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ILL

Illinois 19 at Washington 44

WASH
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadILL aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.1WASH 99.7%Cameron Van Winkle 51 yd FG GOODAWAY 19 - HOME 44 · Q4 6:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:21 · Cameron Van Winkle 51 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Home team on offense+34.9Pregame prior+4.1Score differential+15.1Garbage-time factor+12.9Blowout margin+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:11: Wes Lunt pass intercepted for a TD Shaq Thompson return for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +3.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 11:27: Team Safety — WASH win probability +6.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:33: Shaq Thompson 52 Yd Fumble Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +3.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:17: Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 60 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +4.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:34: Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 27 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +6.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 2 of 7ILL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 13:00WASH 4th & 2 at ILL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00ILL 4th & 1 at WASH 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    15.9%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:47ILL 4th & 5 at WASH 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:30ILL 4th & 18 at ILL 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:40ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 35, down 25
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:32ILL 4th & 13 at ILL 26, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:25WASH 4th & 3 at ILL 43, up 30
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:26WASH 4th & 2 at ILL 37, up 26
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.6
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:55ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 5, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:34WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 49, up 19
    Close callPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:03ILL 4th & 6 at ILL 17, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:54WASH 4th & 5 at ILL 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:21ILL 4th & 12 at ILL 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:21WASH 4th & 6 at ILL 34, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:31ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:30WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 32, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ILL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:16WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:34WASH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:11WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:33WASH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:17ILL Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:34ILL Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:2984% → 84%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
83.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Illin 44Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+9
83.6%
Cyler Miles run for 9 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
83.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Illin 32Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+11
83.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 11 yds to the Illin 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
83.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
83.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 4 yds to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
83.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Illin 13Similar
Q1 13:00
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+2
83.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Illin 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
83.4%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 12Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+9
83.4%
Cyler Miles run for 9 yds to the Illin 3Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
83.7%
Jesse Callier run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:1517% → 18%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
83.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Mike Dudek for 15 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
83.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Martize Barr for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
83.0%
Josh Ferguson run for 11 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
82.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Mike Dudek for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
82.9%
Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+4
83.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Mike Dudek for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+7
83.1%
Jon Davis run for 7 yds to the Wash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
82.7%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 4 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
82.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Wash 8Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
82.9%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Josh FergusonSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
81.6%
Taylor Zalewski 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
83.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to John Ross for 75 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4INT TD
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1717% → 13%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Ferguson, Josh rush for 7 yards to the ILLINOIS32, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding 0 yards to the ILLINOIS15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
83.3%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+11
83.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 11 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+36
86.9%
Wes Lunt pass intercepted for a TD Shaq Thompson return for 36 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:2313% → 13%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
86.9%
Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Illin 35Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 18
OWN 27
0
87.2%
Justin DuVernois punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 25Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-8
87.1%
Wes Lunt sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2687% → 89%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.0%
Jaydon Mickens run for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
87.2%
Jesse Callier run for 8 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+28
87.7%
Marvin Hall pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 28 yds to the Illin 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
87.8%
Marvin Hall pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 4 yds to the Illin 26Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+7
87.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 7 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
87.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Kendyl Taylor for 4 yds to the Illin 15Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
88.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 3 yds to the Illin 12Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+12
89.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0310% → 10%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
89.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 21Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+4
89.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Mike Dudek for 4 yds to the Illin 25Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 12
OWN 25
-5
90.4%
ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+15
89.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 15 yds to the Illin 35Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
90.2%
Justin DuVernois punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8SF
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:0091% → 92%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-2
91.1%
Dwayne Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 12
OWN 6
-5
90.8%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Wash 1Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 17
OWN 1
0
85.7%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:27
4TH & 17
OWN 1
0
92.1%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:328% → 5%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
91.6%
Donovonn Young run for 9 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 47
-52
95.2%
Shaq Thompson 52 Yd Fumble Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:344% → 3%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
95.9%
Josh Ferguson run for 4 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
95.7%
Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Illin 33Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-7
95.9%
Wes Lunt sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 26Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 13
OWN 26
0
96.6%
Justin DuVernois punt for 52 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 26 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11PUNT
15 plays · 52 yds · 4:5095% → 98%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
95.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 13 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
96.3%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
96.3%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Lavon Washington for 5 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
96.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 12 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
96.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
96.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 15
OWN 49
-4
96.9%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 19
OWN 45
-8
97.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 47 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 37Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 27
