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ILL

Illinois 14 at Ohio State 55

OSU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:14 · Justin DuVernois punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+32.4Score differential+26.0Blowout margin+14.0Garbage-time factor+6.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:25: Curtis Samuel run for 23 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 6:47: Sean Nuernberger 44 yd FG GOOD — OSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:30: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 32 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:43: Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:20: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5ILL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:41ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:47OSU 4th & 3 at ILL 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:17ILL 4th & 20 at OSU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00OSU 4th & 2 at ILL 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    95.6%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:56ILL 4th & 2 at OSU 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:08OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 47, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:37ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 18, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:38OSU 4th & 1 at ILL 1, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:34ILL 4th & 8 at ILL 4, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:31OSU 4th & 5 at ILL 9, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:14ILL 4th & 14 at ILL 12, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:47ILL 4th & 4 at OSU 35, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:25OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:30OSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:43OSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20OSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:56OSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:20OSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:48ILL Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:21OSU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:55ILL Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1INT
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:473% → 3%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
97.2%
Josh Ferguson run for 6 yds to the Illin 45Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
97.2%
Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+2
97.1%
Reilly O'Toole run for 2 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
97.1%
Reilly O'Toole run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 48Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+7
97.0%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 7 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-5
97.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Simon Cvijanovic) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 9
50
+5
96.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
96.9%
O'Toole, Reilly pass incomplete to Dudek, Mike, PENALTY ILLINOIS illegal block (Spencer, Joe) off-setting, PENALTY OHIOST Pass Interference (Underwood, Antonio) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+6
96.8%
Reilly O'Toole run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+26
96.8%
Reilly O'Toole pass intercepted Darron Lee return for 26 yds to the Illin 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:2597% → 97%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Evan Spencer for 15 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
96.8%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jeff HeuermanSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
96.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 23 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:343% → 3%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.9%
Reilly O'Toole run for no gain to the Illin 25Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.8%
Reilly O'Toole sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 22Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Reilly O'Toole pass incomplete to Josh FergusonSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Justin DuVernois punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:4397% → 96%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
96.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jeff HeuermanSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
96.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 21 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Nick VannettSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
96.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 14 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
96.6%
Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+7
96.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jeff Heuerman for 7 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q1 6:47
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
96.4%
Sean Nuernberger 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
96.2%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Mike Dudek for 56 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
96.0%
Reilly O'Toole pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
96.0%
Reilly O'Toole run for 5 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-15
96.0%
O'Toole, Reilly pass complete to Turner, Malik for 11 yards to the OHIOST3, PENALTY ILLINOIS illegal block 15 yards to the OHIOST29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 20
OPP 29
0
96.0%
Reilly O'Toole pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 20
OPP 29
+47
96.1%
David Reisner 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:3096% → 97%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
96.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 6 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
96.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
96.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for no gain to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+18
95.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 18 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.0%
Jalin Marshall run for 5 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
95.9%
Jalin Marshall run for 2 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
95.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
97.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 32 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:543% → 3%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.7%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Simon Cvijanovic) to the Illin 20Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-3
96.7%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Josh Ferguson for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+8
96.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 8 yds to the Illin 25 Josh Ferguson fumbled, forced by Tyvis Powell, recovered by OhSt Adolphus WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3197% → 97%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+8
97.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 8 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
96.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 17
-2
96.8%
J.T. Barrett sacked for a loss of 2 yards (Teitsma, Austin) to the Illin 19 Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
96.8%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Mike Dudek for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 17Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+2
96.7%
Reilly O'Toole pass intercepted Curtis Grant return for 2 yds to the Illin 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:2297% → 98%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
97.0%
Curtis Samuel run for 4 yds to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
97.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
97.0%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Illin 11Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
97.0%
Curtis Samuel run for 3 yds to the Illin 8Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+7
97.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:342% → 3%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
97.6%
Aaron Bailey run for 7 yds to the Illin 48Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-2
97.5%
Aaron Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+17
97.6%
Aaron Bailey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Joey Bosa) to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
97.5%
Donovonn Young run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+15
97.4%
Aaron Bailey run for 15 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
97.4%
Aaron Bailey run for 2 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
97.4%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
97.5%
Aaron Bailey run for 6 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 2
OPP 12
-2
97.4%
Aaron Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4298% → 98%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
98.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+7
98.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Evan Spencer for 7 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
