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INST

Indiana State 10 at Indiana 28

IU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:03 · Devine Redding run for no gain to the IndSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Pregame prior+20.5Home team on offense+14.4Garbage-time factor+8.2Score differential+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:46: D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK) — IU win probability +2.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:03: Buck Logan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK) — INST win probability +6.1 pts (now 10%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:03: Eric Heidorn kickoff for 64 yds , J Harris Ii return for 25 yds to the Ind 26 — IU win probability +2.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:10: LeMonte Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 27 — INST win probability +2.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:15: Myles Graham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK) — IU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4INST made the numbers' call on 3 of 10
  1. Q1 11:03INST 4th & 3 at IU 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16INST 4th & 3 at IU 32, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.1
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46INST 4th & 8 at IU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54INST 4th & 6 at IU 29, down 11
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−<0.1
    58% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:48IU 4th & 8 at IU 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:36IU 4th & 15 at IU 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:02INST 4th & 2 at IU 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.5
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00IU 4th & 5 at IU 14, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:44INST 4th & 4 at IU 41, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:03IU 4th & 1 at IU 29, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00INST 4th & 12 at IU 27, down 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.4 ptsPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%
    62% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:00INST 4th & 10 at IU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:27INST 4th & 10 at IU 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:27INST 4th & 27 at IU 32, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4INST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:16IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:06IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:46IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:03INST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:15IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
INSTDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:574% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
96.2%
Mike Perish pass complete to Gary Owens for 9 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+23
96.2%
Buck Logan run for 23 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
96.2%
Mike Perish run for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
96.2%
Buck Logan run for 2 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+6
96.2%
Mike Perish pass complete to Chris O'Leary for 6 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+7
96.2%
Mike Perish pass complete to A.J. Johnson for 7 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
95.5%
Eric Heidorn 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:4796% → 95%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
95.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
95.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+13
95.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 13 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
95.6%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+25
95.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 25 yds to the IndSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
95.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the IndSt 24Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
95.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for 5 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
95.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the IndSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
95.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 13 yds for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
95.0%
Mike Perish pass complete to Gary Owens for 4 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
95.0%
Buck Logan run for 2 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
95.2%
Osborn Umeh punt for 31 yds , J Harris Ii returns for no gain to the Ind 41 J Harris Ii fumbled, recovered by IndSt Joshua AppelSimilar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+1
95.1%
Mike Perish run for 1 yd to the IndSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4FG
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:215% → 6%
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.7%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
94.7%
Mike Perish pass complete to A.J. Johnson for 11 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
94.6%
INDIANA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
94.6%
LeMonte Booker run for 2 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
94.6%
Chris O'Leary pass incomplete to Mike PerishSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
94.7%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
94.0%
Eric Heidorn 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 81 yds · 0:4094% → 95%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
94.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+73
94.9%
Tevin Coleman run for 73 yds for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:126% → 5%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.5%
Mike Perish pass complete to Chris O'Leary for 5 yds to the IndSt 30Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 5
OPP 30
-1
94.5%
Buck Logan run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 29Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
94.6%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Chris O'LearySimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+56
94.8%
Osborn Umeh punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the INDIANA 30 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.0%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
95.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Damon Graham, broken up by Mark SewallSimilar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
94.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to J Harris Ii, broken up by Kendall WalkerSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
94.7%
Erich Toth punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mark Sewall at the IndSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 0:546% → 5%
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-7
94.3%
INDIANA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-7 Yards) to the IndSt 8Similar
Q1 0:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
94.3%
LeMonte Booker run for 8 yds to the IndSt 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
94.1%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+10
94.3%
Mike Perish pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 10 yds to the IndSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-6
94.1%
Mike Perish sacked by Bobby Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the IndSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 20
-10
94.3%
Mike Perish sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 10 yards to the IndSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
94.5%
Mike Perish pass complete to A.J. Johnson for 4 yds to the IndSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
0
94.7%
Osborn Umeh punt for 51 yds, fair catch by J Harris Ii at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 4:3695% → 93%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
94.6%
Tevin Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+13
94.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
94.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 11 yds to the IndSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
94.8%
Nate Sudfeld run for 6 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
94.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
94.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the IndSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the IndSt 30Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-3
94.6%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Connor Underwood for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 33Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-2
94.4%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Antonio Broadus for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 35Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Erich Toth punt for 31 yds, downed at the IndSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.9%
Buck Logan run for 2 yds to the IndSt 6Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
92.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the IndSt 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by IndStSimilar
Q2 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.4%
Mike Perish run for no gain to the IndSt 1Similar
Q2 7:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+14
93.9%
Osborn Umeh punt for 45 yds , J Harris Ii returns for 14 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:3794% → 96%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the IndSt 28Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+9
93.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 9 yds to the IndSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
93.5%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the IndSt 19Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
93.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 10 yds to the IndSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 0
OWN 9
+3
93.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the IndSt 6Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 0
OWN 6
+4
93.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the IndSt 2Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 2
OWN 2
+2
95.5%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:445% → 5%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.7%
LeMonte Booker run for 4 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
94.7%
LeMonte Booker run for 2 yds to the IndSt 31Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
94.7%
