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MSU

Michigan State 56 at Indiana 17

IU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:07 · Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior−35.5Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: Shane Wynn 75 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +5.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:25: Zander Diamont 9 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +8.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:59: Jeremy Langford 8 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick) — MSU win probability +10.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:14: Macgarrett Kings Jr. 14 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick) — MSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:52: R.J. Shelton 4 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick) — MSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11MSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 13:07IU 4th & 3 at IU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:37IU 4th & 7 at IU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47MSU 4th & 1 at IU 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%−0.5
    68% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:41IU 4th & 10 at MSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:43MSU 4th & 3 at MSU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:03IU 4th & 7 at IU 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53MSU 4th & 2 at MSU 37, up 4
    Close callPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:52IU 4th & 2 at IU 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:33IU 4th & 5 at IU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:20MSU 4th & 6 at MSU 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:43IU 4th & 12 at IU 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:22IU 4th & 7 at IU 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:22MSU 4th & 4 at IU 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:22IU 4th & 26 at IU 4, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−3.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:23IU 4th & 10 at IU 40, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:02IU 4th & 10 at IU 47, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:56MSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:21MSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:07IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:25IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:59MSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:14MSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:52MSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:14MSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:06MSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:24MSU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3314% → 15%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.2%
Zander Diamont sacked by Ed Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
14.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
14.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 6 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
14.8%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:4885% → 85%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
15.0%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 6 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
15.0%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Adarius Rayner) to the MchSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
15.1%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the MchSt 42Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
15.5%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 5 yds to the MchSt 47Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+14
15.7%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 14 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
15.8%
Jeremy Langford run for 7 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 9:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+32
15.1%
Jeremy Langford 32 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1116% → 16%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
15.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
15.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Tevin Coleman for no gain to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Tevin ColemanSimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
15.5%
Erich Toth punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 4MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:4285% → 84%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
15.5%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 17 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
15.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 4 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+2
15.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+6
15.7%
Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 6 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
15.7%
Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 7 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
15.8%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+1
16.0%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
16.4%
Michael Geiger 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:5617% → 19%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
16.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 65 yds to the MchSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
18.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the MchSt 6Similar
Q1 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
18.3%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Tevin ColemanSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
18.0%
Zander Diamont sacked by Trae Waynes for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 10Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
19.2%
Griffin Oakes 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:0681% → 84%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
18.9%
Nick Hill run for 8 yds to the MchSt 30Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
18.9%
Nick Hill run for 1 yd to the MchSt 31Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
19.3%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the MchSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
19.6%
Connor Cook sacked by T.J. Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 30Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+15
20.1%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 15 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
19.5%
Connor Cook run for 9 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 13:57
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
19.5%
Nick Hill run for 6 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
19.7%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Tony LippettSimilar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+25
19.7%
Nick Hill run for 25 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
19.6%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Jamal LylesSimilar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
19.4%
R.J. Shelton run for 5 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+10
15.6%
Josiah Price 10 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
21.3%
Shane Wynn 75 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0779% → 78%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.2%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the MchSt 25Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
21.5%
Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 6 yds to the MchSt 31Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
21.7%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the MchSt 32 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Kruse) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
22.4%
Mike Sadler punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:2722% → 21%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
22.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
22.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
21.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
21.4%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0678% → 77%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
21.7%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to R.J. SheltonSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
22.0%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (NA) to the MchSt 34Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+3
21.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 3 yds to the MchSt 37Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
21.9%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Nick HillSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
22.7%
Mike Sadler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5723% → 22%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
22.6%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
22.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+6
22.1%
Diamont, Zander pass incomplete to Wynn, Shane, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Harris, Darien) 6 yards to the INDIANA28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
22.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+3
22.2%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+8
21.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 8 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
