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IU

Indiana 31 at Missouri 27

MIZ
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:48 · Christian Brinser punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Pregame prior+30.5Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:50: Russell Hansbrough run for 68 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +9.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:54: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 33 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +26.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:20: Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK) — MIZ win probability +24.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:20: Andrew Baggett 40 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +22.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:22: D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +52.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:20IU 4th & 8 at IU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56IU 4th & 11 at MIZ 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:48MIZ 4th & 25 at MIZ 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30IU 4th & 2 at MIZ 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50IU 4th & 1 at MIZ 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    20.3%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:38MIZ 4th & 4 at IU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−1.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:17IU 4th & 5 at IU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:58IU 4th & 10 at IU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:42MIZ 4th & 9 at IU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00IU 4th & 6 at MIZ 6, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:10IU 4th & 9 at MIZ 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−6.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:00MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:30MIZ 4th & 15 at MIZ 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:35IU 4th & 5 at IU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:37MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 6:46IU 4th & 9 at IU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:45IU 4th & 15 at IU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−6.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:39MIZ 4th & 3 at IU 44, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    58.5%−7.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%−3.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:34IU 4th & 2 at MIZ 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−5.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:20MIZ 4th & 12 at IU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−7.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.2%
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−26.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:18IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:12MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:50IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:50MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:54IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:20MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:22IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3516% → 16%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
84.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
84.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
84.2%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+4
84.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 4 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
84.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
84.0%
Erich Toth punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3284% → 83%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
83.9%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 13
OWN 15
+11
83.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 11 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OWN 26
-1
83.8%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Christian Brinser punt for 53 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:4217% → 17%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
83.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+9
83.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.1%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
83.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 18 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
82.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-1
82.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
82.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
82.7%
Erich Toth punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:4782% → 82%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
82.4%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 21 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Antonio Allen) to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
82.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Evan Boehm) to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 15
OWN 31
-5
82.3%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 20
OWN 26
-5
82.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Mitch Morse) to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 25
OWN 21
0
81.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 25
OWN 21
0
81.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 25
OWN 21
0
81.5%
Christian Brinser punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:2218% → 22%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
81.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 6 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+47
81.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for 47 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
80.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 7 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
80.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Misso 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Misso 1Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:0379% → 82%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
78.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 10 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
78.8%
Maty Mauk sacked by Zack Shaw for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 17
OWN 13
0
78.0%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+42
77.7%
Russell Hansbrough run for 42 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
81.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 45 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 5:2020% → 26%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 10 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
80.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 10 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
79.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 5
50
+8
78.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for 8 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
78.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie CobbsSimilar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
78.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+6
78.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+5
78.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for 5 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
77.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+12
77.6%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
77.3%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+8
77.2%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
77.1%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-5
73.7%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Offside (Aaron Del Grosso) to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 4:0374% → 71%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.5%
Marcus Murphy run for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
74.2%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 4 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
73.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 9 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
73.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+5
73.0%
Maty Mauk run for 5 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
73.1%
Marcus Murphy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+8
71.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
72.2%
Maty Mauk run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
70.5%
Christian Brinser punt for 31 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:1230% → 32%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
69.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to D'Angelo Roberts for 13 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
67.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
67.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
67.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q2 7:17
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
68.0%
Erich Toth punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:1968% → 77%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
67.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 11 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
76.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 68 yds for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3526% → 25%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
74.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for no gain to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
74.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Michael CooperSimilar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
74.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
75.3%
Erich Toth punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:0676% → 77%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+19
76.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 19 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
77.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+16
77.6%
Maty Mauk run for 16 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Wesley LeftwichSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
77.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 11 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
78.2%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+17
78.0%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 17 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.9%
Marcus Murphy run for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q2 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
76.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
77.3%
Andrew Baggett 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
19 plays · 69 yds · 2:3523% → 31%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
77.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 14 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
75.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for 9 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
74.1%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 7 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
