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WVU

West Virginia 37 at Iowa State 24

ISU
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:36 · Nick O'Toole punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 205Pregame prior−0.3Home team on offense−43.6Score differential−20.1Garbage-time factor−11.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:35: Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +7.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:57: Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Tad Ecby for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +9.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:27: Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +6.7 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:10: Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +16.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 5:35: Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +6.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 6:55WVU 4th & 9 at ISU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    75.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:30WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:01ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:22ISU 4th & 19 at ISU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−1.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:39WVU 4th & 10 at ISU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:20ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 46, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00WVU 4th & 10 at ISU 15, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:00ISU 4th & 11 at WVU 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:52WVU 4th & 9 at ISU 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    67.2%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:36ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:39WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:25ISU 4th & 4 at WVU 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−0.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    27.9%−10.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:55WVU 4th & 5 at ISU 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−2.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:33ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.4%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:10ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:35WVU 4th & 7 at ISU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−5.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:29ISU 4th & 13 at ISU 7, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:29ISU 4th & 7 at WVU 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%−0.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:06ISU 4th & 10 at WVU 17, down 13
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.8%−2.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:36WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 26, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:50WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:48ISU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:35ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:57ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:01WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:27WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:10WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:1081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
18.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
18.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+10
18.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
18.7%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
18.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+54
19.2%
Rushel Shell run for 54 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0219% → 22%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
19.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to DeVondrick NealySimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+20
19.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 20 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
19.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
19.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+39
19.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 39 yds to the WVirg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
19.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+8
19.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 8 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3MISSED FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:4679% → 77%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
21.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+15
21.3%
Skyler Howard run for 15 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
21.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
21.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 18 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
20.9%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-4
21.0%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
22.6%
Josh Lambert 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 5:2023% → 31%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
22.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 9 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
23.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 41Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
23.1%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
23.3%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
0
23.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+17
23.3%
Sam B. Richardson run for 17 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
23.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 7 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+13
23.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 13 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
23.6%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 3 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
23.6%
Sam B. Richardson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
30.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
29.6%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
29.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+2
30.2%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 1:30
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
30.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:1732% → 31%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
31.8%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
32.3%
DeVondrick Nealy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+8
31.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 8 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
31.3%
Colin Downing punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
32.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37 Dreamius Smith fumbled, forced by Alton Meeks, recovered by IowSt Kamari Cotton-MoyaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:3834% → 43%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
34.2%
Richardson, Sam B. pass incomplete to West, Jarvis, PENALTY ISU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WVU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+4
33.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to DeVondrick Nealy for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+9
34.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 9 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+29
43.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Tad Ecby for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:4959% → 67%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+28
40.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
50
+7
39.5%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
39.1%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
38.8%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+29
32.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 29 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0037% → 35%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
35.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q2 10:01
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+49
34.9%
Colin Downing punt for 39 yds WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:3663% → 73%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+29
37.1%
Jordan Thompson run for 29 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
35.1%
Skyler Howard run for 24 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
34.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+15
34.2%
Howard, Skyler pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Lynn, Kenneth) 15 yards to the ISU6, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
34.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
34.0%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
27.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 4 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
31.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, delay of game (Sam B. Richardson) to the IowSt 14Similar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+6
31.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-10
31.6%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Wes Tonkery for a loss of 10 yards to the IowSt 10Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
30.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 19
OWN 10
0
30.1%
Colin Downing punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2972% → 72%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
27.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+7
28.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 7 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+9
28.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
27.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
27.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
28.2%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
28.3%
Josh Lambert 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:1929% → 32%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.7%
Sam B. Richardson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
30.0%
Tyler Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
28.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
29.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
30.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
30.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
32.0%
Colin Downing punt for 27 yds, downed at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 1:0971% → 76%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
29.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 10 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
28.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+11
27.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 11 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
26.7%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+10
26.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 10 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
25.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 16 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
25.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
25.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
26.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by Kenneth LynnSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+32
23.8%
Josh Lambert 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 5:5327% → 34%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
26.7%
Sam B. Richardson run for 8 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
28.6%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
28.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 7 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-2
29.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+5
27.8%
Richardson, Sam B. pass incomplete to West, Jarvis, PENALTY WVU offside defense (Dillon, KJ) 5 yards to the WVU49, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
29.1%
Sam B. Richardson run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
29.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 3 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
30.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 8 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
30.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
30.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 9 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
30.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
30.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 11
-5
29.1%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Shaquille Riddick for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 16 IOWA ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
33.5%
Cole Netten 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
30.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+14
29.6%
Rushel Shell run for 14 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
28.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+11
28.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
28.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
28.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
28.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
31.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IowSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0034% → 32%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
33.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+20
33.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 5 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, targeting (Shaq Petteway) to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad EcbySimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
34.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
33.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen Lazard IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
31.9%
Colin Downing punt for 37 yds , Vernon Davis returns for no gain to the WVirg 38 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
32.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
32.3%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+2
33.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
34.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 42 yds, downed at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:2536% → 41%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
36.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 1 yd to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+29
36.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 29 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
41.0%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
41.0%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
39.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad EcbySimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+5
36.4%
Austin Fischer run for 5 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
41.0%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
41.0%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
40.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass intercepted, touchback. Terrell Chestnut return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
33.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 20 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
30.8%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
30.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+14
31.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 14 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
30.0%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+3
30.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 34
0
30.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by Nigel TribuneSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 34
0
33.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Kevin White, broken up by Kenneth LynnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
36.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to DeVondrick Nealy for 1 yd to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
36.1%
Sam B. Richardson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
37.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q4 12:33
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
34.5%
Colin Downing punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0868% → 89%
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
32.4%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
31.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+40
32.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Mario Alford for 40 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
27.5%
Rushel Shell run for 13 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
27.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the IowSt 15Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
11.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.1%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete, broken up by Noble NwachukwuSimilar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.7%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad EcbySimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
12.0%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
12.4%
Colin Downing punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 2:4388% → 94%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
12.1%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+2
11.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
11.9%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
50
+21
11.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Cody Clay for 21 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
10.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 7
OPP 26
0
10.9%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
11.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
5.6%
Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26INT
13 plays · 51 yds · 0:007% → 10%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
7.4%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 1 yd to the IowSt 11Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
7.2%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis West, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-4
6.9%
Sam E. Richardson sacked by Brandon Golson for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 7 Sam E. Richardson fumbled, recovered by IowSt Jake Campos , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 13
OWN 7
+18
6.7%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Tad Ecby for 18 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
7.5%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
7.9%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Aaron Wimberly, broken up by Edward MuldrowSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
7.8%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Dondre Daley for 14 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
9.0%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by KJ DillonSimilar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
8.7%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+3
8.0%
Sam E. Richardson run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 7
OPP 48
+9
8.1%
Sam E. Richardson run for 9 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
9.6%
Sam E. Richardson pass intercepted Karl Joseph return for no gain to the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0496% → 97%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
3.6%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
3.3%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 29 Skyler Howard fumbled, forced by Dale Pierson, recovered by IowSt Dale PiersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:007% → 5%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
6.5%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
6.3%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad Ecby, broken up by Edward MuldrowSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+12
5.4%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 12 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
6.5%
Sam E. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
6.4%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Tad Ecby, broken up by Karl JosephSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
5.6%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis West, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 10
OPP 17
0
4.9%
Sam E. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
2.5%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
2.5%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+5
2.5%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
2.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
1.6%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 6 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+10
1.7%
Sam E. Richardson pass complete to Dondre Daley for 10 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:10
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q2 11:57
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Tad Ecby for 29 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q1 1:35
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com