22.4%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 12INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:4077% → 76%
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
22.7%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the MchSt 16Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 15
OWN 16
-2
23.1%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 14Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 17
OWN 14
+18
23.9%
Connor Cook pass intercepted Tegray Scales return for 3 yds to the MchSt 17 INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the MchSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 39 yds · 0:2426% → 34%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+30
25.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 30 yds to the MchSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
33.9%
Zander Diamont 9 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1669% → 78%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
30.8%
Jeremy Langford run for no gain to the MchSt 25Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+67
31.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Josiah Price for 67 yds to the Ind 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
21.6%
Jeremy Langford 8 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5624% → 24%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
24.4%
Zander Diamont sacked by Taiwan Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+3
24.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+3
23.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 2:33
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
24.2%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 1:1376% → 85%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
23.7%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 11 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
22.8%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 13 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
22.2%
Nick Hill run for 7 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 3
OPP 37
-15
22.0%
Cook, Connor pass complete to Lippett, Tony for 11 yards to the INDIANA26, PENALTY MICHIGANST illegal block 15 yards to the MICHIGANST48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+11
23.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Macgarrett Kings Jr. for 11 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
22.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 9 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
22.0%
Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 18 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
14.8%
Macgarrett Kings Jr. 14 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:4317% → 16%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
16.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+1
16.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2583% → 83%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-20
16.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the MchSt 5 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MchSt Connor CookSimilar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 30
OWN 5
+25
17.3%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 25 yds to the MchSt 30Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
16.8%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Macgarrett Kings Jr.Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+14
17.5%
Mike Sadler punt for 53 yds for a 1ST down , Shane Wynn returns for 14 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 1:3117% → 15%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
17.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Dominique BoothSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
16.8%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+15
15.8%
Diamont, Zander pass incomplete to Wynn, Shane, PENALTY MICHIGANST pass interference (Drummond, Kurtis) 15 yards to the INDIANA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
17.4%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-3
16.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Stoner for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
15.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
15.2%
Erich Toth punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MchSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:4084% → 94%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
16.3%
Jeremy Langford run for 1 yd to the MchSt 22Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
16.4%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Josiah PriceSimilar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+41
16.8%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 41 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
14.8%
Connor Cook pass complete to Tony Lippett for 12 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
14.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+9
13.9%
Jeremy Langford run for 9 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
13.9%
Aaron Burbridge run for 4 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
13.5%
Jeremy Langford run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
6.3%
R.J. Shelton 4 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:119% → 9%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
8.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
8.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
8.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
8.5%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:5294% → 94%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
6.2%
Delton Williams run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
50
+3
5.7%
Delton Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
5.4%
Connor Cook pass incomplete to Keith MumpherySimilar
Q3 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+3
5.5%
Connor Cook run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
5.7%
Mike Sadler punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-11
8.0%
Zander Diamont sacked by Shilique Calhoun for a loss of 11 yards to the Ind 9 INDIANA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Zander Diamont) to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 21
OWN 9
-5
7.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 26
OWN 4
+50
7.7%
Erich Toth punt for 50 yds , Macgarrett Kings Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:5396% → 100%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
4.3%
Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 5
50
+6
4.2%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
4.1%
Jeremy Langford run for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+6
3.6%
Jeremy Langford run for 6 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
3.6%
Connor Cook pass complete to R.J. Shelton for 8 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 0:21
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+10
3.4%
Connor Cook pass complete to Aaron Burbridge for 10 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
3.4%
Jeremy Langford run for 4 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
0.5%
Jeremy Langford 12 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:241% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.5%
Zander Diamont run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
0.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Simmie Cobbs for 13 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Zander Diamont run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
0.5%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
0.4%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Macgarrett Kings Jr. at the MchSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 26TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 6:10100% → 100%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
0.5%
Nick Hill run for 14 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
0.4%
Nick Hill run for 8 yds to the MchSt 45Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
0.3%
Nick Hill run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
50
+3
0.3%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
0.3%
Nick Hill run for 3 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+9
0.3%
Nick Hill run for 9 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
0.3%
Nick Hill run for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
0.2%
Delton Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+5
0.2%
Delton Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
0.1%
Delton Williams 22 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+14
0.1%
Devine Redding run for 14 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
Nate Boudreau pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
Erich Toth punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Andre Sims Jr. at the MchSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Nick Hill run for 2 yds to the MchSt 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+2
0.1%
Nick Hill run for 2 yds to the MchSt 24Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+76
0.1%
Nick Hill 76 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
0.1%
Myles Graham run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 28 Myles Graham fumbled, recovered by MchSt Demetrius CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 30
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:59
Jeremy Langford 8 Yd Run (Michael Geiger Kick)
-10
TD · Q2 5:25
Zander Diamont 9 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)
+8.4
TD · Q3 7:52
R.J. Shelton 4 Yd pass from Connor Cook (Michael Geiger Kick)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com