%
Erich Toth punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:3497% → 97%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
97.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Corey Smith for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
97.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 11 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+17
97.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 17 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+20
97.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 20 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
97.0%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Darius Latham for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+5
96.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-5
96.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Michael Thomas) to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 15
OPP 16
+12
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 12 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+4
97.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 4 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:473% → 4%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
97.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
96.9%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
96.9%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+53
96.9%
Zander Diamont run for 53 yds to the OhSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 6 yds Michael Thomas fumbled, forced by Tim Bennett, recovered by Ind Zack ShawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:514% → 4%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
96.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 9 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
96.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 5 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
96.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
96.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
96.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q1 4:41
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
95.9%
Griffin Oakes 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1796% → 95%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 23Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
95.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
95.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+3
95.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
95.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
95.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 8 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+9
95.3%
Curtis Samuel run for 9 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
95.2%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Antonio Allen return for no gain to the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:095% → 5%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
95.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+3
95.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
94.9%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+2
95.0%
Erich Toth punt for 44 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:4795% → 95%
Q2 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
94.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
50
+14
94.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 14 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
94.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 16 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
94.7%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Antonio Allen return for 18 yds to the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:546% → 7%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
94.4%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
94.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+49
94.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 49 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
93.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the OhSt 27Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+2
93.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+5
93.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 5 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
92.7%
Griffin Oakes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0093% → 93%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.3%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
93.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 8 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
92.9%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 31Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
92.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 56 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 9 yds to the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:458% → 9%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
92.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 27
0
92.1%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+10
92.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Dominique Booth for 10 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
91.8%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+16
91.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
90.9%
Zander Diamont sacked by Joshua Perry for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
91.0%
Zander Diamont run for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+6
91.2%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
91.1%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1792% → 91%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 21Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
91.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
91.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
90.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:269% → 11%
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+15
90.6%
Coleman, Tevin rush for loss of 8 yards to the INDIANA20, PENALTY OHIOST horse collar tackle (Washington, Adolphus) 15 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
89.6%
Shane Wynn run for 6 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+8
88.8%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Dominique Booth for 8 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
88.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-2
88.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
88.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
89.0%
Erich Toth punt for 42 yds, downed at the OhSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
89.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:1911% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
88.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+2
87.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+11
87.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 11 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
86.4%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-4
86.2%
Zander Diamont sacked by Michael Bennett for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 15
50
0
87.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Dominique BoothSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 15
50
0
87.7%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:1187% → 85%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
87.4%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the OhSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
87.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
86.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the OhSt 19Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+13
85.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 13 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
86.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+15
87.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Nick Vannett for 15 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
87.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
87.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
86.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
85.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
1 play · 90 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+90
69.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 90 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:5272% → 66%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 2 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
70.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+13
68.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 13 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
71.6%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 42Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
68.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 7 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
69.3%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
66.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 50 yds, downed at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0538% → 17%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
62.3%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
62.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+3
63.4%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 7
OWN 4
+54
83.0%
Erich Toth punt for 50 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 54 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:4420% → 18%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
80.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Michael CooperSimilar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
81.5%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Dominique BoothSimilar
Q3 1:45
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
82.3%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (David Cooper) to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 1:36
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
82.3%
Erich Toth punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:3381% → 93%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
80.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
80.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+33
79.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 33 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
82.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
82.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+13
82.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 13 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
83.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+11
82.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 11 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+2
83.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+4
81.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
82.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:439% → 9%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
90.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
90.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
90.6%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.0%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24MISSED FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:0892% → 92%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
91.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+12
92.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 12 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
92.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 32 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
93.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
93.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:55
3RD & 4
OPP 24
-5
92.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
92.1%
Sean Nuernberger 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2710% → 9%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
90.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
90.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
90.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q4 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
90.9%
Erich Toth punt for 47 yds, downed at the OhSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:1193% → 93%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
92.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
92.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for no gain to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+14
92.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 14 yds to the OhSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
94.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-8
94.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by T.J. Simmons for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 25Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 18
OWN 25
0
93.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 18
OWN 25
0
93.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 58 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+20
91.9%
Zander Diamont pass intercepted Tyvis Powell return for 20 yds to the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
97.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 12
OWN 13
0
97.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 12
OWN 13
-4
97.8%
Zander Diamont sacked by Joshua Perry for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
98.0%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30TD
1 play · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 54 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 31TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:361% → 2%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+11
99.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
97.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 52 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-1
99.2%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:17
Tevin Coleman run for 90 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q4 13:03
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 6 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q4 4:21
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com