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OKST

Oklahoma State 38 at Oklahoma 35

OU
2014 · Week 15 · Dec 6, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:47 · Jed Barnett punt for 44 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 127Pregame prior+12.5Home team on offense+21.2Garbage-time factor+11.2Score differential+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Time remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:24: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +5.1 pts (now 18%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:53: Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +3.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:56: Desmond Roland run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +11.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:54: Aaron Ripkowski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:51: Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 43 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +11.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:29OU 4th & 9 at OU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:53OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:59OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:55OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:20OKST 4th & 7 at OU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 3:33OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:14OU 4th & 10 at OU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:08OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:47OU 4th & 14 at OU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 6:50OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 39, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:11OU 4th & 8 at OU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:56OU 4th & 4 at OU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:45OU 4th & 9 at OKST 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:15OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:32OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:57OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:24OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:53OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:09OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:56OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:54OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:51OKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4091% → 90%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.5%
Michiah Quick run for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
90.4%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
90.3%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+17
90.2%
Alex Ross run for 17 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
90.2%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+27
90.0%
Samaje Perine run for 27 yds to the OKSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:5810% → 12%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
90.1%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+21
90.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 21 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
89.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+10
89.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 10 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
89.6%
Tyreek Hill run for 7 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+6
89.4%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+26
89.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 26 yds to the Okla 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
89.3%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5189% → 88%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
88.7%
Sterling Shepard run for 4 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-1
88.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-2
88.1%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Michiah Quick for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 27Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
87.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2612% → 13%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
87.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 18 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
87.1%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 13
OPP 45
-6
86.8%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Steven Parker for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 19
OWN 49
0
87.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
87.2%
Kip Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:4387% → 89%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
87.0%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Okla 15Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+1
86.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 16Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+16
86.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Keith Ford for 16 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
86.4%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Okla 32Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+47
86.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Blake Bell for 47 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
87.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
86.8%
Cody Thomas run for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+11
86.4%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Keith Ford for 11 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
86.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OKSt 5Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.5%
Thomas, Cody pass incomplete to Smallwood, Jordan, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Richards, Ramon) 3 yards to the OKLAST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
86.4%
Cody Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
86.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.7%
Thomas, Cody pass incomplete to Bell, Blake, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Jacobs, Seth) 2 yards to the OKLAST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OKSt 1Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.5%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2813% → 18%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Zachary Crabtree) to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+15
88.0%
Rudolph, Mason pass incomplete to Glidden, David, PENALTY OKLAHOMA illegal use of hands (Tapper, Charles) 15 yards to the OKLAST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 11 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
87.0%
Desmond Roland run for 13 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
86.7%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+3
86.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+39
81.7%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0585% → 89%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
84.9%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+15
85.1%
Perine, Samaje rush for no gain to the OKLAST49, PENALTY OKLAST face mask (Simmons, Ryan) 15 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
85.3%
Keith Ford run for 10 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
85.0%
K.J. Young run for 10 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
85.0%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
88.8%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4413% → 12%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.4%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
87.2%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Zack SanchezSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
87.6%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 5:59
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
87.9%
Kip Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:4088% → 92%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
87.9%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+42
88.2%
Samaje Perine run for 42 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
88.6%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Blake Bell for 12 yds to the OKSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
88.5%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
88.5%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the OKSt 2Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.8%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:059% → 9%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
90.5%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
91.1%
Roland, Desmond rush for 11 yards to the OKLAST47, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Crabtree, Zachary) 10 yards to the OKLAST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+10
91.3%
Desmond Roland run for 10 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
91.2%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to James Washington for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Mason Rudolph run for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
91.3%
Kip Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3792% → 92%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
92.1%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
