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IU

Indiana 23 at Rutgers 45

RUTG
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:09 · Erich Toth punt for 35 yds , Janarion Grant returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 17Home team on offense−0.3Pregame prior+15.9Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:18: Tevin Coleman run for 67 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +15.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:00: Robert Martin run for 47 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +17.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:46: Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 34 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:27: Josh Hicks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +10.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:36: Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 28 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +11.8 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 10 of 14
  1. Q1 12:33IU 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    33.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:09IU 4th & 5 at IU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:02RUTG 4th & 7 at IU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:46IU 4th & 3 at IU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:12RUTG 4th & 10 at IU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    62.5%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:06IU 4th & 24 at IU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:11IU 4th & 5 at RUTG 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 12:19IU 4th & 1 at RUTG 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 12:19IU 4th & 27 at IU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 10:29RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:00IU 4th & 5 at RUTG 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−5.4
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:36RUTG 4th & 1 at IU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:09IU 4th & 5 at RUTG 5, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−9.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:00IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 4:09RUTG 4th & 1 at IU 39, up 8
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.2%−4.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%−4.0
    average punt
  18. Q3 2:07IU 4th & 7 at IU 23, down 8
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:36RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:40IU 4th & 24 at IU 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−5.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:44IU 4th & 3 at RUTG 28, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−4.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:50RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 49, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−1.2
    average punt
  23. Q4 7:28IU 4th & 17 at IU 49, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:12RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:18IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:00RUTG Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:46RUTG Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:27RUTG Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:36IU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:50RUTG Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:36RUTG Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:2733% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
67.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+10
67.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 10 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
67.0%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+5
67.0%
Zander Diamont run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-5
67.0%
Diamont, Zander pass complete to Booth, D. for 22 yards to the RU12 (Boggs, Dre), PENALTY IND illegal motion 5 yards to the RU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+8
67.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 8 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
66.5%
Griffin Oakes 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
66.6%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+8
66.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andrew Turzilli for 8 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
66.7%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+6
66.5%
Joseph Roth punt for 38 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 6 yds to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
66.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
66.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
66.3%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 5
OWN 29
-2
66.5%
Erich Toth punt for 35 yds , Janarion Grant returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
66.1%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
66.5%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
66.5%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 3 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
66.6%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Josh Hicks, broken up by Darius LathamSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
66.4%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
66.0%
Joseph Roth punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
65.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+3
65.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 3 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 14
0
65.7%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 3
OWN 14
0
66.0%
Erich Toth punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2566% → 66%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.1%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Andrew TurzilliSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
66.1%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+15
65.5%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 15 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-4
66.4%
Janarion Grant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 37 Josh HicksSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+21
65.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 21 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
66.4%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-3
66.4%
Desmon Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 16 Desmon Peoples fumbled, forced by T.J. Simmons,Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
66.0%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 3:12
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+33
65.8%
Kyle Federico 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.5%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-14
64.7%
Zander Diamont sacked by Quanzell Lambert for a loss of 14 yards to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 24
OWN 27
0
65.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Forisse HardinSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 24
OWN 27
+7
66.1%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 7 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
65.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.6%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 47 Justin Goodwin fumbled, forced by Chase Dutra, recovered by Ind Rashard FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9MISSED FG
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:1437% → 36%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
63.3%
Zander Diamont run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
62.9%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
62.8%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
-1
63.3%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
63.9%
Griffin Oakes 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:1166% → 65%
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
65.5%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Andrew Turzilli) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+1
65.2%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+7
65.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 7 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+6
65.0%
Gary Nova run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
65.3%
Joseph Roth punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · -6 yds · 1:2038% → 35%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
62.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
62.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 7 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
62.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
63.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
62.5%
Roberts, D. rush for loss of 1 yard to the RU39 (Barnwell, Nadir;Gause, Quentin), PENALTY IND holding (Spriggs, Jason) 10 yards to the RU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
1ST & 20
OPP 48
0
63.2%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 20
OPP 48
-15
63.5%
Diamont, Zander sacked for loss of 9 yards to the IND43 (Milewski, David), PENALTY IND personal foul (Spriggs, Jason) 15 yards to the IND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 35
OWN 37
+15
64.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 15 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 20
OPP 48
-7
63.9%
Zander Diamont sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 27
OWN 45
0
64.9%
Erich Toth punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
65.6%
Nova, Gary pass complete to Turzilli, Andre for 60 yards to the IND19, PENALTY RU holding (Johnson, Kaleb) 10 yards to the RU11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 20
OWN 11
+12
65.5%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
65.5%
Gary Nova run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 10:29
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
64.8%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte Carroo, broken up by Michael HunterSimilar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
64.2%
Joseph Roth punt for 38 yds , Andre Booker returns for no gain to the Ind 44 Andre Booker fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Steve Longa , return for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:1468% → 76%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
67.7%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
67.8%
Josh Hicks run for 13 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
68.4%
Josh Hicks run for 12 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
68.4%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+4
