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IU

Indiana 10 at Michigan 34

MICH
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:22 · Erich Toth punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+23.5Home team on offense+2.5Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:22: Devin Gardner pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +1.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:18: Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +6.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:39: Drake Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:09: D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +1.8 pts (now 3%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:26: Drake Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK) — MICH win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:23IU 4th & 2 at IU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20MICH 4th & 5 at IU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22IU 4th & 19 at IU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:29MICH 4th & 2 at MICH 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 8 at IU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14MICH 4th & 9 at MICH 47, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:08IU 4th & 5 at IU 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:18IU 4th & 17 at IU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10IU 4th & 6 at MICH 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00MICH 4th & 3 at MICH 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:31IU 4th & 8 at MICH 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:31MICH 4th & 4 at IU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−1.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 4 at IU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:48MICH 4th & 3 at IU 6, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:03IU 4th & 5 at IU 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:22MICH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:18MICH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:39MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:09IU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:26MICH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:3722% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
77.6%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.6%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 37 Tevin Coleman fumbled, forced by Jake Ryan,Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
77.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Tevin ColemanSimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+8
77.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
77.2%
Erich Toth punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 2FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:2377% → 77%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
77.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds to the Mich 30Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
77.2%
Justice Hayes run for 1 yd to the Mich 31Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+12
77.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 12 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+34
77.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 34 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
77.4%
Justice Hayes run for 2 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
77.4%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for no gain to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+3
77.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Justice Hayes for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
76.9%
Matt Wile 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 27 Tevin Coleman fumbled, forced by Jake Ryan, recovered by Mich Bryan MoneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:4377% → 79%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.3%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin FunchessSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
77.3%
Justice Hayes run for no gain to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+13
77.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 13 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
77.3%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+10
77.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 10 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
79.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
78.8%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
78.4%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
78.6%
J-Shun Harris II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-2
78.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-6
79.0%
Zander Diamont sacked by Brennen Beyer for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
79.2%
Erich Toth punt for 32 yds, downed at the Mich 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.3%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 40Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
79.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 8 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
79.0%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
78.7%
Will Hagerup punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3121% → 20%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
79.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
79.0%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
-1
79.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Erich Toth punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
79.2%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Joe Kerridge for 17 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
79.7%
Justice Hayes run for 3 yds to the Mich 49Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
79.7%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Amara Darboh, broken up by Forisse HardinSimilar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-2
79.3%
Devin Gardner sacked by Darius Latham and Bobby Richardson for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 47Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+22
78.7%
Will Hagerup punt for 39 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 22 yds to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
79.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
78.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
79.1%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:08
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
79.7%
Erich Toth punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 10TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 3:5480% → 89%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
79.6%
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 16Similar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+7
79.5%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 7 yds to the Mich 23Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+17
79.5%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 17 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
80.4%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 2 yds to the Mich 42Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+18
80.3%
Drake Johnson run for 18 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
80.5%
Devin Gardner run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+4
80.8%
Devin Gardner run for 4 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+15
80.3%
INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (Darius Latham) to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
80.8%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin Funchess, broken up by Forisse HardinSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-5
82.2%
MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 15
OPP 21
+9
82.0%
Devin Gardner pass complete to A.J. Williams for 9 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
88.7%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 17 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
86.2%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
86.7%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+6
86.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-8
86.5%
Nate Boudreau sacked by Joe Bolden for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
87.1%
Erich Toth punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 12INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
89.7%
Devin Gardner run for 1 yd to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
89.7%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for no gain to the Mich 32Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+39
89.4%
Devin Gardner pass intercepted Chase Dutra return for 39 yds to the Mich 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4214% → 13%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
86.3%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 13Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+4
86.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Mich 9Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+1
86.0%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd to the Mich 8Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
86.6%
Griffin Oakes 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
90.8%
Justice Hayes run for 15 yds to the Mich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
90.8%
Justice Hayes run for no gain to the Mich 35Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.8%
Drake Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 6 yds to the Mich 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
88.9%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Dennis NorfleetSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
88.0%
Will Hagerup punt for 44 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 4 yds to the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:0011% → 13%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
88.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
88.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Shane Wynn for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
88.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
88.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Simmie Cobbs for 8 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+11
87.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
87.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Mich 37Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+14
87.5%
Zander Diamont run for 14 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
86.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the Mich 19Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 6
OPP 19
-1
86.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 20Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-1
87.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 21Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
87.0%
Griffin Oakes 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Devin Funchess for 12 yds to the Mich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.4%
Drake Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 39Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
89.7%
Dennis Norfleet run for 2 yds to the Mich 41Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+10
89.3%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 10 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
89.9%
Drake Johnson run for no gain to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
89.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 6 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
89.4%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin Funchess, broken up by Tim BennettSimilar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
88.8%
Will Hagerup punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
89.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
88.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-5
89.4%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 20 Zander Diamont fumbled, forced by Ryan Glasgow, recovered by Mich Ryan GlasgowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:2292% → 98%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
92.1%
Drake Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+6
92.1%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 6 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
98.2%
Drake Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:393% → 2%
Q3 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
97.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+2
97.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
97.5%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21FG
18 plays · 78 yds · 8:0098% → 100%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
98.3%
Drake Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mich 17Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+13
98.8%
Drake Johnson run for 13 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
98.8%
Drake Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mich 32Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+13
98.8%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 13 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to De'Veon Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
50
0
98.9%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 5
50
+10
98.9%
Devin Gardner run for 10 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.0%
Drake Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+8
98.9%
Drake Johnson run for 8 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.0%
Drake Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+26
98.9%
Devin Gardner pass complete to Bo Dever for 26 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
99.0%
Drake Johnson run for 8 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-1
98.9%
Drake Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
99.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Jack Miller) to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
99.5%
Devin Gardner pass incomplete to Devin Funchess, broken up by Antonio AllenSimilar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
99.5%
Matt Wile 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:391% → 3%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
99.3%
Zander Diamont run for 35 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
99.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Mich 26Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-1
99.1%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 27Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+11
99.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Mich 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
99.1%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 13Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+10
99.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 10 yds to the Mich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:4399% → 100%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+32
98.7%
Drake Johnson run for 32 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Drake Johnson run for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:231% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+3
99.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
99.5%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:18
Devin Gardner pass complete to Amara Darboh for 12 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q3 1:39
Drake Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q1 5:22
Devin Gardner pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Wile KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com