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KU

Kansas 13 at Kansas State 51

KSU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:24 · Trevor Pardula punt for 49 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 27 yds to the KANSASST 42 KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kans 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+18.2Home team on offense+32.7Score differential+28.2Blowout margin+14.4Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:38: Matthew McCrane 41 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:42: Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman PAT BLOCKED) — KU win probability +2.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:56: Charles Jones run for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:47: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:16: Jake Waters pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:53KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:38KSU 4th & 7 at KU 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:10KU 4th & 14 at KU 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:32KSU 4th & 17 at KU 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:25KU 4th & 12 at KU 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 1:24KU 4th & 3 at KU 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:17KSU 4th & 7 at KU 35, up 32
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:48KU 4th & 14 at KU 37, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:46KSU 4th & 1 at KU 38, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:36KSU 4th & 3 at KU 22, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:54KU 4th & 11 at KU 24, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:15KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:18KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:42KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:56KSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:47KSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:16KSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:32KU Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:16KSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:474% → 5%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
95.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
95.5%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
95.5%
Trevor Pardula punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:1596% → 95%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
95.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 8 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
95.4%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
95.4%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 35 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
95.3%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
95.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 8 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:255% → 5%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Michael Cummings pass intercepted Dante Barnett return for no gain to the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
95.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 44 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5INT
10 plays · 43 yds · 4:035% → 5%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
95.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Rodriguez Coleman for 11 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
95.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 2 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
95.2%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+7
95.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 7 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
95.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 13 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-1
95.0%
Michael Cummings sacked by Valentino Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 11
OPP 32
0
95.1%
Michael Cummings pass intercepted Randall Evans return for no gain to the KanSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:5595% → 96%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
95.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 9 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 11
+5
95.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
95.3%
Jake Waters run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+1
95.2%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+9
95.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 9 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.2%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+31
95.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 31 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
95.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 11 yds to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
95.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+6
95.2%
Jake Waters run for 6 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
95.1%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
95.6%
Matthew McCrane 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:504% → 4%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-8
95.5%
Michael Cummings sacked by Morgan Burns for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q2 14:10
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1096% → 96%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
96.0%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+17
96.0%
Charles Jones run for 17 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.0%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-7
96.0%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
95.9%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q2 11:32
4TH & 17
OPP 42
+21
95.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 32 yds , Nick Harwell returns for 21 yds to the Kans 21 KANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Walsh) to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:335% → 8%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
95.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 6
50
+4
95.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+4
95.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
95.2%
Corey Avery run for 12 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.0%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
92.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:1694% → 95%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 5 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
93.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
93.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 4 yds to the Kans 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
95.3%
Charles Jones run for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:085% → 5%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.0%
KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
95.1%
Michael Cummings run for 3 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
95.3%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+2
95.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 47 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 2 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:2096% → 99%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
95.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 16 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.7%
Jake Waters run for 7 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
95.6%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
95.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+17
95.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 17 yds to the Kans 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
95.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 11 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
95.6%
Charles Jones run for 10 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.7%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
95.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Zach Nemechek) to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
98.0%
Tony Pierson run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:2599% → 100%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
98.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 20 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.7%
Tyler Lockett run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
98.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
98.9%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
98.9%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 14 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
99.0%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the Kans 13Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+13
99.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:161% → 1%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 12 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.5%
Michael Cummings run for 15 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.4%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-2
99.4%
Michael Cummings sacked by Will Geary for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+9
99.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for 9 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
99.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 14 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.2%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Trent Smiley for 19 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:4499% → 100%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 2 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+13
99.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 13 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
99.4%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+13
99.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 13 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-5
99.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (Jake Waters) to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+37
99.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 37 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Tony Pierson run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 5 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+27
99.8%
Trevor Pardula punt for 49 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 27 yds to the KANSASST 42 KANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.8%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
99.8%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (BJ Finney) to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+1
99.8%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+52
99.9%
Matthew McCrane 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 7 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
Michael Cummings sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Corey Jackson at the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:46100% → 100%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 8 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Judah Jones for 8 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+9
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Andre Davis for 9 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Jack Cantele 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Michael Cummings pass complete to De'Andre Mann for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
100.0%
Michael Cummings run for 3 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 31 yds, downed at the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Zach Nemechek run for 3 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+12
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 12 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
100.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 20
50
+4
100.0%
Adam Weber run for 4 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:47
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 8:42
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman PAT BLOCKED)
-2.7
TD · Q2 6:56
Charles Jones run for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com