68.4%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (David Cooper) to the Ind 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.5%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:0627% → 33%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
73.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+4
72.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+18
72.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 18 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
71.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 17 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
69.9%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
70.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
69.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
70.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 8 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-3
70.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+36
67.3%
Griffin Oakes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:1369% → 70%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
69.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
70.1%
Gary Nova pass complete to Michael Burton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
70.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andre Patton for 11 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
71.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andre Patton for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
70.9%
Gary Nova pass complete to Andre Patton for 4 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
71.6%
Gary Nova run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
70.2%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
54.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 67 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17MISSED FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+46
62.2%
Kyle Federico 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:5145% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
54.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+10
53.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 10 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
52.9%
Coleman, Tevin rush for 2 yards to the IND44, PENALTY IND false start (Spriggs, Jason) 5 yards to the IND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-10
54.8%
Diamont, Zander rush for loss of 4 yards to the IND33 (Turay, Kemoko), PENALTY IND holding (Feeney, Dan) 10 yards to the IND27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 27
0
54.9%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 27
+68
55.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 68 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
51.2%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
51.2%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 12:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
46.3%
Griffin Oakes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:0249% → 69%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
49.3%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
49.0%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
48.2%
Gary Nova pass complete to John Tsimis for 7 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
49.9%
Josh Hicks run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
52.3%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
69.3%
Robert Martin run for 47 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
65.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
65.3%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Dominique Booth, broken up by Gareef GlashenSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+23
67.7%
Erich Toth punt for 44 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 23 yds to the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:4369% → 84%
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
69.4%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 8 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
69.4%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
68.8%
Gary Nova run for 4 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
83.8%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 34 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0021% → 24%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
78.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
77.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 5 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
77.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+3
75.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
76.1%
Zander Diamont pass intercepted Lorenzo Waters return for 19 yds to the Rutgr 29 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Johnathan Aiken) to the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
83.4%
Gary Nova pass complete to Tyler Kroft for 17 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
85.0%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
85.0%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
84.4%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
83.2%
Joseph Roth punt for 19 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.3%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Michael CooperSimilar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 2:07
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-10
84.0%
Erich Toth run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 9 Erich Toth fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Josh HicksSimilar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
83.2%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
93.5%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:479% → 21%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
91.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
90.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+30
90.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 30 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
90.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 7 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
91.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
79.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 28 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0087% → 85%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.6%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
86.4%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
85.7%
Gary Nova pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q4 14:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
85.0%
Joseph Roth punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:0017% → 14%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
82.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 47 INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+7
84.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 12
OWN 39
-12
84.5%
Zander Diamont sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick and Kemoko Turay for a loss of 12 yards to the Ind 27 Zander Diamont fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:40
4TH & 24
OWN 27
+29
85.9%
Erich Toth punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the RUTGERS 39 INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29TD
2 plays · 56 yds · 0:1690% → 96%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
89.5%
Gary Nova pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+56
95.6%
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 56 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+25
94.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 25 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
93.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Andre Booker for 21 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
93.0%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q4 11:44
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
93.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-12
93.5%
Zander Diamont sacked by Davon Jacobs for a loss of 12 yards to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.2%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
96.2%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
96.2%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
96.0%
Joseph Roth punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
96.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete, broken up by Daryl StephensonSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+16
96.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 16 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
95.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 18 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
95.6%
Myles Graham run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+3
95.5%
Myles Graham run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 3
50
+6
95.6%
Diamont, Zander pass incomplete to Hardin, Forisse, PENALTY RU pass interference (Boggs, Dre) 6 yards to the RU44, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Dominique BoothSimilar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
95.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
95.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the Ind 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ind Zander DiamontSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
95.9%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Forisse HardinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 33TD
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:0998% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
97.6%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
97.6%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
98.1%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+15
97.9%
Roth, Joey punt 24 yards to the IND16, fair catch by Harris II, J., PENALTY IND roughing the kicker (Jones, Ricky) 15 yards to the IND25, 1ST DOWN RU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
98.2%
Josh Hicks run for 21 yds to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.2%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.2%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 34END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+13
99.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
99.8%
Myles Graham run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.8%
Zander Diamont sacked by Darius Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 20
OPP 48
+15
99.8%
Myles Graham run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:00
Robert Martin run for 47 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+17
TD · Q2 0:18
Tevin Coleman run for 67 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q3 5:46
Gary Nova pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 34 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com