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UNT

North Texas 24 at Indiana 49

IU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:35 · Eric Keena punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 167Pregame prior+3.8Home team on offense+28.3Score differential+11.0Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:32: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +4.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:34: Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +7.0 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:39: D'Angelo Roberts run for 47 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +6.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:25: D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +2.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:21: Dajon Williams pass complete to Tanner Smith for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:39IU 4th & 6 at UNT 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    81.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:11IU 4th & 2 at UNT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    81.5%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:38IU 4th & 13 at IU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:48UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 15 at IU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:38IU 4th & 1 at UNT 47, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:18UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:26IU 4th & 3 at UNT 46, up 21
    Close callPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:49UNT 4th & 1 at IU 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.0%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:39UNT 4th & 5 at midfield, down 21
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:18UNT 4th & 3 at IU 3, down 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 3 at UNT 16, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:21IU 4th & 2 at UNT 43, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.8%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:35UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 27, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 11:40IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:11IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:32IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:34UNT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:39IU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:25IU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:50IU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:49UNT Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:21UNT Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:33IU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.1%
Carlos Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
85.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Forisse HardinSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
85.1%
Dajon Williams pass intercepted Tegray Scales return for no gain to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:2685% → 85%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
84.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 1 yd to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
84.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 8 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+8
84.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 8 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
84.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
84.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 9 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+4
84.9%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 51 yds · 5:2885% → 86%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
85.0%
Nate Sudfeld run for 17 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
85.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 9 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-6
85.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 7
OPP 31
-5
84.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+6
84.8%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+10
84.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 10 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
85.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 7 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-10
85.0%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+2
84.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 7:27
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+9
84.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 9 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 6:11
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+12
86.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for 12 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1714% → 13%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.8%
Dajon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
85.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Reggie PegramSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.6%
Eric Keena punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 46 , Shane Wynn returns for 7 yds to the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
87.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 13
OWN 43
0
86.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:38
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
86.6%
Erich Toth punt for 42 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for no gain to the NoTex 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.3%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
86.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 10 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q1 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Eric Keena punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:3787% → 92%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
87.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 4
50
0
87.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 4
50
+5
87.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 5 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
91.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:279% → 9%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
90.6%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 10 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
90.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darius Terrell for 8 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+6
90.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
90.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 5 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+7
90.4%
Dajon Williams run for 7 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
90.2%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
90.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-7
90.9%
Dajon Williams sacked by Nate Hoff and Zack Shaw for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 46
+7
91.1%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Reggie Pegram for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
91.1%
Blake Macek punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:3893% → 94%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
92.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
92.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+3
92.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
92.8%
Nate Sudfeld run for 5 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Tevin ColemanSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
93.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 4
50
+3
94.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for 3 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
94.1%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoTex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
93.1%
Dajon Williams run for 1 yd to the NoTex 2Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+2
93.2%
Jarrod Lynn run for 2 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+10
93.3%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 10 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
92.9%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 12 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
92.9%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
93.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Dajon Williams run for no gain to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:18
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+7
93.1%
Eric Keena punt for 39 yds , Shane Wynn returns for 7 yds to the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:5795% → 95%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-10
95.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Dimitric Camiel) to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 20
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q2 5:26
3RD & 20
OWN 37
+17
95.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 17 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 5:26
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:157% → 15%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
93.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 14 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
93.0%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Tim BennettSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+7
92.9%
Dajon Williams run for 7 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.8%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 7 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+13
92.4%
Dajon Williams run for 13 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
92.3%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 6 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
92.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Forisse HardinSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+3
92.4%
Dajon Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
92.4%
Jarrod Lynn run for 2 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
85.4%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
90.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+8
89.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.0%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2190% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
89.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
89.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
89.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
89.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
89.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
90.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
89.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 2 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+47
96.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 47 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.5%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
95.6%
Reggie Pegram run for 10 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
95.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:39
2ND & 5
50
0
95.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:39
3RD & 5
50
0
95.5%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 5
50
0
95.6%
Blake Macek punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 2:2097% → 100%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
96.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+74
96.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 74 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
97.0%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.0%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the NoTex 3 Devine Redding fumbled, recovered by Ind Nate SudfeldSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:071% → 2%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+36
99.4%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Antoinne Jimmerson for 36 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 7 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Michael HunterSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+3
99.4%
Dajon Williams run for 3 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
99.4%
WILLIAMS, Dajon pass incomplete to TERRELL, Darius, PENALTY IND pass interference (Murphy, Mark) 15 yards to the IND10, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.4%
Dajon Williams run for 6 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
98.5%
Trevor Moore 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:2899% → 100%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
99.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
99.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+5
99.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+76
99.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 76 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Dajon Williams pass intercepted Chase Dutra return for no gain to the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+12
99.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 12 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for no gain to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 1:42
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 2 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 16
-1
99.8%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:360% → 1%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.9%
Dajon Williams run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 3
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
Dajon Williams sacked by Adarius Rayner for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 13 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+17
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 17 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 21 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.3%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Marcus Smith for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:221% → 4%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.4%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+21
99.4%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 21 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Tanner Smith for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
98.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 9 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
98.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
98.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 8 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+2
98.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
98.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+2
98.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
98.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Isaiah RoundtreeSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+13
97.9%
Erich Toth punt for 36 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
98.2%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
98.2%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+10
98.2%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 10 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Eric Keena punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:3099% → 100%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+29
98.8%
Chris Covington run for 29 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
98.9%
Devine Redding run for 15 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
98.9%
Chris Covington run for 9 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+4
98.9%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
98.9%
Chris Covington run for 6 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Erick Evans run for 7 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
Dajon Williams run for 7 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 20 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-7
TD · Q3 11:39
D'Angelo Roberts run for 47 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q1 0:32
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 45 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com