Mike Perish run for 2 yds to the IndSt 33Similar
Q2 2:02
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
94.9%
Osborn Umeh punt for 58 yds, fair catch by J Harris Ii at the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
96.4%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 12
-5
96.3%
INDIANA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Ind 7Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+2
96.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 9
+11
96.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 11 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 66 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
95.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Stoner for 9 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 28
0
95.7%
Tevin Coleman run for no gain to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+7
95.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 7 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.7%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
95.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for no gain to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+11
95.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for 11 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
95.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs for 34 yds to the IndSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
95.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+9
95.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs for 9 yds to the IndSt 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-2
95.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaiah Roundtree for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 14Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 14
-1
95.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.8%
Buck Logan run for no gain to the IndSt 15Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+20
94.8%
Mike Perish pass complete to Jamar Brown for 20 yds to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
94.9%
Mike Perish pass complete to Kyani Harris for 7 yds to the IndSt 42Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
95.1%
Mike Perish pass complete to Logan Buske for 1 yd to the IndSt 43Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-2
95.2%
Buck Logan run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 41Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Osborn Umeh punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16INT
12 plays · 55 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
97.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Shane Wynn for 8 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+4
97.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
97.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+6
97.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
97.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for 9 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+1
97.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 1 yd to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs, broken up by Travon ClaybourneSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
97.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 3 yds to the IndSt 48Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+14
97.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs for 14 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.2%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 4 yds to the IndSt 30Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
97.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J Harris Ii for no gain to the IndSt 30Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+60
97.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass intercepted Travis Starks return for 60 yds to the Ind 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 17TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:324% → 10%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
96.0%
Mike Perish pass complete to Jamar Brown for 11 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.0%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q3 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
89.9%
Buck Logan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
92.5%
Tevin Coleman run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+12
92.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 12 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
93.1%
Tevin Coleman run for 16 yds to the IndSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
92.9%
INDIANA Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 43Similar
Q3 3:03
1ST & 15
OWN 43
0
92.9%
J Harris Ii run for no gain to the IndSt 43Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 15
OWN 43
0
92.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Shane WynnSimilar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+14
92.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 14 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
91.7%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the IndSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:1011% → 8%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
89.1%
LeMonte Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
89.4%
Mike Perish pass complete to LeMonte Booker for no gain to the IndSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
90.5%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Jamar BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
0
91.7%
Osborn Umeh punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:5193% → 93%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
92.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+5
92.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 5 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+12
92.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to J Harris Ii for 12 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.2%
Myles Graham run for 9 yds to the IndSt 46Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
93.2%
Myles Graham run for 5 yds to the IndSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
93.1%
Nate Sudfeld run for 4 yds to the IndSt 37Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
92.9%
Myles Graham run for 5 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
92.4%
Myles Graham run for 4 yds to the IndSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
92.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 6 yds to the IndSt 22Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+16
92.6%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 16 yds to the IndSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 0
OWN 6
-1
94.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 7Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 0
OWN 7
-2
94.3%
D'Angelo Roberts run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 9Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 0
OWN 9
0
94.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick StonerSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 0
OWN 9
+26
93.4%
Aaron Del Grosso 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:008% → 6%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
92.0%
Mike Perish pass complete to Logan Buske for 8 yds to the IndSt 28Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+19
92.0%
Buck Logan run for 19 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.9%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
93.0%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
93.4%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
94.2%
Osborn Umeh punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shane Wynn at the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 4:4695% → 99%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
94.7%
Tevin Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+31
94.8%
Tevin Coleman run for 31 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.2%
Tevin Coleman run for 10 yds to the IndSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
94.9%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 19 yds to the IndSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
94.7%
D'Angelo Roberts run for 7 yds to the IndSt 11Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 11
-5
94.6%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Shane Wynn) to the IndSt 16Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+9
94.6%
Myles Graham run for 9 yds to the IndSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 0
OWN 7
-1
96.0%
Myles Graham run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 8Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 0
OWN 8
+7
95.9%
Myles Graham run for 7 yds to the IndSt 1Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 1
OWN 1
+1
99.1%
Myles Graham run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Del Grosso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 17 yds · 0:482% → 2%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
98.1%
Buck Logan run for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 22Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 13
OPP 22
+16
98.2%
Mike Perish pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 16 yds to the IndSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.4%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Robert Tonyan Jr.Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.4%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
98.4%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to N/A INDIANA ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+11
98.4%
Mike Perish pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 11 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
98.5%
Mike Perish sacked by Bobby Richardson for a loss of 11 yards to the IndSt 38Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 21
OPP 38
0
98.4%
Mike Perish pass incomplete to Buck LoganSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 21
OPP 38
-6
98.5%
Mike Perish sacked by Bobby Richardson for a loss of 6 yards to the IndSt 32Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 27
OPP 32
+10
98.5%
Mike Perish pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 10 yds to the IndSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.6%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the IndSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:03
Buck Logan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK)
-6.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 0:10
LeMonte Booker run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 27
-2.6
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:03
Eric Heidorn kickoff for 64 yds , J Harris Ii return for 25 yds to the Ind 26
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com