92.2%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:239% → 9%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
91.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
50
+1
90.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
90.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-5
90.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Mason Rudolph) to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 14
OWN 46
+7
91.5%
Mason Rudolph run for 7 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 7
OPP 47
+39
90.9%
Kip Smith punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 16 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zack Sanchez) to the Okla 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13FUMBLE
15 plays · 63 yds · 6:1292% → 92%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
91.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+11
91.9%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Jordan Smallwood for 11 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
92.0%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+7
92.0%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Keith Ford for 7 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+6
92.1%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
92.5%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
92.5%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Jordan Smallwood, broken up by Ramon RichardsSimilar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+12
91.0%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Samaje Perine for 12 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
91.9%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
92.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+7
92.1%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
92.7%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 27
0
92.7%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 1
OPP 27
-2
92.4%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 29 Samaje Perine fumbled, recovered by OKSt Larry StephensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:0110% → 8%
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
90.4%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 7 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
89.8%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+5
90.3%
Tyreek Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.3%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
90.6%
Rudolph, Mason pass complete to Seaton, Jeremy for 24 yards to the OKLAHOMA35, PENALTY OKLAST ineligible downfield on pass (Seaton, Jeremy) 5 yards to the OKLAST36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
91.5%
Mason Rudolph pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 15
OWN 36
+3
91.8%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
92.2%
Kip Smith punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1293% → 94%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
92.5%
Cody Thomas run for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 21 Cody Thomas fumbled, recovered by Okla Cody ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 20
OWN 21
+10
92.2%
Cody Thomas run for 10 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
93.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 45 yds, downed at the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:528% → 8%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.0%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
91.9%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 8
OWN 26
0
92.4%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
92.5%
Kip Smith punt for 29 yds, downed at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2195% → 94%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
95.3%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Aaron Ripkowski) to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 15
OWN 40
0
95.1%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
95.0%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+1
94.9%
Cody Thomas run for 1 yd to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+6
94.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 44 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 6 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:297% → 21%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
92.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 8 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+19
91.9%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to David Glidden for 19 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David Glidden, broken up by Zack SanchezSimilar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+26
91.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 26 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
90.6%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 16 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
90.6%
Brandon Sheperd run for 7 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.4%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:4688% → 97%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+56
87.6%
Keith Ford run for 56 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
90.2%
Michiah Quick run for 6 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
90.3%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+4
89.7%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 4 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
90.1%
Alex Ross run for 8 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
90.1%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
90.1%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the OKSt 3Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.6%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:547% → 6%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.1%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
93.7%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
94.4%
Kip Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3097% → 97%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.5%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-2
96.7%
Michiah Quick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+2
96.7%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Jed Barnett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:044% → 15%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
96.3%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 14 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
85.0%
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 43 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:4491% → 94%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.3%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
92.7%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
93.7%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-3
93.6%
Jed Barnett punt for 39 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:216% → 6%
Q4 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
93.7%
Mason Rudolph sacked by Chuka Ndulue for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
94.0%
Mason Rudolph pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 12
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Mason Rudolph pass intercepted Zack Sanchez return for no gain to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1996% → 60%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
95.5%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-5
95.4%
Cody Thomas run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 16
OPP 47
+2
95.4%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 14
OPP 45
+5
95.8%
Barnett, Jed punt 30 yards to the OKLAST15, fair catch by Hill, Tyreek, PENALTY OKLAST running into kicker (Sterns, Jordan) 5 yards to the OKLAST40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 9
OPP 40
+92
59.9%
Jed Barnett punt for 32 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 92 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2961% → 55%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
60.9%
Cody Thomas sacked by Sam Wren for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 0:24
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
57.8%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+11
55.4%
Keith Ford run for 11 yds to the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27MISSED FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0065% → 55%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
64.7%
Cody Thomas sacked by James Castleman and Ofa Hautau for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
64.3%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 27
0
60.4%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
55.1%
Michael Hunnicutt 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28Uncategorized
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+8
12.3%
Desmond Roland run for 8 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
11.8%
Desmond Roland run for 8 yds to the Okla 3Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-1
11.8%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-11.8
TD · Q4 4:51
Mason Rudolph pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 43 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
-11.3
TD · Q4 11:56
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com