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ISU

Iowa State 3 at TCU 55

TCU
2014 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2014 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:18: Aaron Green run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:47: Cole Netten 26 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +0.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:57: Jaden Oberkrom 39 yd FG GOOD — TCU win probability +0.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:54: Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 54 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +2.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:41: Sam B. Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Kindred return for 44 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK) — TCU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:57ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:44TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:58ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:52ISU 4th & 5 at TCU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:47ISU 4th & 7 at TCU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:10TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 49, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:50ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:57TCU 4th & 15 at ISU 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:58ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:41TCU 4th & 19 at TCU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−0.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:47ISU 4th & 15 at ISU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:17ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:36TCU 4th & 6 at ISU 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:21ISU 4th & 6 at TCU 22, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:52ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:15ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 33, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:10ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 31, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:08TCU 4th & 1 at ISU 24, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:05TCU 4th & 6 at ISU 6, up 52
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:10ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 27, down 52
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:30TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:18TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:54TCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:41TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:42TCU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:42TCU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:34TCU Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:523% → 3%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.2%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
97.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q1 13:57
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
97.1%
Colin Downing punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4697% → 97%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 8 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
97.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 1 yd to the TCU 39Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+1
97.0%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Kenneth LynnSimilar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.9%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Sam E. RichardsonSimilar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Ethan Perry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IowSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:323% → 4%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
96.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
96.6%
Sam B. Richardson run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 27Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Ranthony TexadaSimilar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+4
96.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 4 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+4
96.5%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 4 yds to the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:2197% → 97%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
96.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
96.8%
David Porter pass complete to Trevone Boykin for 55 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:293% → 4%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 17 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.5%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+10
96.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Tad Ecby for 10 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.4%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the TCU 45Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to DeVondrick Nealy, broken up by James McFarlandSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+5
96.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 5 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q1 6:52
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
96.3%
Holden Kramer punt for 26 yds, downed at the TCU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 86 yds · 3:1296% → 97%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
96.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 3 yds to the TCU 17Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+10
96.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 10 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
96.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 5 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+11
96.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 11 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
96.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 3
50
+5
96.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 5 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+7
96.2%
Aaron Green run for 7 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
96.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+24
96.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 24 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
96.1%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the IowSt 3Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7FG
15 plays · 68 yds · 5:244% → 5%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Ben BoesenSimilar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
96.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 14 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
96.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+24
96.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for 24 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.1%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
96.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 9 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
96.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 4 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
95.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 12 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
95.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
95.7%
Sam B. Richardson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
95.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Ben BoesenSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
95.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 5 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
95.3%
Cole Netten 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:3196% → 95%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
95.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
95.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 37Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty Slanina, broken up by Kamari Cotton-MoyaSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+12
95.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 12 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IowSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:135% → 5%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
95.0%
Aaron Wimberly run for 15 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
94.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 4
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis West, broken up by Sam CarterSimilar
Q2 9:50
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
94.9%
Colin Downing punt for 48 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for no gain to the TCU 32 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (Dominic Merka) to the TCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:4595% → 95%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
95.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 29 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
95.3%
Boykin, Trevone rush right for 3 yards to the TCU42, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TCU illegal formation 5 yards to the TCU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+49
95.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 49 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
95.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 7 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-12
95.3%
Kyle Hicks run for a loss of 12 yards to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
94.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
95.3%
Jaden Oberkrom 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:425% → 5%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
95.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 18Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 14
OWN 18
0
95.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad EcbySimilar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 14
OWN 18
0
95.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Aaron WimberlySimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
95.5%
Colin Downing punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:1095% → 95%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
95.4%
Boykin, Trevone pass complete to Gray, Deante' for 22 yards to the IOWAST41, PENALTY TCU pass interference (Porter, Emanuel) 15 yards to the TCU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+7
95.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 7 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 18
OWN 29
-1
95.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 19
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kyle Hicks, broken up by Nigel TribuneSimilar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Ethan Perry punt for 47 yds , Jarvis West returns for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:335% → 5%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.1%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Terrell Lathan and Chucky Hunter for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
95.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
95.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-2
95.2%
Colin Downing punt for 39 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 39 Cameron Echols-Luper fumbled, recovered by IowSt Josh JahlasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.5%
Jarvis West pass intercepted Ranthony Texada return for no gain to the TCU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15INT
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:4395% → 96%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
94.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 11 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
94.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 17 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
95.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+18
95.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 18 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
95.3%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+16
95.3%
Aaron Green run for 16 yds to the IowSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
95.4%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-2
95.8%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Dale Pierson for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
95.6%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted, touchback. Sam E. Richardson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
95.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5596% → 98%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 14 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
95.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 7 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
98.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 54 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:132% → 2%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.0%
Aaron Wimberly run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for no gain to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-3
98.0%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Chucky Hunter for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+15
98.1%
Downing, Colin punt 38 yards to the TCU39, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TCU roughing the kicker (Douglas, Sammy) 15 yards to the IOWAST38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Ben Boesen, broken up by Paul DawsonSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
98.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Ranthony TexadaSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
98.0%
Colin Downing punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 2:3499% → 99%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
98.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+10
98.5%
Aaron Green run for 10 yds to the IOWAST 42 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Substitution Infraction (TEAM) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
98.5%
Echols-Luper, Cameron rush over right end for 3 yards to the IOWAST39, PENALTY TCU illegal formation 5 yards to the IOWAST47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+7
98.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 7 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+12
98.6%
Aaron Green run for 12 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
98.6%
Aaron Green run for 18 yds to the IowSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.6%
Trevone Boykin run for no gain to the IowSt 10Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.6%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the IowSt 6Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q3 8:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
98.5%
Jaden Oberkrom 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20INT TD
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:392% → 0%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
98.5%
DeVondrick Nealy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 23Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
98.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 12 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Quan WestSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
98.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 1 yd to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+44
99.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Kindred return for 44 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 53 yds · 1:390% → 1%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Tyler Brown run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+45
99.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 45 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 6
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.8%
Deante' Gray run for 5 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+14
99.8%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference (Lynn, Kenneth) 14 yards to the TCU41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 6 yds to the TCU 47Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 9 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 10 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 16 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David Porter, broken up by Drake FerchSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Emanuel Porter, broken up by Sam E. RichardsonSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 18 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:280% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Quan WestSimilar
Q3 0:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 0:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24TD
1 play · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 45 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 33Similar
Q4 14:23
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Colin Downing punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Desmon White run for 6 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+38
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Emanuel Porter for 38 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
99.9%
Aaron Green run for 19 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 14 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
Martinez Syria run for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
100.0%
Martinez Syria run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Colin Downing punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28DOWNS
16 plays · 63 yds · 6:45100% → 100%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 6 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Bram Kohlhausen pass incomplete to Charlie ReidSimilar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Desmon White for 5 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 12 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 33 Trevorris Johnson fumbled, recovered by TCU Cliff Murphy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Cliff Murphy run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Cliff Murphy run for no gain to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
100.0%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Phil Taylor for 5 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 6:08
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+17
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 17 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
100.0%
Bram Kohlhausen run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
100.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the IowSt 6Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29DOWNS
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
100.0%
Tyler Brown run for 8 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+7
100.0%
Tyler Brown run for 7 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
100.0%
Tyler Brown run for 3 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tyler Brown run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 1:10
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-2
100.0%
Tyler Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:54
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 54 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q3 6:41
Sam B. Richardson pass intercepted for a TD Derrick Kindred return for 44 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
+1.3
TD · Q1 3:18
Aaron Green run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com