73.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
72.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
72.8%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
74.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
73.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 5 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
72.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to J-Shun Harris IISimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+16
71.9%
Devine Redding run for 16 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
71.3%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
71.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Misso 6Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
69.0%
Aaron Del Grosso 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
73.7%
Maty Mauk pass intercepted Mark Murphy return for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2733% → 31%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
66.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-9
66.2%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Shane Ray for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 16
OPP 31
+7
69.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 7 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+41
68.9%
Aaron Del Grosso 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:3273% → 69%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
72.9%
Maty Mauk run for 6 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
73.5%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius WhiteSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
71.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+10
70.6%
Harold Brantley run for 10 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
73.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Darius White) to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
71.5%
Maty Mauk run for no gain to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
71.1%
Maty Mauk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
69.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius WhiteSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
69.2%
Christian Brinser punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:4932% → 31%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
68.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 12 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
66.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+20
69.2%
Erich Toth punt for 39 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 20 yds to the Misso 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4973% → 70%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
73.2%
Maty Mauk run for 4 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
73.4%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
72.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Jimmie HuntSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
70.4%
Christian Brinser punt for 35 yds, fair catch by J-Shun Harris II at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:3933% → 32%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
67.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 11 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
67.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 7 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
65.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
64.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
65.4%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+1
66.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+7
67.8%
Erich Toth punt for 52 yds , Marcus Murphy returns for 7 yds to the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 18 yds · 5:2469% → 64%
Q3 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
69.2%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 8 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
69.8%
Marcus Murphy run for 4 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
69.4%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
69.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
67.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 11 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
69.9%
Maty Mauk run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-4
71.5%
Maty Mauk run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+13
67.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 13 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
71.5%
Russell Hansbrough run for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-7
70.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Russell Hansbrough for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 17
OWN 46
-5
66.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 41Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 22
OWN 41
-10
65.7%
Maty Mauk sacked by Tegray Scales for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 32
OWN 31
0
63.5%
Christian Brinser punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ind 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:1038% → 64%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+49
62.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 49 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
35.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 33 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:1844% → 71%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
44.3%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 16 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius WhiteSimilar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+22
42.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 22 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
47.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 3 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+19
47.8%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 19 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
47.2%
Marcus Murphy run for 3 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+7
46.1%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 7 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2539% → 37%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
60.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 29 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ralston Evans) to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 16
OWN 19
+5
60.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
60.6%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
62.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
63.5%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5766% → 64%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
66.0%
Russell Hansbrough run for 4 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
67.7%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 5 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+1
66.9%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
67.3%
Maty Mauk run for 9 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-2
68.0%
Maty Mauk run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
66.9%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
63.8%
Christian Brinser punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ind 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5642% → 47%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
58.4%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+13
57.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 13 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+17
56.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 17 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
52.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 7 yds to the Misso 49Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
49.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+1
50.8%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
52.8%
Erich Toth punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Murphy at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 4:0560% → 85%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
59.6%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+11
59.7%
Maty Mauk run for 11 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
59.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 26 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.8%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Darius WhiteSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
63.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Darius White for 11 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
65.4%
Marcus Murphy run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+20
65.2%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 20 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
68.9%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Bud Sasser for 2 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+1
68.8%
Russell Hansbrough run for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-5
64.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Brad McNulty) to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
62.6%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Bud SasserSimilar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
84.7%
Andrew Baggett 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:3825% → 96%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
75.3%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
74.2%
Nate Sudfeld run for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
73.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Anthony Corsaro) to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 1:17
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
77.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
79.5%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kenya Dennis) to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+52
67.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Tevin Coleman for 44 yds to the MISSOURI 15 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
64.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:1815% → 18%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
14.5%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Jimmie Hunt for 7 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
15.7%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Russell HansbroughSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
14.3%
Maty Mauk pass incomplete to Marcus MurphySimilar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+20
13.7%
Mauk, Maty pass complete to Sasser, Bud for 11 yards to the MISSOURI43, Lee, Lawrence for loss of 3 yards to the MISSOURI40, PENALTY INDIANA roughing passer 20 yards to the INDIANA48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
17.6%
Maty Mauk pass complete to Marcus Murphy for 16 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:22
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-52.6
TD · Q3 0:54
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J-Shun Harris II for 33 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-26.9
TD · Q4 13:20
Maty Mauk pass complete to Sean Culkin for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Baggett KICK)
+24.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com