Try the model
IU

Indiana 29 at Iowa 45

IOWA
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Kinnick Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:06 · Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior+15.6Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:55: Damond Powell 72 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +6.9 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:03: Jonathan Parker 60 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +7.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:04: Nick Stoner 13 Yd pass from Nate Sudfeld (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +8.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:33: Tevin Coleman 45 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick) — IU win probability +7.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:00: Mark Weisman 1 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +7.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 11IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:28IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54IU 4th & 2 at IOWA 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:02IOWA 4th & 2 at IU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    67.1%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    65.8%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:06IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:34IU 4th & 1 at IOWA 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.2
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:14IU 4th & 21 at IU 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−1.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:41IOWA 4th & 6 at IOWA 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:39IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:15IU 4th & 5 at IU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:57IOWA 4th & 4 at IU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−4.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00IOWA 4th & 1 at IU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−3.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    70.4%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:36IU 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:18IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:19IU 4th & 2 at IU 48, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%−1.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:54IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:41IU 4th & 11 at IU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:54IOWA 4th & 2 at IU 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q3 1:15IU 4th & 12 at IU 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−1.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:15IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 49, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%−1.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:23IU 4th & 7 at IU 30, down 16
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:14IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 40, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 4:41IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:37IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:55IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:12IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 1:03IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:04IU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 10:33IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:00IOWA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:17IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:16IU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2770% → 70%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
69.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-10
69.7%
Jake Rudock sacked by Bobby Richardson for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
69.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2131% → 31%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
69.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+4
69.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 7
50
0
69.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 7
50
+5
69.3%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
69.1%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 6:5169% → 71%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
69.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 10 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
69.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
69.5%
Jonathan Parker run for 3 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
69.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
69.2%
Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+14
69.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 14 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
69.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Macon Plewa for 3 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+11
69.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 11 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
69.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
69.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
69.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 5 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+3
68.5%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
69.3%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+3
69.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+12
72.3%
Jake Duzey 12 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+15
71.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Allen) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5529% → 25%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
70.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+35
74.7%
Desmond King 35 Yd Interception Return (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2425% → 24%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
74.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
75.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
76.1%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
83.0%
Damond Powell 72 Yd pass from Jake Rudock (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 0:3817% → 24%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
82.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+83
76.5%
Tevin Coleman 83 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
76.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Offside (Rashard Fant) to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
84.4%
Jonathan Parker 60 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 2:3417% → 24%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+62
83.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 62 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
82.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+6
82.7%
J-Shun Harris II run for 6 yds to the Iowa 17Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
83.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
83.8%
Nate Sudfeld run for 2 yds to the Iowa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
75.6%
Nick Stoner 13 Yd pass from Nate Sudfeld (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:4223% → 21%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
77.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 11 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
76.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
76.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 10
OPP 43
-5
77.3%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (Nate Sudfeld) to the Iowa 48Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 15
OPP 48
-6
78.3%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Carl Davis and Drew Ott for a loss of 6 yards to the IOWA 46 INDIANA Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 21
OWN 46
0
78.8%
Erich Toth punt for 44 yds , Riley McCarron returns for no gain to the Iowa 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2179% → 78%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
78.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+2
78.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
78.3%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+13
78.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 44 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 13 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
70.4%
Tevin Coleman 45 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2972% → 71%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
71.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
73.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
72.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
71.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1627% → 26%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
72.6%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 13
OWN 14
0
73.0%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to Simmie CobbsSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 13
OWN 14
+8
73.7%
Chris Covington run for 8 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 5
OWN 22
0
74.1%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:0273% → 76%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+31
73.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 31 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
74.6%
Mark Weisman run for 11 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
74.8%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
74.9%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
75.1%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
76.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.7%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Ray HamiltonSimilar
Q2 4:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
75.6%