OWN 37
+8
97.1%
Jesse Callier run for 8 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 19
OWN 45
-3
97.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-3 Yards) to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 29
OWN 35
+15
97.2%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to Lavon Coleman for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
50
0
97.4%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 10
50
+4
97.4%
Jesse Callier run for 4 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+3
98.0%
Jesse Callier run for 3 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
97.9%
Cyler Miles punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:012% → 6%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.0%
Donovonn Young run for 7 yds to the Illin 27Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+4
97.8%
Donovonn Young run for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Donovonn Young run for no gain to the Illin 31Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Donovonn Young for 3 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
98.4%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (6 Yards) to the Illin 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
93.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 60 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
15 plays · 79 yds · 0:5496% → 98%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
95.7%
Cyler Miles run for 3 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
96.2%
Jesse Callier run for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+28
96.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 28 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
96.7%
Cyler Miles run for 5 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
96.7%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+15
96.6%
Miles, Cyler rush for 1 yard to the WASHINGTON48, PENALTY ILLINOIS face mask 15 yards to the ILLINOIS38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
96.6%
Cyler Miles pass complete to DiAndre Campbell for 25 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.7%
Miles, Cyler pass incomplete, PENALTY ILLINOIS face mask 0 yards to the ILLINOIS6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 0
OPP 6
0
96.7%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Illin 3Similar
Q2 0:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.6%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.5%
Cyler Miles pass incomplete to DiAndre CampbellSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
97.8%
Cameron Van Winkle 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:193% → 2%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
97.3%
Josh Ferguson run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
50
+17
97.6%
Josh Ferguson run for 17 yds to the Wash 33 Josh Ferguson fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Wash Hau'oli KikahaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:5598% → 98%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Shaq Thompson run for no gain to the Wash 33Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
98.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 13 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.0%
Shaq Thompson run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
98.3%
Cyler Miles sacked by Jihad Ward for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.3%
Cyler Miles run for no gain to the Illin 45Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 5 yds to the Illin 40Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
98.4%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
98.2%
Korey Durkee punt for 32 yds, downed at the Illin 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:252% → 2%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
98.2%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
98.2%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
98.2%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 10
OWN 5
+8
98.3%
Justin DuVernois punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 8 yds to the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:4199% → 99%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
98.5%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 6 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
98.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
98.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
98.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-3
98.7%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Illin 28 WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-3 Yards) to the Illin 31Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 3
OPP 31
-3
98.6%
Cyler Miles run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 34 Cyler Miles fumbled, forced by Jarrod Clements, recovered by Illin Carroll PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 18TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:241% → 7%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.0%
Josh Ferguson run for 2 yds to the Illin 47Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+36
99.1%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 36 yds to the Wash 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
98.9%
Lunt, Wes pass incomplete, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+27
92.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 27 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:5096% → 96%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.9%
Jesse Callier run for 15 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.1%
Jesse Callier run for 4 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
96.3%
Jesse Callier run for 5 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
96.2%
Jesse Callier run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
96.1%
Korey Durkee punt for 38 yds, downed at the Illin 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
94.6%
Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 12Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+5
94.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Justin Hardee for 5 yds to the Illin 17Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
94.8%
Wes Lunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+26
95.0%
Justin DuVernois punt for 61 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 26 yds to the Wash 49 Dante Pettis fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:0497% → 99%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
96.7%
Jesse Callier run for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+20
96.9%
Cyler Miles pass complete to Jaydon Mickens for 20 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
96.8%
Dwayne Washington run for 1 yd to the Illin 25Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-15
96.9%
Washington, Dwayne rush for 9 yards to the ILLINOIS16, PENALTY WASHINGTON illegal block 15 yards to the ILLINOIS40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 24
OPP 40
+7
96.5%
Dwayne Washington run for 7 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 17
OPP 33
+19
96.5%
Cyler Miles run for 19 yds to the Illin 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-7
96.8%
John Ross run for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 17
OPP 21
+12
97.4%
Cyler Miles run for 12 yds to the Illin 9Similar
Q4 14:59
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
97.4%
Jaydon Mickens pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+25
98.9%
Cameron Van Winkle 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:242% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 20 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.4%
Justin Hardee run for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-2
98.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Jon Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-6
98.6%
Wes Lunt sacked by Hau'oli Kikaha for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 12
OWN 43
+14
98.8%
Justin DuVernois punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 14 yds to the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 23FG
12 plays · 43 yds · 5:4799% → 100%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
99.1%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
99.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
99.2%
Dwayne Washington run for 4 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 8 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
99.3%
Dwayne Washington run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
99.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Illin 37Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+3
99.6%
Dwayne Washington run for 3 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Cyler Miles pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:21
4TH & 6
OPP 34
+51
99.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:391% → 1%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Reilly O'Toole run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
99.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Illin 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
99.3%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Justin DuVernois punt for 49 yds, downed at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Korey Durkee punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 26END OF GAME
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.3%
Reilly O'Toole run for 2 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-10
99.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 33Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+20
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Devin Church for 20 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Mike Dudek for 18 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Devin Church for 4 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole run for 7 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole pass complete to Donovonn Young for 7 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
-1
99.4%
Reilly O'Toole sacked by Jarett Finau for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SAFETY · Q2 11:27
Team Safety
+6.4
TD · Q3 7:34
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 27 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 1:17
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 60 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
-4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com