98.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Devin SmithSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+7
98.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
98.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for no gain to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
98.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 35 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for no gain to the Illin 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:232% → 2%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.7%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Matt LaCosse for 3 yds to the Illin 21Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-3
97.8%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Malik Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 18Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
97.8%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q2 2:37
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
97.8%
Justin DuVernois punt for 38 yds, downed at the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
98.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Illin 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+32
98.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 32 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.4%
Curtis Samuel run for 8 yds to the Illin 1Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
98.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Johnnie Dixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:462% → 2%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
97.8%
Donovonn Young run for 1 yd to the Illin 3Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
97.9%
Reilly O'Toole pass incomplete to Jon DavisSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+1
97.9%
Donovonn Young run for 1 yd to the Illin 4Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+28
97.8%
Justin DuVernois punt for 49 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 28 yds to the Illin 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0898% → 100%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
98.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 17 yds to the Illin 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.4%
Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Illin 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 22Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+14
99.6%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 14 yds to the OhSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Ezekiel ElliottSimilar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+22
99.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 22 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.7%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-1
99.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 27Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+27
99.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 27 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Matt LaCosseSimilar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.7%
Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 24Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-10
99.7%
Aaron Bailey sacked by Steve Miller for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 14 Aaron Bailey fumbled, forced by Steve Miller, recovered by OhSt Curtis Grant , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
99.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the Illin 10Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+1
99.8%
Cardale Jones run for 1 yd to the Illin 9Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
99.8%
Sean Nuernberger 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.8%
Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Reilly O'Toole pass incomplete to Justin HardeeSimilar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-7
99.8%
Reilly O'Toole sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
99.8%
Justin DuVernois punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Noah Brown for 9 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+12
99.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 12 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Jalin Marshall run for 30 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Josh Ferguson run for 6 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
99.8%
Josh Ferguson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
50
-3
99.8%
Aaron Bailey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 47 Aaron Bailey fumbled, recovered by Illin Aaron BaileySimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+14
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Mike Dudek for 14 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Donovonn Young run for no gain to the OhSt 39Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+19
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Malik Turner for 19 yds to the OhSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.8%
Donovonn Young run for 4 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-10
99.8%
Bailey, Aaron rush for 13 yards to the OHIOST3, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding (Hill, Alex) 10 yards to the OHIOST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 16
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q3 3:28
3RD & 16
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for 13 yds to the OhSt 13Similar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+5
99.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Raekwon McMillan) to the OhSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Bailey, Aaron pass sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OHIOST15 (McMillan, Raekwon), PENALTY OHIOST face mask (McMillan, Raekwon) 4 yards to the OHIOST4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 5Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Donovonn Young run for 5 yds for a TD, (David Reisner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 6 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Jalin Marshall run for 2 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Jalin Marshall run for 3 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for 12 yds to the Illin 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for 8 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 19 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 5 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OWN 27
-3
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 24Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+11
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Malik Turner for 11 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.9%
Bailey, Aaron pass incomplete to Dudek, Mike, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Smith, Erick) 12 yards to the ILLINOIS47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ILLINOIS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Devin Church run for 3 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for 5 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Tyler White for 4 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Mike DudekSimilar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 4
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Warren Ball run for 9 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Warren Ball run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
99.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jeff Greene for 13 yds Jeff Greene fumbled, forced by Mason Monheim, recovered by Illin Clayton Fejedelem , return for 16 yds to the OhSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 27TD
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Donovonn Young run for 3 yds to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+6
100.0%
Donovonn Young run for 6 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for 5 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Aaron Bailey run for 4 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+19
100.0%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Justin Hardee for 19 yds to the OhSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Aaron Bailey run for no gain to the OhSt 7Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Aaron Bailey pass complete to Matt LaCosse for 7 yds for a TD, (David Reisner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:30100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Warren Ball run for 5 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+7
99.9%
Warren Ball run for 7 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Cardale Jones run for 7 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Cardale Jones run for 5 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jeff GreeneSimilar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
100.0%
Warren Ball run for 4 yds to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+11
100.0%
Cardale Jones run for 11 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Cardale Jones run for 3 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+7
100.0%
Warren Ball run for 7 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Illin 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:30
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 32 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 11:43
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q2 0:20
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 8 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com