Marshall Koehn 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1024% → 23%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
76.6%
Chris Covington pass intercepted Bo Bower return for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17END OF HALF
11 plays · 37 yds · 3:2078% → 85%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
77.8%
Jake Rudock sacked by Nate Hoff and Ralph Green III for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-1
78.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jonathan Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+14
77.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 14 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
79.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+15
79.3%
Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Martin-Manley, Kevonte, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Bennett, Tim) 15 yards to the INDIANA9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
79.3%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 6 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
79.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
78.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.8%
Mark Weisman 1 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1514% → 12%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Chris Covington run for no gain to the Ind 25 Chris Covington fumbled, recovered by Ind Chris CovingtonSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Chris Covington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+58
87.6%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , Riley McCarron returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 26 IOWA Penalty, Illegal Block (Solomon Warfield) to the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0287% → 87%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
87.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
87.5%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Duzey for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
87.7%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 22
-5
87.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 48 yds , Shane Wynn returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:5112% → 12%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
88.3%
Chris Covington run for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
87.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
88.2%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+7
88.6%
Chris Covington run for 7 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+3
88.4%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:5191% → 92%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
90.8%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 9:37
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
91.2%
Mark Weisman run for 9 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
91.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Damond PowellSimilar
Q3 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+4
91.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 4 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
91.9%
Rudock, Jake pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Clark, Donovan) 15 yards to the IOWA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.5%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-10
92.4%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sean Welsh) to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 20
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+11
92.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 11 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 6:54
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
91.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:599% → 7%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
91.2%
Chris Covington pass complete to Tevin Coleman for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+2
91.8%
Chris Covington run for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+1
92.2%
Chris Covington run for 1 yd to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
92.8%
Erich Toth punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2794% → 93%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
93.6%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
93.7%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 3
50
+1
93.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
93.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:317% → 6%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
93.2%
Chris Covington run for 6 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 4
OWN 18
-1
93.3%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 1:34
3RD & 5
OWN 17
-7
93.6%
Chris Covington sacked by Drew Ott for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
93.9%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25TD
12 plays · 55 yds · 2:5195% → 99%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
94.6%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Fields, Tony) 15 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
94.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 0:22
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
94.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Kevonte Martin-ManleySimilar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+20
94.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 20 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
95.1%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Austin Blythe) to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 5
OPP 24
-5
95.2%
Jonathan Parker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+15
95.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Adarius Rayner) to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
95.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 6 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+3
95.7%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+1
95.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Ind 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jake Duzey for 3 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:512% → 8%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
92.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 69 yds for a TD, (Two pt rush, Shane Wynn GOOD)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:0195% → 96%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Greg Gooch) to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-4
95.5%
Mark Weisman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 14
OWN 36
-1
95.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 35Similar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+14
95.2%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damond Powell for 14 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:356% → 5%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
94.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 21
-10
94.1%
Roberts, D'Angelo rush for 9 yards to the INDIANA30, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Evans, Ralston) 10 yards to the INDIANA11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+13
95.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 13 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
94.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
94.8%
Chris Covington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 25 Chris Covington fumbled, recovered by Ind Chris CovingtonSimilar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to Dominique BoothSimilar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+5
95.4%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
95.5%
Erich Toth punt for 64 yds, downed at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:5596% → 98%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
96.0%
Mark Weisman run for 8 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+4
96.2%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
96.5%
Mark Weisman run for 7 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+6
96.9%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
97.0%
Tevaun Smith run for 7 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
97.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Iowa 39Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
97.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30INT
11 plays · 65 yds · 1:463% → 3%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
97.1%
Chris Covington run for 7 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+9
96.9%
Chris Covington run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 35 Chris Covington fumbled, recovered by Ind Chris Covington for a 1ST down Chris Covington run for 9 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.9%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
97.0%
Chris Covington pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
50
+20
97.0%
Chris Covington pass complete to Ricky Jones for 20 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.3%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
96.4%
Chris Covington pass incomplete to D'Angelo RobertsSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+19
96.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 19 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
96.2%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
96.9%
Chris Covington pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Lomax return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.5%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
98.5%
Mark Weisman run for 8 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.6%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:04
Nick Stoner 13 Yd pass from Nate Sudfeld (Griffin Oakes Kick)
-8.1
TD · Q1 1:03
Jonathan Parker 60 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)
+7.9
TD · Q2 10:33
Tevin Coleman 45 Yd Run (Griffin Oakes Kick)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com